Quick tip about statistics...
If you have a Red, Blue, Green, and Yellow ball in the bucket, you have a 25% chance of getting a yellow ball. (This is where the fun begins.)
If you remove it, then your odds of getting the other balls are raised. (You can't get the yellow ball again.)
If you add the ball back into the bucket after each draw, you keep the 25% chance of yellow the same. It is simply fate.
It makes virtually no difference how many you buy. Your odds are reset each time. It's called an Independent Event. There is no way to guarantee outcome no matter which packs you buy...or however many credits you spend. You are ~ 2x as likely to get Black Cards from the PSPs, You're paying for better odds, not a for sure thing. This price is < Spec Packs x2. So saying that buying 10 spec packs @ $ and 10 PSPs @ $ is worthless. Your chances vary. You're paying for odds, not for a black card eventually. You can buy either a hundred times and get nothing, or max out in your first 50. It's luck!
EDIT: You could account for the Black Cards you've already received, but considering how few are given it only becomes relevant as you get closer to maxing. OR DOES IT? Lol, I have no idea.
DOUBLE EDIT: If you believe your odds increase for a perfectly random event each time it is performed, (which you would if you're trying to compare credits spent to Black Cards received,) it's called the Gambler's Fallacy.
THE MORE YOU KNOW
Modifié par MuteSyndrome, 09 mai 2012 - 10:54 .