Costin_Razvan wrote...
Really? If taking the initiative is so important in your mind then why are you suggesting it would be better for the Orlesians to defend their borders. It makes no sense.
In the event that Ferelden does fall, of course Orlais has no interest to come in, which is the scenario I was talking about, in order to counter the idea that Orzammar might survive if Ferelden falls.
Howeve if Ferelden can still fight, it's obviously in Orlais' interest to fight the Blight in Ferelden and not on its home turf.
In addition, the Orlesians have advantages that the dwarves don't have, which make them afford fighting a defensive war.
A- Orlesians have advantage of terrain, if they hold chokepoints at the mountains. The Dwarves don't have that, as Orzammar is on the east side of the Mountains.
B- Orlais is vast and it will be able to continously reinforce its frontline position. The dwarves can't.
C- Orlais is a superpower and has large infuence, especially religion wise. It can afford to hold on and influence its neibghours to send reinforcements. The dwarves have no influence and no real allies.
D- Orlais would not be surrounded and cut out of supplies. Orzammar would be besieged via the surface and the deep roads, and all the darkspawn need to do is starve them out.
Costin_Razvan wrote...
Initiative is all good and well, but risking your army for a country that is not your own in a massive gamble at Denerim ( and that is exactly what the entire battle at Denerim was: a gamble ), is not a very smart thing to do. Bhelen is willing to take it because he wants to show he is a strong king but what reason could Harrowmont have for that?
The battle of Denerim is a non-issue when the dwarves mobalise. It happens by surprise after the dwarves agree to fight in the coalition. Before that, most darkspawn were headed west, aka where Orzammar is.
Whether it was wise of them to send troops when that hapens is another issue and irrelevent to the point at hand.
Costin_Razvan wrote...
Secondly, even if Denerim fell with the Human, Elven/Werewolf, Mage/Templar army then it would take at least as long as it took the Darkspawn to march on Denerim from Ostagar: Almost one year. Perhaps even more.
Eh no. It took you about 3 to 5 days to march from redcliff to Denerim in that forced march. It couldn't poissibly have been more than a week or two, as the city would have been utterly annihilated.
Costin_Razvan wrote...
To suggest Celene would simply allow her troops to stand guard on the border for when the darkspawn are done with Fereldan with one year or more is downright foolish. Keeping an army supplied for that long at borders of your country is a very expensive affair. It would make far more sense for her and the wardens to move against the spawn.
If Ferelden falls, they won't. And regardless of what you feel, this is what the Orlesians are doing. See Riordan and Eamon (before the final battle).
Costin_Razvan wrote...
As for even sieging Orzammar. Assuming what I mention above does not come to pass, and assuming Celene doesn't move to save one of Orlais's most important trade partners then even then taking the city would require a great deal of darkspawn troops, so much so the Archdemon might decide it's a too costly affair. Even with near infinite troops logistics ARE a problem. I assume the Darkspawn need to eat, drink and even are susceptible to cold. Certainly they might eat each other, but that's only going to increase your casualties by a lot if you start relying on THAT.
It's irrelevent how much troops it would take. Why would you think that Archdemon wouldn't want to annihilate the dwarves utterly and protect its rear and its breeding grounds?
Even if the Blight is defeated, it destroying Orzammar would be a massive victory. IT would secure arkspawn dominance of the deep roads, or at the very least eliminate a rival.
Any dwarf thinking that "Well the darkspawn could just ignore us as they destroy the world. Oh and just as they pass right through the Forstback mountains. Eh, we can hope right? That's why I think it's a god idea to do nothing"
Yes, it's as stupid as it sounds.
Furthermore, you overestimate potential dwarven resistance. All examples of siege you gave were defeats and for a reason.
Several ways the darkspawn can counter bottlenecks:
A- any psycholigical effect of bottlenecks is nullified.
B- With Ogres leading the charge, bottlenecks would be broken easier.
C- Emissaries using firebals can knockout bottlenecks and pave the way for the rest as they move in to engage.
D- The Darkspawn could attack from the deep roads, forcing the Dwarves to defend from two positions.
E- with the above, all supplies are cut.
There is no way Orzammar would win on its own. It doesn't matter how long it lasts, it would still fall.
Costin_Razvan wrote...
For an army like the darkspawn have, laying siege for a long period of time is not favorable at all, and to ignore a massed army only a few miles by the border while you do lay siege is downright foolhardy.
The Blight could bypass them via the deep raods and spawn in the middle of Orlais. They don't have to engage them. Which makes taking out Orzammar that much more vital.
And you keep thinking the spawn act like humans. They have no morale issues, which is key in any siege. Barely any fatigue. As for logistics, well they survive in the deep roads on spiders and whatever there is there to eat I assume. We don't know about darkspawn nutritial needs, but I do not think they need to eat as much as we do.
So a siege isn't really an issue. Prievious blights lasted for decades if not almost a century. And yet their numbers were still massive. I do not think they have the same issues as we do, so it's irrlevent. Plus, you are assumign taht the Blight will use al of its forces for that siege. It's not necessary.
But to recap, you think it's smart for the dwarves to not join the coalition, based solely on the assumtpion that:
a- The blight will ignore the dwarves.
b- the Orlesians will aid them if the bliht doesn't ignore them. But seeing ow Eamon says that the Orlesians will probably better their defenses and not come for Ferelden's aid, then I don't see them rescuing the dwarves after all of Ferelden falls. They are not worth it. If Celene really cared about the dwarves, then she would have marched her army to the Frosback mountains and set up fortifications. But as Eamon says, she remains on her borders. So it;s clear Orlais does not intend to mobalise.
Well this plan of yours is even more of a gamble as it's based solely on what will happen to others. The dwarves being passive won't save them and I am glad Orzamar was smart to join the coalition.
Anyways, I have to go. travelling to Palmyra for a week or so, probably won't find a good computer. See you al after that! Cheers
Modifié par KnightofPhoenix, 06 juillet 2010 - 04:38 .