MortalEngines wrote...
kbct wrote...
BobSmith101 wrote...
Does look like ME3's sales dropped off so sharply that the game would no longer fit the formula VGC use.
I was looking at US Xbox sales on VGC because Xbox has the highest percentage of total sales and doesn't have any digital download unknowns and I was looking in the US because the data can be verified by other sources like NPD.
Sales for ME3 have dropped below sales for ME2:

Sales of ME3 are lower than ME2 for week 3, week 4 , and week 5.
True but you have to look at the sheer volume it sold in the first week. That is so much higher than ME2 that the smaller sales in the 3rd, 4th and 5th week are much less an issue.
ME2 3+4+5: 162,829
ME3 3+4+5: 148,563
Assuming the above relative sales rate holds for the future (might not, especially if Bioware re-releases the game with the "extended" endings included on the disk and it's met with positive reviews/fan reaction), then ME3 will pick up about 700k sales over an equivalent period of time as the one between ME2's 6th week of sales and the present. That'd give ME3 sales of 1.86 million compared to 1.64 million for ME2 over the same time period (+13.4%), which is much smaller than its current lead (+33.4%).
If, instead, the current lead held true over the long term, ME3 would have about 328k additional sales on top of that. In other words, the reduced long-term sales rate probably cost EA/Bioware $8.2 million in sales (for the XBOX 360 version in the United States alone). Assuming XBOX sales are ~60% of the total, US sales are ~92% of NA sales and NA sales are ~60% of global sales, that would put losses attributed to bad word of mouth in the ballpark of $24.7 million.
(And before anyone says it, a ~33% rise in sales from title-to-title isn't completely unreasonable. It's actually almost identical to the rise in sales between ME1 and ME2. And yes, a lot of that can be attributed to bringing the PS3 crowd in for ME2, but don't forget that they attempted to bring the multiplayer crowd (affects all 3 platforms) in for ME3)
Modifié par hippanda, 15 avril 2012 - 08:26 .