Yes, I am fully aware there is the potential for less content and more bloodshed, we already know that from ME2. But just what could potentially have happened to them or to us as far as ME3 is concerned.
I also just want to point out that I don't dislike any squadmates personally, but some of my Shepards do and so some of the points I'll be making are more focussed on their opinion than mine.
I'll start with Wrex seeing as he is one of the first we can decide not to recruit.
Basically, we know that not recruiting Wrex is almost similar to killing him on Virmire other than the import page states he survived it and for some silly reason when talking to TIM at the start you can ask where he is even though he wasn't 'part of the team'. I've always assumed he is dead, but I suppose he could still be out there somewhere doing bounty hunter stuff still, it'd be intriguing if we come across him in ME3 doing some more bounty hunter work then in this instance, but I'm more of the belief they treat it as him dead and out the story.
Next obvious one is Garrus who could be avoided for the most part other than the initial chat in the Council tower and also at the lift in C-Sec when he asks if can join the team.
As much as I like Garrus, this situation bugs me a bit because when Shepard meets him in ME2 they talk as if old friends. Either way we know he is going to be in ME3 if he survived the Suicide Mission, so any 'Turian hating' Sheps would need to kill him off in ME2 for him to be a no show. Now if those Sheps were to be true they just wouldn't bother talking to him on the Normandy which could result in the death of either him or Thane or someone else on the ship run due to cannon not being upgraded.
Tali non-recruitment ensures the death of a squadmate, found this out on my first playthrough with my Shep who never wanted Tali on the original Normandy so there was no way she would go recruit her from Haestrom either. Personally I think it will be silly if Tali appears in ME3 if she wasn't recruited because she should be dead on Haestrom if Shepard hadn't intervened. The other interesting point which will kind of tie up with the 'ME3 allies' scenario is that non recruitment of Tali also means Shepard never meets the Admirals of the Quarian fleet and I'm intrigued as to whether we'll be forced to go talk to the Quarians in ME3, but I'll go into that more when I get to the subject of ME3 allies.
Thane if recruited stated how he didn't expect to come out of the mission to kill Nassana alive, sure he expected to kill her but presumed he would die on the way out. I think just as with Tali on Haestrom this should be another case where he is a no show (basically making him and Tali the Wrex of ME2). No recruitment of Thane would also mean that Kolyat will have killed Joram Talid if things were to turn out as I expect.
Samara, simplest one I think in that she will still be searching for Morinth, only she might've killed the asari cop on Ilium in the process and we possibly won't hear much of her other than that.
Legion, obvious way of non-recruitment is selling to Cerberus, the other is to leave him inactive on the Normandy. I've done the latter on 1 playthrough just to see what happens with regards to him. As for the former, it'll be interesting to see if a combination of that and Overlord is what leads to us fighting against some Geth who are alongside Cerberus troopers in ME3 as seen in some of the footage. I know people like to think of his AI being transferred to another mobile platform and so we end up with Legion 2.0, but I just think that is silly and destroys the point of him being killable. I also want to see if they do basically set it so no recruitment of Legion ensures that all geth are now heretics.
Grunt can be left in his lifepod, it'll be interesting to see how this is handled and could potentially make him another 'ME2 equivalent of Wrex'.
Zaeed and Kasumi, am not one for believing the 'they are DLC so they won't have any relevance' point of view, but I've tagged them together simply because I agree that if we didn't recruit them we possibly won't hear anything of them other than some story of them having done some mission. I imagine Zaeed will have gone and done the mission to take out Vito but probably died in the process. As for Kasumi it'll be interesting if she decided to go do the mission to recover Keiji's greybox solo. I imagine that won't have worked out well in that instance unless she got someone to help her in placement of Shepard.
With regards ME3 allies, I can see us most likely needing to go rally people and most likely we will be railroaded into getting some of them at least even if our Shepard wouldn't go to them if they were the last allies they had left. I just hope it doesn't play out too much like the DAO story. For 2 reasons, one for the silliness of not being able to have both factions if there is a way to settle things amicably, the second is for their not being the choice to tell them to go fight their own petty little battle or just not even bother visiting them and Shep'll go do it with the rest they have.
Allies I see are...
Alliance - obviously permanent, sort of like Redcliffe army.
Quarians/Geth - This is a scenario I'd like to see as either a potential walk away or not bother dealing with at all. As well as both siding with one or getting them to make peace if possible.
Krogan/Salarians - As above
Turians - If the Turian councillor is on Palaven... I soooo want the option with at least one of my Shepards to go "Ahh yes... *airquotes* reapers *close airquotes* DEAL WITH IT!" and let the Turians try to deal with the issues they have on Palaven themselves besides the obvious get them to join us even if we didn't save the council but obviously they be a bit more frosty to us in that scenario.
Batarians - Meh, I got a few of my Sheps that consider the events of Arrival 'a good start' (in reference to the 'lawyers at bottom of the sea' joke). But I got some Sheps that like to think that there are some ok Batarians out there and that something can be done so they can side with us. But definitly another 'optional' choice.
Asari - To some a wonderful species whom are respected and envied, to others a bunch of mind raping aliens. In Mass Effect you could have Shepard seeing the whole mindmeld thing as them messing with his/her mind, you could avoid Crescent Nebula and Ilium altogether in ME2 if you decided to have your Shepard having a dislike for Asari, so it'll be interesting if we can decide not to have their aid in ME3.
Now before anyone jumps on me stating "You humans are all racist" I'll re-itterate my earlier point that am looking at it from Shepard's PoV. Another thing is that am expecting that if you don't gain the help of at least half of the above I sure hope to expect to see casualties, just like it was possible in ME2 with reference to specific people not being recruited/made loyal.
Basically put, a human only playthrough I expect to end badly and before any 'Human-only' crowd start yelling "This is an outrage!" or "Humans are superior" I say this... look what happened to the Protheans? I got to thinking the other day how it is interesting how we only know of the Protheans back from their time, were they really the only race in the whole galaxy or did the races then decide to refer to themselves as one collaboration? Maybe they were the last race to get wiped out because they had been more prepared and maybe us rallying the other races is what will set us apart from the Protheans in that we managed to do what they failed to do. Although you could easily argue that the Protheans will have played a part in our success too.
Anyway am interested to see what other peoples views are on the potential non-recruits and the other things I've mentioned
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