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UR Drop Rate Experiment - SPs/PSPs/RPs/APs - Reckoning DLC Update


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#151
artificial-ignorance

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**UPDATE 3** - I have updated the list

I have a no-UR streak in PSP's - 25 consecutive!!! WOoo...
Notable unlocks this update include: Omni-Capacitor I (RG), Shock Trooper Upgrade III (RG), and a few uncommon gears. Other than that, a lot of LvL4 consumables.

#152
Sabina261187

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artificial-ignorance wrote...

Sabina261187 wrote...

artificial-ignorance wrote...

Sabina261187 wrote...

I now updated with my info on randomfoo's spreadsheet.... 3.03% UR drop rate so far... Weee..... o_O


That's wierd, I don't see your data... and 3%? yikes, thats gotta hurt.


If I HAD the stats of the other packs, then it would have been lower because I haven hat ANYTHING since those packs the 20th last month.... Nothing... :crying: Do you see it now?


Nope, still don't see it... And I still don't see you on origin...:blink:

Are you posting here:  docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc ?


Yes I did, it was down in the bottom, now it's gone......... :blink: Randomfoo must have deleted it... 

Modifié par Sabina261187, 11 août 2012 - 06:44 .


#153
artificial-ignorance

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Sabina261187 wrote...

artificial-ignorance wrote...

Sabina261187 wrote...

artificial-ignorance wrote...

Sabina261187 wrote...

I now updated with my info on randomfoo's spreadsheet.... 3.03% UR drop rate so far... Weee..... o_O


That's wierd, I don't see your data... and 3%? yikes, thats gotta hurt.


If I HAD the stats of the other packs, then it would have been lower because I haven hat ANYTHING since those packs the 20th last month.... Nothing... :crying: Do you see it now?


Nope, still don't see it... And I still don't see you on origin...:blink:

Are you posting here:  docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc ?


Yes I did, it was down in the bottom, now it's gone......... :blink: Randomfoo must have deleted it... 


hmm, send him a PM and ask him whats up... maybe there was something wrong with how you inputted the data?

#154
Sabina261187

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artificial-ignorance wrote...

Sabina261187 wrote...

artificial-ignorance wrote...

Sabina261187 wrote...

artificial-ignorance wrote...

Sabina261187 wrote...

I now updated with my info on randomfoo's spreadsheet.... 3.03% UR drop rate so far... Weee..... o_O


That's wierd, I don't see your data... and 3%? yikes, thats gotta hurt.


If I HAD the stats of the other packs, then it would have been lower because I haven hat ANYTHING since those packs the 20th last month.... Nothing... :crying: Do you see it now?


Nope, still don't see it... And I still don't see you on origin...:blink:

Are you posting here:  docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc ?


Yes I did, it was down in the bottom, now it's gone......... :blink: Randomfoo must have deleted it... 


hmm, send him a PM and ask him whats up... maybe there was something wrong with how you inputted the data?


When I go to my Gmail documents, is says that it's still there: 
https://docs.google....BEdTJqZ1E#gid=2 

#155
artificial-ignorance

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Sabina261187 wrote...

artificial-ignorance wrote...

Sabina261187 wrote...

artificial-ignorance wrote...

Sabina261187 wrote...

artificial-ignorance wrote...

Sabina261187 wrote...

I now updated with my info on randomfoo's spreadsheet.... 3.03% UR drop rate so far... Weee..... o_O


That's wierd, I don't see your data... and 3%? yikes, thats gotta hurt.


If I HAD the stats of the other packs, then it would have been lower because I haven hat ANYTHING since those packs the 20th last month.... Nothing... :crying: Do you see it now?


Nope, still don't see it... And I still don't see you on origin...:blink:

Are you posting here:  docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc ?


Yes I did, it was down in the bottom, now it's gone......... :blink: Randomfoo must have deleted it... 


hmm, send him a PM and ask him whats up... maybe there was something wrong with how you inputted the data?


When I go to my Gmail documents, is says that it's still there: 
https://docs.google....BEdTJqZ1E#gid=2 


oh, now I see it.  thats odd.

The link you sent me doesnt have my updated packs - now I'm at 41, which is different from the link you sent me... i think its a copy of the original spreadsheet that you're posting on.

Modifié par artificial-ignorance, 11 août 2012 - 06:59 .


#156
Gashie

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Hypothetical question.. if one completes their manifest, including having a maximum number of consumables, all characters maxed, all gears, all weapons BUT with an incomplete UR weapon set... will the probability of getting a UR weapon in a PSP jump significantly, or can we more realistically expect that the pack will be filled with common character cards instead?

On topic, nice thread OP, looking forward to the logs of your purchases getting bigger just to see how it turns out in your case.

#157
artificial-ignorance

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Gashie wrote...

Hypothetical question.. if one completes their manifest, including having a maximum number of consumables, all characters maxed, all gears, all weapons BUT with an incomplete UR weapon set... will the probability of getting a UR weapon in a PSP jump significantly, or can we more realistically expect that the pack will be filled with common character cards instead?

On topic, nice thread OP, looking forward to the logs of your purchases getting bigger just to see how it turns out in your case.


I read somewhere that if you have consumables maxed (ex. LvLIV ammo) you can still get more consumables - so no, the UR drop rate would not increase.

And thanks!  I am also looking forward to seeing how my stats turn out as my sample size grows! STATS R FUN:O lol

Modifié par artificial-ignorance, 11 août 2012 - 07:13 .


#158
Arveragus

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I have some of my own stats to contribute. I have maxed out all uncommon and rare weapons, all characters and all weapon mods.

The last 15 Premium Spectre Packs that I bought contained 17 pieces of rare gear and 1 ultra-rare weapon. The 12 other rare drops were consumables (mostly ammo).

As a side note: the last 11 Veteran packs that I bought contained only 3 pieces of uncommon gear.

After obtaining these, I still need to unlock 19 pieces of uncommon gear and 14 pieces of rare gear. I am currently saving up a few million credits to obtain them. I'll post the results when I have them.

Modifié par Arveragus, 12 août 2012 - 01:20 .


#159
artificial-ignorance

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Arveragus wrote...

I have some of my own stats to contribute. I have maxed out all uncommon and rare weapons, all characters and all weapon mods.

The last 15 Premium Spectre Packs that I bought contained 17 pieces of rare gear and 1 ultra-rare weapon. The 12 other rare drops were consumables (mostly ammo).

As a side note: the last 11 Veteran packs that I bought contained only 3 pieces of uncommon gear.

After obtaining these, I still need to unlock 19 pieces of uncommon gear and 14 pieces of rare gear. I am currently saving up a few million credits to obtain them. I'll post the results when I have them.


Awesome!  My friend randomfoo has a great online spreadsheet where a bunch of people have pooled their data.  If you would like to contribute, drop randomfoo a message on BSN.  Here is the link to the spreadsheet:  docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc.  It concerns only PSP's though.

The more data, the more statistically significant the numbers are!:wizard:

And wow, 17 RGs in 15 PSPs... that must be a record.

Modifié par artificial-ignorance, 12 août 2012 - 02:42 .


#160
ParatrooperSean

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Am I reading this right that SP's actually have a statistical better chance for an UR than PSP's?

SP Unlockables
LvL IV Consumables 34 94.4%
Rare Gear (RG) 0 0%
Ultra Rare Weapons 2 5.6%

PSP Unlockables
LvL IV Consumables 74 90.2%
Rare Gear (RG) 6 7.3%
Ultra Rare Weapons 2 2.4%

#161
WaffleCrab

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artificial-ignorance wrote...

**UPDATE 3** - I have updated the list

I have a no-UR streak in PSP's - 25 consecutive!!! WOoo...
Notable unlocks this update include: Omni-Capacitor I (RG), Shock Trooper Upgrade III (RG), and a few uncommon gears. Other than that, a lot of LvL4 consumables.


you think that is bad, gtfo! i had a streak of 81...+1 SP

#162
WaffleCrab

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ParatrooperSean wrote...

Am I reading this right that SP's actually have a statistical better chance for an UR than PSP's?

SP Unlockables
LvL IV Consumables 34 94.4%
Rare Gear (RG) 0 0%
Ultra Rare Weapons 2 5.6%

PSP Unlockables
LvL IV Consumables 74 90.2%
Rare Gear (RG) 6 7.3%
Ultra Rare Weapons 2 2.4%


yeah my find rate for UR's on PSP is around 4.2% atm.

SP find rate is at 5.4-5.5%

#163
icecoldkilla78

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Just last night before I stopped playing for the day I bought 5 PSPs and got the wraith VII, saber V, and Cerberus Harrier IV.

A few days ago I bought 10 SPs and got nothing but level IV consumables.

I have a close to maxed manifest outside of the gear bonus equipment. I think the drop rates are fair enough but I have some friends that don't seem to be as lucky as I am.

#164
Salaj

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getting just lvl Iv ammo and talons will make me stop playing pretty soon

#165
artificial-ignorance

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ParatrooperSean wrote...

Am I reading this right that SP's actually have a statistical better chance for an UR than PSP's?

SP Unlockables
LvL IV Consumables 34 94.4%
Rare Gear (RG) 0 0%
Ultra Rare Weapons 2 5.6%

PSP Unlockables
LvL IV Consumables 74 90.2%
Rare Gear (RG) 6 7.3%
Ultra Rare Weapons 2 2.4%


So far, yes.  But this may only be because SP's have a 0% gear drop rate, thereby increasing the relative UR drop rate.  Both SP's and PSP's have only recieved 2 URs overall - so I wouldn't draw conclusions like that from this.  Also, the data set is still fairly small - I'm going to need a much larger sample size to get the conclusion of which pack has a better UR drop rate.

#166
Immortal Strife

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I bought 45 sp and received 1 rare gear. My URs are maxed SI I can't contribute on their drop rate.

#167
PrebuiltTub

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I have all UR with plenty of gear to go :(

#168
Shampoohorn

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artificial-ignorance wrote...

**UPDATE 3** - I have updated the list

I have a no-UR streak in PSP's - 25 consecutive!!! WOoo...
Notable unlocks this update include: Omni-Capacitor I (RG), Shock Trooper Upgrade III (RG), and a few uncommon gears. Other than that, a lot of LvL4 consumables.


OP, prior to your efforts, this was the the best aggregation of data that the community had.  It isn't vetted, but ought to be a good point of comparison for what you're trying to do.

Note, there is a difference in UR drop rate per credits spent between PSP and SPacks.  It appears this is only due to the number of gold card slot per credit spent.

Thanks for doing this btw.  I'll put in my own input as soon as I buy another bolus of packs.


edit:  just saw your post in the other thread.  nevermind. :D

Modifié par Shampoohorn, 12 août 2012 - 05:05 .


#169
All4avs

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I have 25 UR cards to go and I am getting very frustrated like allot of people, my streak is currently at 26.

Is there a good time to spend the credits on them??? lol

#170
artificial-ignorance

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Shampoohorn wrote...

artificial-ignorance wrote...

**UPDATE 3** - I have updated the list

I have a no-UR streak in PSP's - 25 consecutive!!! WOoo...
Notable unlocks this update include: Omni-Capacitor I (RG), Shock Trooper Upgrade III (RG), and a few uncommon gears. Other than that, a lot of LvL4 consumables.


OP, prior to your efforts, this was the the best aggregation of data that the community had.  It isn't vetted, but ought to be a good point of comparison for what you're trying to do.

Note, there is a difference in UR drop rate per credits spent between PSP and SPacks.  It appears this is only due to the number of gold card slot per credit spent.

Thanks for doing this btw.  I'll put in my own input as soon as I buy another bolus of packs.


edit:  just saw your post in the other thread.  nevermind. :D


lol yep, one step ahead of you :P

#171
artificial-ignorance

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All4avs wrote...

I have 25 UR cards to go and I am getting very frustrated like allot of people, my streak is currently at 26.

Is there a good time to spend the credits on them??? lol


my PSP no UR streak is now 29 and counting...I win :( ...so frustrating.

Modifié par artificial-ignorance, 12 août 2012 - 09:59 .


#172
jayk359

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i am at 15 psp and over 20 sp and i got Combatives Upgrade I out of it.

#173
artificial-ignorance

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**UPDATE 4** - I have updated the list

Ended my no-UR streak in PSP's at 30!!!
Notable unlocks this update include: Indra VII, Densified Ammunition IV (UG), and a lot of LvL4 consumables (what else is new?).

#174
Folgor

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@OP wow good job compiling this list :o.

The %'s really depress me lol, im never going to get my damn typhoon lol xD

#175
artificial-ignorance

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Folgor wrote...

@OP wow good job compiling this list :o.

The %'s really depress me lol, im never going to get my damn typhoon lol xD


Thanks!

And keep at it! I'm sure sooner or later the RNG gods will favour you! :devil: