Well lets hash out numbers. The Codex says 1 well handled cruiser or a very good fighter wing is able to take down 1 Destroyer and 2 dreadnoughts will have trouble with a Sovereign class Reaper but 3 can take it down with ease. Now the ME wiki states
" As of 2185, the dreadnought count was 39 turian, 20 asari, 16 salarian, and 8 human. By 2186, humans construct a ninth dreadnought, and the volus have built a single dreadnought of their own."
Thats 77 dreadnoughts, Plus 3 Quarian Liveships, and the Geth Armada (if i remember correctly from the codex) has TENS of dreadnoughts besides the one Shepard Destroys, which are 30% larger than Everest Clss Dreadnoughts. So if you dont mind we'll round it to an even 100 dreadnoughts to account for those possibly lost in action over the course of the war before the battle.
As for cruisers we see for ourselves there are thousands in the final battle seen so if you'll allow me to be liberal about it we can effectively say that each fleet has thousands of them and that each dreadnought has an attendant fleet of tens of them each, plus battle groups without a dreadnaught.
The Quarians did not use the full extent of their 50,000 ships, the codex says the civilian fleet stayed behind, but The heavy and patrol fleet number in the thousands. The Geth have their own massive fleet of frigate sized vessels as well that at least equal the size of the quarian fleet.
Now you have the Turian Fleet, the largest military force in the galaxy, likely thousands of ships, the Systems Alliance Fleet, crippled in the initial battle but according to the Normandy's Command center and footage of the battle they make up the bulk of Sword and Sheild Fleets. The Asari give at least 3 fleets, as do the Salarians, and you can have Hanar, Volus, Elcor, Batarian, and Terminus Contingents.
Now I know I've made a lot of assumtpions but bear with me. This could equal on the low side of 20,000 vessels to, assuming every avilable resource, 100,000 vessels of frigate strength and higher plus fighters. I don't think there's any possible way to count the ships in the cutscenes and likely they don't represent every single ship there as its a game and they can only render so many ships.
Now say the Reapers have been operating for 1 Billion to 2 billion years, likely more, and make a baby every 50,000 years. That means 20,000-40,000 Soveriegn class ships plus many many more desteroyers. This is likely an underestimate but hey, thats still a lot, more than enough to darken the skies of Earth. I could be wrong and they could have not been around tht long or been around longer but theres evidence in game of a 1 billion year old Reaper
With a maxed out EMS, and assuming every possible ship available fights, with the Reapers having numbers on the low end those numbers are pretty much 5-1 or 2.5-1 excluding destroyers, which is said to make up the bulk of the fleet.
With Thanix series canons, and the myriad technical improvments made since Soveriegn attacked I'd say this stakcs up to even even fight given that
1) The attack is done with EVERY available resource all at once, not holding back to protect the Crucible
2) It is executed PERFECTLY with perfect coordination between ships to focus on capital ships and slowly decimate thier forces
3)We are lucky and the Reapers have lower numbers than expected or have been operating at right around 1 billion years, the lowest known number.
It can be done, But at massive massive losses on both sides and little forces enough to protect the rest of the galaxy from the remaining Reapers spread out across the Milky Way, But It can be done, Hackett may not think so but he may consider a Pyrrhic Victory (and this could only be one) an impossible to fathom loss anyways. If you can edit this analysis to make it more exact with any numbers or corrections you say fit, just please don't tear it apart, I figure it makes good sense. We could win, just at a great cost. If we are very lucky, the Reapers, caught up in their arrogance will simply lose sight of what is truly happening, not give it their all thinking they've won and then be crushed worse than allied fleets would be. They have a tendnecy to underestimate just how good this cycle can be.
Modifié par XFeroxX, 28 juin 2012 - 05:59 .
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