JasmoVT wrote...
Estelindis wrote...
Kargsure wrote...
Any good market researcher will tell you that the polls that have been done (and not just on BSN btw) show that this isn't just a vocal minority. Speaking to someone that works for a Market Research company I was informed that assuming 1.5 million copies of the game were sold then a poll only requires a sample size of just 750 people to reflect the whole. I would think that a poll with over 10,000 responses more than covers the 750. In addition webpolls are considered to have a 20% margin of error.
From this, and a poll where over 90% of people said they disliked the ending - we can extrapolate that over 70% of people that bought the game disliked the ending - hardly a minority.
Thank you for this post. It was very educational!
However, I wonder how poll analysis accounts for the fact that the BSN most likely consists of players who are more fervant than the average player?
Sorry Kargsure but you are missing an important concept. The kind of sample size data you are quoting assumes a random polling drawn from all registered game users. (Closer to 3 million than 1.5 by the way) A voluntary poll or a poll limited to a certain group active on a given site is absolutely meaningless. So far I have seen no polls drawn randomly from all owners and most polls I have seen are biased in the structuring of the questions.
I am making no conclusion about how unhappy fans are, I am saying the data we have proves nothing one way or another.
I'm not missing that concept at all - it is this very concept that makes the margin of error on web polls so much larger than telephone polls. I will accept your 3 million figure however, as I wasn't entirely sure about the 1.5 million it was just a figure I had seen somewhere - but even 3 million only requires a sample size of 1500 respondants. I do agree that some polls have been biased in the way the question but there's only so many ways that you can ask if people liked the ending or wanted it changed. While I can't remember where I saw it, I do recall one poll (on another site where the question was set by the site, rather than being a user generated poll such as those on BSN), where I thought the question and possible responses were about as unbiased as was possible to obtain, and still over 90% of respondants said they wanted the ending changed, with over 85% giving a straight yes, and another 5% or so (can't remember the exact number but between 5 & 10%) saying yes with conditions. You would need a margin of error in excess of 40% to make that 90% into a minority.
I'm happy to concede that the bias still remains however, and that it's difficult to conclusively say that an
overwhelming majority of people want the ending changed, however I am tired of hearing this group described as just the
"vocal minority".
As an aside, of those that said no to changing the ending, more than half said they didn't like the ending but didn't want to see it changed, Leaving just a few % saying they liked the ending. I have no issues with those that do like it - they are entitled to that opinion, just as I am entitled to respectfully disagree with them - it would be a bland old world if we were all the same after all.
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