[quote]Lotion Soronnar wrote...
[quote]IanPolaris wrote...
1. You said that that notion that the rate of abominations
outside the circle was lower, "was the only logical conclusion". I showed you that it was not.[/quote]
No, you didn't. You failed to show that.
[/quote]
Yes I did. I showed by using very plausable hypothetical numbers (and I
never claimed they were anything other than hypothetical), you could in fact have a higher abomination rate (even much higher abomination rate outside the tower post-circle even IF 90% of the abominations are caught and killed in the circle.
You claimed that this was logically impossible. I proved by counterexample that it was not.
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Before you post, you should read what others post first. I never claimed that my numbers were anything other than a theoretical exercise. I used reasonable (but hypothetical) numbers to show that you COULD lock away mages and still have an increase in the abomonation incident rate outside the tower.[/quote]
Your numbers weren't reasonable.
I could claim that a single abomination can kill millions and call it reasonable. That doesn't make it so.
If you used a double - heck, even TRIPPLE - the reate, I'd say that number was reasonable.
But you oncreased the abomomination ratio in your "reasonable" example by 6000%. That's not reasonable. That's bull****.
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Not it's not B.S. It's quite plausibly really. Why do mages become abominations? That is generally known. Essentailly while it's not possibly to precisely predict which make will become an abomination precisely when, you CAN predict risk factors (and certainly being IMPLANTED WITH A DEMON) is a huge risk factor doncha think?
Anyway....mages become abominations because they want or need something, and want it so badly that they are willing to let a demon in to make this happen (or tries to fight a demon in the fade by summoning it and failing but that is a much, much rarer case). So who do you think is at higher risk? The imprisoned, unhappy mage with no rights and constantly being reminded of how vile and evil he is every day, or the generally happy and well adjusted mage in society with friends, perhaps even love interests, and certainly social outlets in society?
I think the answer is clear. I wouldn't be suprised if the actual abomination rate post circle wasn't as much as 10,000% or more. I was deliberately shooting for a low increase, seriously.
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2. The Templars would know? You mean the same templars that are drugged into obedience by the chantry? Those templars? Consider this: The Templars predate the circle and they certainly would have helped handle any abomination problems pre and post circle. I can agree with you that far. That would mean that the Templars would have indicent rates (because they surely keep records) of both periods of time.[/quote]
The tamplars know basic math.
Gregoir, who puts so much emphaiss on protecting the innocent folk of Ferelden, is fully convinced that the Circels protect that folk..and even some mages.
As you said - the templars would know.
[/quote]
I know basic math too, and I showed by basic math how you could be logically wrong. If the Templars do know, then why don't they share the pre-circle records? Unless they have something to hide....... (which I think they do actually....or the Chantry had the Templars destroy their pre-Circle records which wouldn't suprise me one bit).
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So where ARE those records? Why don't the Templar's proclaim both sets of numbers and end all doubt.....unless the real numbers don't say what they want them to say....[/quote]
for all you know poeple of Thedas may know those numbers. We dont' have them in the coidex, but that's a LOT we don't have in the codex. The Dev's created a massive world and didn't put everythnig in the game.
But those numbers aren't really necessary, as basic logic dictates the numbes should be smaller.
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No it doesn't. Without those numbers you don't have a case and you know it.
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Why not? If you get to make assumptions about the abomination rate to fit your theory then I can as well! However mine is an expressesly stated hypothetical rate...based on game reality but not one that I make any hard claim to. It's an example (a counter example) of why your logic is wrong. As for the rate going up by orders of magnitude, that actually seems very likely when you consider that the Chantry actually FORCES demons into mages in the Harrowing ritual, and given the highly emotional and negative atmosphere in the tower (as in any prison).[/quote]
There is no indication that abominations are exceedingly common within the circleHeck, evne if there is an overall rise in the number of abomination incidents, there is no indication is hte bigger by such a huge margin.
And most importantly, even if there is a increase of abomination incidents, almost all of them would still happen wihtin the circle, thus STILL making the coutnryside safer.Ergo, your argument falls flat on it's face.
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Actually there is evidence that abominations are much more common post circle than precircle but admittedly it's indirect and implied evidence, but just for example, just how many mages fail their harrowing? each one is an abomination incident that likely would not have happened pre-circle....and that's completely excluding the hugely important emotional factor of wrongful imprisonment.
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Define "exceedingly common". If they aren't common, then there is no justification for th circle system at all. If they are, then we find that the circle has exacerbated the problem. Make up your mind.[/quote]
Neither. I reject your conclusions.
If abomination kill a lot of peopel each year, that's reason enough for the Circles. And guess what - they do.
Both the codex and the game show us how dangerous abominations are - killing 70 villagers is not uncommon for an abomination. And we've seen how many in Ferleden?
3-4.Within a year.
I'd say common enough.
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All but one were directly caused by the circle and happened AFTER the circle was formed. Doesn't sound like the circle is working very well does it?
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And you didn't adress the bolded part. Even if 99% of mages in the circle turn to abominations, it STILL keeps the countryside safe.
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Proof of that would be nice. Right now I see absolutely no evidence that the countryside is safer from abominations now than it was pre-circle and perhaps less so given the number of abomination incidents you cited.
Btw, the one abominatin incident that was not directly related to the circle has a casualty count of one (besides itself). Much better than the Templars managed by a long chalk.
-Polaris
Modifié par IanPolaris, 23 janvier 2011 - 08:14 .