Firstly, a warning: I've got insomnia, and I'm slightly crazy today, so I'm a bit silly here. I'm not making fun of anyone, just being ridiculous, I've actually been writing bits of this post on and off during spare minutes this whole weekend, so the whole thing may lack... cohesion. Apologies in advance.
eyeofhorus87 wrote...
OK - I am admitting my ignorance here - I had never heard of the term 'etheric sciences' before this discussion so probably a lot of what I'm saying is very ignorant. I actually still don't think I quite understand what is meant by the term (I have tried to ask some questions below). However, saying that, I don't see why you can't use the conventional, physical sciences when studying the Fade.
Etheric science, magical theory, and thaumaturgy are all fictional terms for what I'm describing... which is a form of science that doesn't exist, because it can only exist in a world with magic. Conventional science should work in a magical world up to a point, but there's a point where I think it is likely to fail. I'll go into that more in response to later bits of your post.
eyeofhorus87 wrote...
{Sidenote: Even in actual normal conventional Science, I think it's inappropriate to use the null hypothesis when talking about the existence of something. Because it's not a specific thing that can be measured by experimental data. "There is no relationship between using the sacred ashes and recovering from illness" is an example of a good null hypothesis. "There isn't a teapot orbiting the Jupiter." is a bad one.)
I don't see why 'There isn't a teapot orbiting Jupiter' would be a bad null hypothesis if you actually wanted to know if there was a teapot orbitting jupiter. You could experimentally measure a teapot. You couldn't say for sure your method would ALWAYS detect a teapot, but if it found one you could use that method to disprove the null hypothesis. I'm assuming I'm just not understanding your argument here against the null hypothesis?
I have nothing against the null hypothesis. The null hypothesis is an important scientific tool. However, it's a scientific tool that is used in one specific case: the analysis of data from an experiment. The null hypothesis is
a tool to be applied to a specific experiment that is being or has been conducted. No experiment, no null hypothesis. So if you're not currently examining the data (or planning to examine the data) of a particular experiment that you believe might reject that particular null hypothesis, there's no reason to state it.
Basically, you only need to use the null hypothesis that there is no teapot orbiting Jupiter
if someone is currently planning an experiment that is intended to determine whether there is a teapot orbiting Jupiter, not just if you're vaguely wondering about it with no intent to actually perform a test. I used that as an example of a bad null hypothesis because right now we do not possess technology powerful enough to detect, track, and measure every teapot-sized object that orbits Jupiter. Since it's impossible to conduct that experiment, there is no reason for the null hypothesis to be used or stated, because a null hypothesis should be created as part of the analysis of the data from a particular experiment, and its relevance is confined solely to whether or not the particular experimental data we are currently examining manages to reject it.
The null hypothesis is a specific tool used in statistical analysis, not a default assumption about the world we are supposed to apply to all situations. It is not really meant to be assumed true until rejected,
either.
Sorry for the statistics rant. Hopefully it helped?
eyeofhorus87 wrote...
That doesn't capture the fundamental difference between conventional and etheric sciences, though, and that's harder to explain I'm pretty sure I'm going to screw it up, but I'll make an effort. A conventional scientist tries to narrow everything down to the most likely theory, and focus on refining that theory to an ever-more-honed point. An etheric scientist is careful to never completely dismiss any theory that has a chance of being relevant, and to maintain varying levels of certainty in all avenues available.
For example, a conventional scientist probably, at this point, believes that nothing can move faster than light (regardless of the single possible piece of experimental evidence to the contrary that CERN has, which probably won't pan out.) An etheric scientist would, instead, simultaneously believe that it's likely that nothing can travel faster than the speed of light, but also that maybe something CAN. Rather than trying to prove or disprove one or the other hypothesis, the etheric scientist would continue to hold both those possibilities in her head, adjusting their likelihood based on evidence she observes, but always believing that either one has a chance of being correct.
This is a terrible way to do actual science (though a fun way to think about it.) It's necessary in etheric science because there's a significant chance that what you believe to be possible may influence what is, in fact, possible. Thus, while conventional science is all about disproving possibilities, etheric science is all about maintaining a level of openness to all posibilities, no matter how unlikely.
I don't understand. Careful never to dismiss any theory? But - why? If you know something has been disproven, why continue to consider it? I don't see what doing that brings to the party. I mean, I don't even see how it's a fun way to think about it. How would we ever get anywhere if we kept thinking about things that had been disproven?
I think, if I understand correctly, that etheric is science for supernatural stuff? Which, I mean... the Fade... is a place. It kinda reminds me of a quote from Tim Minchin's 'Storm':
'Do you know what they call
'Alternative Medicine'
That's been proved to work?
Medicine'
My point being the Fade is a real place in DA so the methods of the physical sciences would be valid. You would start completely from scratch, but the method itself would be fine to use.
I'm not saying you can never dismiss any theory... well... harum. It's hard to explain. It's partially hard to explain because this is synthesized by me from all the books I've read that have done interesting things with the fictional study of magic. But I'm going to try.
Firstly: if a thing can be completely known and studied by science, then it isn't magic. It's just science. Magic is, almost by definition, the things that are beyond science. If you admit that magic exists, you admit that something beyond the reach of science exists. Otherwise it's just... more science. More things that are natural, rather than supernatural. And if you want to think that Thedas is such a place, you're welcome to it. I wish you luck in your non-etheric studies. Fax me when you figure out whether Justice is a wave or a particle.
The etheric sciences are all about simultaneously maintaining two possible but contradictory views, until you figure out how they are both possible, or until one of them goes away. You have to simultaneously be able to believe "Justice is a hypothetical concept created by the human mind to try to give structure to an uncaring universe" and "Justice is that bloke over there in the armor." You can't just pick one of them to believe, despite the fact that both of those things kind of seem to contradict each other.
I'm not saying you have to treat ever theory as equally valid, and that you can never entirely dismiss a theory. My metaphor about CERN continues to be relevant: right now, I'm 90% sure that nothing can travel faster than the speed of light (I'm only 90% sure because I'm not great at science, and also I like the idea of FTL travel. Stop judging me.) The fact that CERN may have measured something going faster than the speed of light is awesome, even though I know that it may just be an error, or a stat ghost, or a mistake or non-reproducible or whatever. But instead of just saying "I'm not going to even consider the possibility that anything can go faster than the speed of light until I see more evidence," 90% of my brain is going "now now, calm down, Einstein!" while the other 10% is spinning in its chair and rambling about warp drives.
That is why I'm not a scientist. I can't shut up that 10% of my brain that wants to believe the thing that is incredibly unlikely, but not 100% disproven. And that's the ability you need when doing etheric sciences, I think: the ability to maintain several simultaneous theories of differing probability, and be willing to adjust the probability of those theories on the fly.
Like if I were going to the Fade, I'd simultaneously believe at least three things: 1. That it's simply an alternate dimension connected to Thedas 2. That it's the manifestation of dreams, and a path to the afterlife, and 3. That it's the home of the Maker, cursed black by some intrusion long ago. I don't completely believe any of these things, but I keep them all in my head at the same time, and act in accordance with whichever one seems most predictive at a given point, while always keeping the other possibilities in mind as well.
The fade is "real," yes, but it's a place where the physical rules are shaped by thoughts and emotions. Thoughts and emotions and ideas are a **** to measure. How many centimeters of courage do you have? How many joules of hope?
It's hard to explain "Supernatural Science," because it really only works in a place where magic exists. Look... conservation of mass, thermodynamics, most of that stuff seems to work 90% of the time in Thedas. That's why everyone isn't exploding and on fire and imploding and accelerating past the speed of light all the time. But every once in a while, a necklace turns into a lady turns into a dragon, and there's no conservation of mass there. Also, sometimes that necklacewomandragon is actually simultaneously another woman who is living in a house in the next country because she convinced the queen of an ancient order that drinks the blood of darkspawn in order to gain mystical powers to let her live...
What part of that do you think plays well with conventional science?
A long time ago, in one of my very favorite books, I read a passage about how a human can learn to fly. It's very simple, you have to throw yourself at the ground... and miss. Of course, that's very hard, because everyone knows they're going to hit the ground. So you need to be distracted at that moment, so you forget that hitting the ground is what's supposed to happen, what has to happen. If you forget for a time what you know to be true, you may actually miss the ground, and find yourself bobbing gently above it.
This is all done for the sake of comedy... it is the Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, after all, but it's something that occurs a lot in stories about magic: if you believe it won't work, it won't work. If you can, for a moment, forget that it's impossible, it becomes possible.
And that's the thing... in my mind Etheric Science is all about always having a small part of you that believes that there might be an ancient dragon woman sleeping in every necklace, so that when you finally get one that does indeed contain a sleeping dragon woman, while 99% of you is shocked, 1% is like THAT MAKES PERFECT SENSE, and that 1% takes over, and helps you cope, and eventually figures out how all that worked.
Modifié par CulturalGeekGirl, 03 octobre 2011 - 10:00 .