First: appeal to probabilty. There are two issues with this (besides the fact that it's a logical fallacy):
Problem 1: A greater than zero chance of something happening in the future doesn't mean much. An infinite number of monkeys will be able to reproduce the works of Shakespeare, but if you reduce the number of monkeys to a more reasonable number, like, say, the number of particles in the known universe, suddenly you're going to be waiting a long, long time. Billions of years won't cut it. The lifespan of the universe might not cut it.
Problem 2: There's a greater than zero chance of all sorts of crazy things happening. There's no reason to believe that total organic genocide as a result of a tech singularity is more likely than ascendance, or many other fill in the blank options. We could assume that the starchild has done the math, but there's no evidence to support this in-game (or elsewhere) other than the starchilds word. And there's no reason to trust the starchild, except from metagaming, if at all.
Second: ascendance. The starchild controls all of the reapers, and offers you control of them. That means no free will for them. Either the reapers have been slaves for a billion years (indoctrination), or they're brains in a jar. That doesn't jibe with any definition of ascendance. It's the polar opposite extreme. It also means that the starchild is either insane or lying.
Third: singularity and the lack thereof. The definition of a tech singularity depends on an exponential explosion of knowledge, technology, etc. And this is coupled with the development of AI. It's been 260 years since the Geth war, and there's no singularity in sight. Similarly, the Prothean AIs didn't go down the singularity road. The reapers don't seem to have achieved singularity, either, considering their methods and technology. So the chance of a singularity happening is apparently vanishingly low in the ME universe. So low, that an appeal to probablility based strategy makes even less sense. Also, if the reapers haven't reached singularity, they can't guess at the results of a post-singularity culture. That's also pretty much by definition.
So the results I get from the above issues are that: either the starchild is insane, the starchild is lying, or the writers had no idea what they were talking about and just threw a bunch of techno-babble at their fans hoping it would overwhelm.
Modifié par drewelow, 19 avril 2012 - 06:00 .





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