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[Poll] N7 Ultra-Rare Drop Rate from Spectre Packs


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#351
Cthulu_Cuddler

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I don't keep track but most of mine have come from regular spectre packs and commendation/victory packs believe it or not.
Finally got the Jav today from the loyalty pack, only the Valkyrie left to go now

#352
starwolf1001

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decided to get 2 spectre pack today...got my particle rifle II and volus adept

#353
bigfutus

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46 PSP
7 UR

#354
bigfutus

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18 PSP
3 UR
All URs at X, cant help further.

#355
Grotaiche

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34 PSP, 6 UR including 2 Volus Engineers.

#356
Ronald Jerum

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PRE-EARTH

PSP 17
PSPUR 3
SP 1
SPUR 0

POST-EARTH

PSP 162
PSPUR 24
SP 7
SPUR 0

POST-PATCH 4

PSP 9
PSPUR 1
SP 2
SPUR 1

POST-RETALIATION

PSP 169
PSPUR 26
SP 1
SPUR 0

#357
Ronald Jerum

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This is an update to SHAw's previous summary. All notes from his or her post apply.

TOTAL

Spectre Packs: 2784
Ultra-Rares: 159 **
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 5.7112% ([4.8782%-6.6388%] to 95% CI) *
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 1,050,567 Credits ([903,778-1,229,962] Credits to 95% CI)

Premium Spectre Packs: 8190
Ultra-Rares: 1122 **
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 13.6996% ([12.9619%-14.4633%] to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 722,648 Credits ([684,491-763,777] Credits to 95% CI)

Resurgence Packs: 90
Ultra-Rares: 4
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 4.4444% ([1.2241%-10.9901%] to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 2,227,500 Credits ([900,811-8,087,575] Credits to 95% CI)

PRE-REBELLION

Spectre Packs: 1682
Ultra-Rares: 79
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 4.6968% ([3.7358%-5.8195%] to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 1,277,468 Credits ([1,031,016-1606,082] Credits to 95% CI)

Premium Spectre Packs: 2592
Ultra-Rares: 256
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 9.8765% ([8.7545%-11.0901%] to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 1,002,375 Credits ([892,688-1,130,846] Credits to 95% CI)

Resurgence Packs: 90
Ultra-Rares: 4
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 4.4444% ([1.2241%-10.9901%] to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 2,227,500 Credits ([900,811-8,087,575] Credits to 95% CI)

PRE-REINFORCEMENT


Spectre Packs: 308
Ultra-Rares: 22
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 7.1429% ([4.5302%-10.6149%] to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 839,995 Credits ([565,243-1,324,444] Credits to 95% CI)

Premium Spectre Packs: 1684
Ultra-Rares: 255
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 15.1425% ([13.4626%-16.9448%] to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 653,789 Credits ([548,250-735,370] Credits to 95% CI)

POST-REINFORCEMENT (EARTH)

Spectre Packs: 757
Ultra-Rares: 55
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 7.2655% ([5.5199%-9.3524%] to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 825,820 Credits ([641,550-1,087,000] Credits to 95% CI)

Premium Spectre Packs: 3196
Ultra-Rares: 490
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 15.3317% ([14.0991%-16.6281%] to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 645,721 Credits ([595,377-702,172] Credits to 95% CI)

PRE-REINFORCEMENT

Spectre Packs: 2
Ultra-Rares: 1
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 50% ([1.2579%-98.7421%] to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 120,000 Credits ([60,764-4,769,854] Credits to 95% CI)

Premium Spectre Packs: 19
Ultra-Rares: 2
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 10.5263% ([1.3012%-33.1377%] to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 940,500 Credits ([298,753-7,608,400] Credits to 95% CI)

POST-REINFORCEMENT (RETALIATION)


Spectre Packs: 35
Ultra-Rares: 2 **
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 5.7143% ([.6997%-19.15714%] to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 1,050,000 Credits ([313,200-8,575,103] Credits to 95% CI)

Premium Spectre Packs: 699
Ultra-Rares: 119 **
Chance of Ultra-Rare per Pack: 17.0243% ([14.3105%-20.0198%] to 95% CI)
Cost per Ultra-Rare: 581,521 Credits ([494,510-691,799] Credits to 95% CI)

* I utilized the Clopper-Pearson interval to calculate the 95% Confidence Interval. I don't know what method SHAw used, but this is why te intervals are wider than the ones in his or her post.

** Some of the post-Retaliation reponses likely include Ultra-Rare Character cards (i.e. Volus). BioWare has stated that these cards do not affect on Ultra-Rare Weapon drops.

Modifié par Ronald Jerum, 07 décembre 2012 - 10:59 .


#358
Reawyn

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best thing to solve this problem and without actually changing current packs would be to gurrentee an ultra rare with the allied community goal Victory Pack. would motivate people to do the community goal and give everyone the chance to get an ultra rare.

#359
Hausner85

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I'm buying when i have 2 millions at least will cotribute

20 PSP 4 UR

Modifié par Hausner85, 06 décembre 2012 - 06:28 .


#360
BAMF_HUFF

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20 PSP = 0 UR (weapons)
Getting annoyed

#361
XSpectreReconX

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BAMF_HUFF wrote...

20 PSP = 0 UR (weapons)
Getting annoyed


from 20?
im on about 100-120 with no ur drops, in the last 2 weeks, not one.  I'm starting to think my drop rate is glitched, have been playing since release date and before finally being re-employed october time I had been playing in excess of eight hours every day on mp since release, still dont even have a single ultra rare at X yet even though I have been buying nothing but spectre packs till PSP's came out and PSP's once they were permanantly released,.  I mean seriously come the F**k on I dont mind a little bs on rng but its been the best part of a year and my black widow is still at 2!!

I even spent £40 UK and 1.5 mill creditson PSP's alone a few weeks ago after finishing paying out for the last of peoples christmas gifts and I didnt get one single UR!!!  Anyone got any suggestions before I loose it and throw the disc into my trash, maybe somone else is having the same issue?

#362
Trav-O

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1 PSP = 0
6 Reserves = 1 (typhoon)

Modifié par Trav-O, 26 décembre 2012 - 08:51 .


#363
rubberduckie666

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40 PSP only level 4 equipment I feel like I'm being robed

#364
WilliamYZFR1

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rubberduckie666 wrote...

40 PSP only level 4 equipment I feel like I'm being robed


I think you were robBed and will be accused of thread resurrurection.

But hey were are talking RNG God here.