I'm going to type directly as I generally hate spending a lot of time "phrasing" everything so as not to offend. But I really mean no offense. Here goes . . .
30 years to put the plowshare on the assembly line. This is still not finished yet.
And you think putting the laborer into technical fields will go FASTER? No.
China is hurrying - rushing - to try and make it happen. But that is the fatal flaw. They are moving at breakneck pace, and they will metaphorically break their necks doing so.
They barely have become industrialized, and they are bad at it. What happens when they try to make the next jump. They'll need teachers, who will require high school and collegiate equivalency. That will take years to set up programs, recruit, and train the teachers. And money. Then once that's done, these higher level technical fields such as engineering, medicine, chemistry will require (again) high school and collegiate level education. More time, more money.
By the time it is said and done, setting up such a system, implimenting it, and reaching a point where they are "caught up" with the west will have taken a century and most of the money that is in their coffers.
Unless they rush it on the cheap. In which case their surgeons will be just as good as the laborers who built the sagging ceiling. Their other technical people as well. Which will lead to the "broken neck."
I acknowledge more Asians are getting their educations in the west and returning to their native countries. They used to stay in the West. Now they are going back and sharing their knowledge. But the numbers are not enough to allow places like China to simply learn from other nations and impliment. They will have to set up their own system - and it will take a long time and lots of money OR it will be an over-the-cliff, bubble type disaster.
I do not underestimate the chinese - I think the majority of people interested in this topic OVERESTIMATE them.
edit: And not just on these boards - this is a topic of discussion that comes up a lot in my life. At work, during social gatherings, when I travel. I used to think China was going to be the next superpower but the more information I got, the more I realized I don't believe that. Anyway - the majority of people I talk to are runnin scared from China because of the media and the US supposed debt to the Chinese.
Modifié par Hanz54321, 05 décembre 2011 - 11:02 .