The Argument Based on Risk (note* only based on risk)
The first step is to derive the benefits and risks from the applicable alternatives:
1.Destroy the base
2.Allow the base to exist
If one destroys the base, they prevent potential abuse of the technology but permanently waste the opportunity to utilize that particular piece of technology. If the the base is saved, abuse and utilization of the technology are both possibilities. At first glance, this appears to be a trade off; heavy risk heavy reward. However, under the undesirable situation that could arise from alternative 2, this being the abusive use of collector base technology, there still exists potential to ameliorate the problem. Alternative one offers no such opportunity. To summarize, if one destroys the collector base and latter finds it had valuable information, they cannot bring it back.
This insight makes the alternatives look something like this:
1. Destroy the base:
-Avoid opportunities of Abuse (positive)
-Avoid opportunities for technological advancement (negative)
2. Save the base:
-Keep opportunities of abuse (negative)
-Keep opportunities for technological advancement (positive)
-Chance to rectify abuse by reclaiming the technology or then destorying it (positive)
The person who chooses to destroy the base believes that avoiding the opportunities of abuse outweighs potentially losing technological advancement and forfeiting the future ability to rectify their decision if it is proven wrong.
-If possible abuse, risk of destroying important technology is acceptable.
The person who chooses to save the base believes that the chance of abuse is acceptable because it allows technological advancement and the chance to ameliorate their decision if they are determined to be wrong.
-For possible technological advancement, risk of abuse is acceptable because if abused, there is still a chance to rectify the problem later.
1. The outcome of keeping the base is uncertain.
2. If the base is kept, one risks abuse of the technology.
3. If the base is destroyed, one risks losing out on technological advancement.
4. If the base is destroyed or kept, one is contributing to a risk.
5. If the technology is abused, one can attempt to destroy or reclaim it.
6. If the technology is destroyed, one cannot bring it back.
7. Risky behavior that can be rectified is preferable to risky behavior that can't.
8. Keeping the base is preferable to destroying it.
THEREFORE,
9. One should not destroy the base.
Modifié par Mavaras, 10 décembre 2010 - 04:50 .





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