Apologies for being a natural text-wall enthusiast.
The Angry One wrote...
JShepppp wrote...
I see Angry One, Cypher, and Jackums have had an interesting debate spanning the last few pages. I'd like to weigh in, but I was wondering if The Angry One could kind of list the points that he/she disagrees with, then I'll try to answer them too?
My main issue is simply that the Catalyst assumes that a technological singularity will inevitably lead to conflict, and then the extermination of all organic life.
Neither of these is certain, the latter is basically impossible and has never happened.
Destroy is probably your way to go; I'm guessing you already picked that. So there's kind of 3 parts to your thing, I think, which is (a) the technological singularity, (

conflict, © eradication of organic life, all of which must successively occur (not independently) by the Catalyst. You're saying each "step" has problems, which is true. I'll start from the beginning.
Singularity: The singularity is the weakest link in the argument because by its nature it can't be proven or disproven. A hypothesis like this would be scoffed at in science by its nature, so it becomes more of a philosophical kind of argument that we can only guess at. The Catalyst believes such advanced synthetics are inevitable.
We can see how synthetics would become that advanced. The Geth serve as an example, but basically, synthetics don't have the same needs as organics, and this lack of impediment would probably lead them to evolve faster and capitalize on their stronger traits. Eventually they'd become evolved so fast that we could never catch up. We have a head start on them, but their natural rate of technological progress seems compounded by the fact that they are byproducts of our technology itself.
Synthetics may not become that advanced , of course. There could be limitations - processing power, no self-replication, etc. - that could impede their advancement.
The technological singularity idea hinges on the idea of a self-evolving AI that eventually surpasses organics. Not only can this AI control its reproduction/replication, it can also affect its own technological progress rate, something that organics can't do. We can get smarter, but we can't effectively keep increasing the rate at which we absorb knowledge more and more ad infinitum, held back only by resources.
We don't see any evidence of such an AI during the entirety of Mass Effect. The Geth are not a case because they could've been beaten without Reaper upgrades, indicating they were pre-singularity. They may have been able to self-evolve, indicating that the Catalyst came at the "right" time with the Reapers to stop them from doing so. But that's a bit of speculation again.
The Reapers are not the singularity either. We don't see any evolution; we see the contrast, stagnation. Whether by choice or not we don't know. The Catalyst can't even change its own programming/directive without Shepard, indicating it is heavily shackled or is just a VI.
In short, we only see arrows pointing towards the idea of the singularity. These are rather vague as they're mostly just technological progress in general. Personally, this is what makes the singularity exciting for me - it seems like something that is the answer to some subtle hints along the way (synthesis completes it too, with Geth/EDI/Legion already becoming more like organics, etc., but that's different). But of course that's my opinion; a lot don't see the singularity as being there (just as a lot don't see IT), and that's fine. The singularity is not inherently obvious.
If the singularity isn't the case, the Catalyst's arguments will fall apart rather easily. I think this is one of the biggest disconnects. The nature of the singularity means its existence is very much a kind of metaphysical debate of sorts; I can't convince you without a shadow of a doubt that it'll occur. I can only ask you to temporarily make that assumption for the sake of understanding the Catalyst.
Conflict: The idea is that it is impossible to have 100% peace forever. War will eventually occur given enough time. Synthetics and organics will come into conflict. It could be for any reason, and any side can start it - but the Catalyst believes that they'll fight. Organics vs organics happens, of course, and maybe even synthetics vs synthetics, but the Catalyst is more interested in organics as a whole and thus their relationship with synthetics.
Geth/Quarians prove that conflict will eventually occur. They found peace, yes, in some cases. But they still found war earlier.
Eradication of All Organics: Post-singularity, synthetics will have the power to wipe out all organics. If they can wipe out the strongest ones (definition of singularity), they can wipe out weaker ones.
Can they also leave us alone, give peace, or help us out? Sure. They can also do a bunch of other random, unrelated things like move to a far away planet and develop jars of peanut butter for the rest of their infinite lives.
The Catalyst isn't concerned about those other options. Such a synthetic race, though, would have the power to wipe out all organics if it chose to. And we can't really proclaim it can go one way or another because of the nature of the singularity. We can't predict what they'll value. We can guess/hope that they won't find it worth their time to genocide organics, but we don't know for sure. All our reasoning goes out the window when dealing with a form of intelligence beyond our own. If they were organics at such a level, we would be so inferior that we probably wouldn't be included in their moral code.
The Reapers can't combat post-singularity synthetics. So if something goes wrong, everyone is screwed.
Programmed to only worry about things "going wrong", the Catalyst probably believes such a thing is inevitable given enough time. All outcomes will eventually be realized. The peanut-butter synthetics don't matter. The ones who choose to wipe out the organics do. And nobody can stop them.
The Reapers' power is unmatched in the galaxy (until the Crucible, but that took...a while to make). The Reapers were only ultimately matched because they were stagnant. They also were strictly controlled by something (AI, VI, shackled AI...?) that stopped them from evolving or eliminating all organics.
Post-singularity AIs would have no such constraints.
It doesn't have to have occurred before in order to be considered a viable outcome. The nature of it means that by the time we realize it happening, it'll be too late.
In short, the idea of exterminating all organics is also kind of like a thought exercise. Giving synthetics that kind of power is unwise given that they could (and eventually probably will at some point) become your enemy.
Basically, a lot of the Catalyst's arguments are more philosophical and stuff in nature versus actually scientific, hence its logic and way of thinking. What it proposes are very possible candidates of the future. It's just unwilling to take risks.
The Catalyst needs more for it's claims than an argument from authority. It has none.
Unfortunately, as the controller of the Reapers, we don't meet it until it absolutely must reveal itself and then its purpose. There's a view floating around that its argument doesn't matter but what does matter is that it has the power to enforce its views. This is where it gets a lot of its authority - its significance to the plot. There isn't really much of another way, given the nature of the problem, the nature of the story/Reapers (don't explain everything unless they absolutely have to; they clearly prefer just doing what they normally do without having to explain themselves), and the overall significance of the Catalyst's character.
While it may not be good enough for some, that may be all we get because in-universe the Catalyst probably doesn't feel a need to explain itself. As a gamer, though, I admit I would've liked some more explanation.
Don't know if this answered your points or rasied more questions and/or disagreement, but basically, the overall nature of the problem is more philosophical than purely hard science, and the nature of it makes it impossible to prove or disprove it. Whether this is brilliant (speculations) or sloppy writing is irrelevant. Disagreeing is perfectly fine as indicated by the Destroy ending.
Sorry if this did not make sense. I'm sleepy and may edit when I wake up for some more clarification.
Modifié par JShepppp, 29 mai 2012 - 06:27 .