Midz wrote...
It is an industry and as such will follow the market as to where sales are .
Wether I or you like it sales are now mainly in phone apps and the money at much cheaper less intensive investment .
Even on consoles sales types are indicitive .
Then look at region sales where in the world thus type /design are most lucrative it is not where I think most believe it to be .
The numbers of sales per region per platform are easily available from search . look and make your own analysis .
With X box PSP etc PC became a niche now with phone app tablets that is being extended .
Game companies try to adapt to survive if they do not they die or become a small fringe .
Many talk of the market and talk of falling sales but fail to see that the market has and is changing .
The same screams were seen all they need is listen to the fans going back to boardgames with the same failure to see the market correctly.
and apology my poor english.
Not really. Mobile sales are yet another one of the industries Myths they chase after. Some game does really well, and then the industry assumes that any game can do really well, ignoring the fact that it was just a convergence of all of the right ingredients, and not reproducable. Like the Farmville wannabes, or the Starcraft wannabes, and so on.
Further, if you do your research, Farmville spends a ridiculous amount of money just to aquire a single customer, it's a losing proposition.
This whole thing is like assuming that since Pirates of the Carribbean sold really well, all you have to do is make a movie about priates and it'll make a billion dollars a movie too. Except it doesn't work like that, not for Hollywood, not for gaming.
Mobile apps are only going to replace the handheld industry, and nothing more. That's all they are, handhelds. It was the perfect convergence of ubiquitous devices, a new control scheme, and game that appeals to all ages. Not too terribly dissimiliar to what drove Wii sales, novelty.
Further, you really need to dig deep into those sales figures you're reading. First, VGChartz uses statistically questionable methods (Hence it's history of revising numbers. Second, many sites get a bit confused about what constitutes a sale, many sites confuse the word "Shipped" with "Sold", and similiarly confuse "Downloaded" with "Sold".
There's nothing "Niche" here. The mobile app market is no bigger than the market of the PSP in the long term. That's all it is. Tablets will not replace PC's, or consoles, they suffer from a severe lack of processing power, and they will continue to do so because they're unable to dissipate any significant quantity of heat, nor can they supply any significant amount of power to xPU's. At their very, very, best, they could be used as thin clients for a home server.
The market is changing. Consoles are about to reach the end of a cycle, and they'll fail. Console-centric buisness plans will fail. Publishers will fail. Replaced by digital delivery systems and crowd funding.
Since you're a big fan of looking up numbers, go look up the projection for the PC market. It's now projected to be larger than all of the console markets combined in just a few years.
The market's changing alright, but not at all the way you think.
Modifié par Gatt9, 20 avril 2012 - 03:01 .