363 réponses à ce sujet

[UnknownMercenary]

Atrociously low odds this week.

35 spectre packs, 1 ultra-rare.
31 premium spectre packs, 4 ultra-rares.

edit: 3 more PSPs with nothing. Time to hoard more credits.

Modifié par UnknownMercenary, 09 septembre 2012 - 08:31 .

[ilyoungbang]

5 PSP's today. 0 UR's.

And just to add, almost all unlocks were character cards that I already had. How obnoxiously frustrating.

Modifié par ilyoungbang, 09 septembre 2012 - 07:08 .

[iLaPis]

71 PSP, 8-9 UR's, 4 of them in first 20 PSP

[Philosophy954]

Just spent 3.1 million credits on PSPs.

Only 5 URs.
Wraith 2,3,4
Saber 4
Talon 5

[Grotaiche]

13 PSP, 1 UR (and a Wraith at that).

[CHAw]

Since my last post, I have gotten:

1 Ultra-Rares in 10 Premium Spectre Packs

I'll try to update the tally again soon.

[Kogia]

 I bought 7 psp yesterday and got 1 UR in there.

[Harbinger1985HU]

Once I get a Rare Reegar Carbine from Veteran Pack. Not unlock, just upgrade. It's normal? But many times I get Common character upgrades from SP, PSP. :S

[bigfutus]

40 PSP
5 UR

Low rate, hoarding moar money.

[CHAw]

Here's another summary* of results. This tally includes all of the data that acturater has up in the original post.

Per Orca_'s suggestion, I've included statistics dividing up data by time period. In keeping with Shampoohorn's analysis, I have also included average cost per ultra-rare. As wngmv has suggested that the data follows a binomial distribution rather than a Poisson distribution, I am using that assumption to generate error ranges for probability and average cost to the 95% confidence interval (CI).


TOTAL

Spectre Packs: 2734
Ultra-Rares: 155
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 5.6693% (+/-0.2106% to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 1,058,322 Credits (+40,833/-37,908 Credits to 95% CI)

Premium Spectre Packs: 7258
Ultra-Rares: 966
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 13.3095% (+/-0.2909% to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 743,832 Credits (+16,621/-15,910 Credits to 95% CI)

Resurgence Packs: 90
Ultra-Rares: 4
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 4.4444% (+/-0.9159% to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 2,227,500 Credits (+578,199/-380,608 Credits to 95% CI)

PRE-REBELLION

Spectre Packs: 1682
Ultra-Rares: 79
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 4.6968% (+/-0.2236% to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 1,277,468 Credits (+63,856/-58,052 Credits CI)

Premium Spectre Packs: 2592
Ultra-Rares: 256
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 9.8765% (+/-0.3683% to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 1,002,375 Credits (+38,830/-36,037 Credits to 95% CI)

Resurgence Packs: 90
Ultra-Rares: 4
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 4.4444% (+/-0.9159% to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 2,227,500 Credits (+578,199/-380,608 Credits to 95% CI)

PRE-REINFORCEMENT

Spectre Packs: 307
Ultra-Rares: 22
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 7.1661% (+/-0.7881% to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 837,272 Credits (+103,462/-82,959 Credits to 95% CI)

Premium Spectre Packs: 1667
Ultra-Rares: 252
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 15.1170% (+/-0.6822% to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 654,893 Credits (+30,953/-28,280 Credits to 95% CI)

POST-REINFORCEMENT (EARTH)

Spectre Packs: 745
Ultra-Rares: 54
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 7.2483% (+/-0.5115% to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 827,778 Credits (+62,850/-54,564 Credits to 95% CI)

Premium Spectre Packs: 2999
Ultra-Rares: 458
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 15.2718% (+/-0.5134% to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 648,255 Credits (+22,550/-21,083 Credits to 95% CI)




* I did not include the following data in these updated numbers, as they were described as estimates and I am uncertain as to how acturater was handling estimates as opposed to hard numbers. I also did not include data from Sacramentum's videos, because I do not currently have time to watch the entirety of those clips; if somebody could summarize them for me, it would be appreciated.

PRE-REBELLION
Bayushi Pochi: 7 URs/200-220 PSPs; 3 URs/400-450 SPs
Hunter of Deathclaws and Tanks: 3URs/~40 PSPs
Dark Absolution: 6 URs/~100 SPs; 0 URs/~50 PSPs and RPs
UKillMeLongTime: 2 URs/? PSPs
PRE-REINFORCEMENT
Dantexr3: 1 URs/? VPs
Sovereign24: 1 URs/?
RhythmlessNinja: 2 URs/?
a load of stanton: 2 URs/? PSPs
AldarionnEB: 7 URs/~30 PSPs
Sharteel: 15 URs/?
The Krauser: 7 URs/? SPs; 2 URs/? PSPs
POST-REINFORCEMENT (EARTH)
Sacramentum: video
Poulpor: 50 URs/600 SPs and PSPs
HNNNNNNG: 1 URs/5-7 PSPs
Havok1369: 4 URs/4 SPs and 4 PSPs (logged the other data provided)
SirFragsALot333: ~10%
ValorOfArms777: ~5%
Finnegone: 110 URs/~739 SPs and PSPs
iLaPis: 8-9 URs/71 PSPs

[UnknownMercenary]

8 PSPs, 2 URs.
5 SPs, 1 UR.

[Grotaiche]

Pre-patch : 14 PSP, 3 URs

[bigfutus]

Ok with DLC out i spended some credits and collected aditional data about rare weapons, character cards, and gear.

PSP 32

UR W: 8
UR CH: 5

R W: 27
R CH: 11
R G: 7

[Grotaiche]

Post-patch, pre-DLC : 10 PSP, 1 UR.

[RoZh2400]

6 PSP

4 UR

PPR, Wraith, Volus Engi, Indra

Modifié par RoZh2400, 14 octobre 2012 - 06:20 .

[bigfutus]

40 PSP
7 UR

[UnknownMercenary]

DLC Spending spree:
111 PSPs, 21 URs

Since then, 24 PSPs and 18 SPs with 0 URs.

Modifié par UnknownMercenary, 19 octobre 2012 - 03:38 .

[bigfutus]

40 PSP
8 UR
Harrier X, me happy

[UnknownMercenary]

Is my luck turning around?
36 PSPs, 9 URs, with 2 double UR packs. Maxed out my Volus appearances too.

[Renku]

Post Earth: 13 PSP - 3 UR
Post Retaliation: 76 PSP - 8 UR
Post Retaliation: 14 SP - 1 UR

[smilinpig]

 well..since i don't play much since the patch..i haven't bought many packs but here goes:

Approx Spectre packs: 14
Approx PSP's: 6
N7's : 1
Character training cards ( here we go AGAIN with THIS BS??) at least : 10
Useless gear ( like scopes and barrels that weigh more than the whole frikken weapon...wtf??? ): 16

[bigfutus]

40 PSP
9 UR

[Grotaiche]

27 PSPs, 11 URs (including 5 Volus cards ; 6 URs otherwise). All these are post-Retaliation.

Modifié par Grotaiche, 07 novembre 2012 - 11:27 .

[Wynne]

1 Common, 2 Uncommon, 2 Rare in my last 2 packs.

[Chimpzy]

I haven't kept count of all the PSPs I bought, but I seem to get about 1 UR in every 10-15 PSPs.