Agamo45 wrote...
The fleet was getting torn to shreds from what I understood. The fleet was basically providing a distraction while 'Hammer' stormed the beam up into the Citadel.
Only if your EMS score was low. If it's high, you actually see the Allied Fleet as more than a match for the Reapers. Heck, based just on what we see in the cutscenes, the Reapers are actually rather likely to lose.
It makes a lot of sense if you think about it. If you have a very high EMS, your fleet is comprised of the sum of every significant fleet in the galaxy. Human, Turian, Asari, Salarian, Quarian, Geth (the massively UPGRADED geth, no less), Mercenary (which is pretty substantial), Krogan (what few ships they have), Volus, Hanar, Elcor, and the thousands of various utility vessels.
All told, such a fleet would number in at least 50,000 ships (not counting fighters and unarmed vessels, which would boost that number to something like 150,000). And that's a conservative estimate; the Migrant Fleet alone has 50,000 vessels (pre-Rannoch, admittedly, but a significant majority of them are still combat-capable, and nearly every ship is armed for combat). Add that to the geth fleet, the Alliance fleet (which numbered in at least 3-4 thousand before the Reaper invasion, based on various sources), the massive Turian fleet, the substantial asari and salarian fleets, the merc ships, and the minor races (volus, elcor, hanar).
Basically, the Allied Fleet would likely win with the Zerg Rush tactic they employed in the battle; the Codex confirms that this kind of tactic is effective against Reaper capital ships, and the destroyer class Reapers (which make up the bulk of the Reaper fleet) can be taken down by a few cruisers. Heck, you kill one with a single shot from a Cain.
Now, consider that the Reapers have already taken significant casualties even before the big battle. The Miracle at Palaven details how tons of Reapers across Palaven were taken out by a daring/brilliant operation with just ground forces and WMD's alone. This includes Reaper capital ships. Add in various other Reaper casualties (Tuchanka, Rannoch, the ones taken over the coarse of the war before the big battle, etc.), especially the initial fight for Palaven (where quite a number of Reaper capital ships were taken down), and things are looking up.
With a high EMS score, yes, the Allied Fleet would likely win conventionally. The Reaper capital ships--which were already whittled down before the battle--are relatively few in number, and vulnerable to Zerg Rush tactics (which were used in the battle). Reapers also have a known weak point, giving even fighters/bombers and light frigates the capability to significantly damage capital class Reapers.
The Allied Fleet vastly outnumbers the Reaper Fleet in terms of fighters and smaller craft, which means that the Reaper destroyers have their hands more than full just dealing with the huge number of smaller vessels (not even counting cruisers).
Lastly, it's important to remember that Hammer is attacking the Reapers on the ground. Hammer consists (or rather,
should consist if the devs bothered to acknowledge what the game establishes beforehand) of a gigantic army, including many of the galaxy's most elite forces. Each Hades Cannon is essentially a modified Reaper destroyer, and all of them are taken down in the course of the assault on the conduit. Another Reaper destroyer is taken down shortly after. Assuming that Hammer is equiped with more weapons like the Cain, they could inflict serious casualties on the Reaper ships on the ground, too.
Ultimately, the answer to the OP's question is a strong "yes", if one has a high EMS score.
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