In Exile wrote...
Eradyn wrote...
Every BW fan had better hope TOR doesn't flop. With the resources BW has gone through for TOR, there will be little left of them to save if they fail. EA is taking a gamble on this MMO and BW stands to lose everything if this doesn't succeed.
If TOR sells 3 million copies at $60 (isn't that the new pricepoint for the PC?) that's 180 million straight up. The usual MMO fee is, what, $20/month? If 50% of the users play for another month, Bioware could recoup about 210 million, so producing TOR at a -90 million loss. With 4 million users and 50% loss, that means 240 million along with the $20 subscription fee for 50%, that's 280 million and the game breaks even.
Some studio might survive, given profits from the ME series.
I think it's better to hope someone can sweep up most of the Bioware talent and keep it toghether for a release under a new name than for TOR suceed IMO.
Standard MMO fee is currently $15/month. They need a subscription base of
500,000 to keep it profitable and that's still "nothing to write home about." 500,000 subs is optimistic...
very optimistic numbers for most companies. EA wants at least 1 million.
EA did not get into this whole mmo business with Bioware to merely "break even." I think you are a little too unrealistically optimistic over the nature of a business such as EA. At an estimated cost of over $300,000,000 for developing a still-unfinished TOR, BW had better hope for better numbers and for a longer-lasting sub base.
History does not suffer fools gladly. Yes, if it fails, some of BW's talent will be retained. BW itself, however, will not be treated with as much mercy. No studio, no matter how big or previously successful, can survive such failure intact.
In Exile wrote...
Eradyn wrote...
You're paying for the initial client and then upkeep and future development.
But
the majority of that is content that I don't want. Let's say 30% of the
content is multiplayer only, and 20% is group story content, with 50%
pure SP (this is probably not the case with an MMO, but let's say it
is). That means that .50 of every dollar I spend goes to fund content I
will never want. That's ignoring which parts of the SP content I might
be paying for that I might not like.
That's my point.
Then you need to analyse what that SP content is worth to you. Keep in mind, those who would not bother with single player content and would stick as much to MP content as possible will also be "losing out" by having part of their sub go toward the development of SP content. In reality, anyone who chooses to ignore various content would "arguably" be paying for content they don't enjoy.
BUT they are also paying for content they
do enjoy.
But I'd buy ME2 because 90%+ of the content in the
game is content that is enjoyable. I don't buy games that have less
than 80% of the content that is in the enjoyable to highly enjoyable
category for me.
You can only say that now because you have played it. You haven't played TOR; it's kind of difficult to make such a judgment against it at this point.
We don't know how much single player
content there is in TOR, nor how enjoyable it might be. Based on what
you said, I'm willing to give it a free trial, if one is available,
though.
Actually, again, we do have some idea the approximate amount of content there is in TOR. Over 100 hours per class playthrough, not counting future content. No, we don't know how enjoyable it might be, as no one has actually gone hands-on with the game for any great length of time. We can surmise, based upon various game features and mechanics, if it might be something enjoyable to us.
Think of it this way. If you buy just the box at release, chances are it will include the standard 1-month of free play. That will give you the opportunity to play through at least one class and its story. You don't have to pay any more than that and you can count that as your single-player KOTOR experience.
This is all moot, however. It's up to each individual to determine the value of any particular game to them, and if it's not something you see yourself deriving any enjoyment from, then that is that. *shrug*
Modifié par Eradyn, 20 juin 2011 - 02:17 .