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Numbers Don't Lie: Bioware's Fan Majority Still Upset


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#176
Clayless

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Jadebaby wrote...

you have to then account for the fact that only 38% of people even finished the game.


Which boosts the numbers up to a staggering 4.7% and 11.1%.

A situation where even if those that hated the end was quadruple that of those who voted, it still wouldn't be the majority.

Modifié par Robosexual, 03 mars 2013 - 11:48 .


#177
IanPolaris

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iDeevil wrote...

Indy_S wrote...

If there's doubt that the majority of consumers liked your product, that's a sign that something is wrong. Regardless of whether or not the majority hates the ending, it remains a significant portion of the consumer base. This should not be dismissed.


And this is why they are doing a ground swell of market research for future ventures.  ME3's ending was in the bag back in March.  It's time to look forward.  Bioware do seem to have learnt from this, even if we aren't seeing a change in this game.

What makes me sad that *if* the leaked ending was meant to be what we were going to get, what we did get is a direct result of some ass leaking the script early sending people to hurridly rewrite a new ending.


I saw the leaked script.  Other than  some cosmetic changes (Guardian rather than Catalyst for one), the endings in the leak were almost identical to what was released last March.

-Polaris

#178
IanPolaris

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Robosexual wrote...

Jadebaby wrote...

you have to then account for the fact that only 38% of people even finished the game.


Which boosts the numbers up to a staggering 4.7% and 11.1%.

A situation where even if quadruple the amount of people hated the end than those that voted, it still wouldn't be the majority.


Far, far more than a trained statistician needs to get a good idea of what the larger population size thinks.

-Polaris

#179
Eterna

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Jadebaby wrote...

Eterna5 wrote...

IF you're done with Mass Effect then what are you waiting for? 


You can't get rid of me Eterna, I am apart of you now. As long as you are here, I always will be.

We're in this together Hank.


I always knew my gluttony would end up being my undoing. 

Modifié par Eterna5, 03 mars 2013 - 11:49 .


#180
Indy_S

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Robosexual wrote...

Proof would be proof that the majority hates it.

Right now the biggest numbers we have on people that hate the ending are the Retake movement, which happen to be 1.8% of the people that bought ME3 or 4.2% of the people that bought ME3 in March alone.

That means 98.2% of people or 95.8% of people didn't vote.

Now you can come to a conclusion that if 4.2% of people think something the majority agrees with them, but that's really shaky ground to stand on and really isn't proof at all.


Remarkable mishandling of how surveys work, here. They do not measure the whole consumer base. They take a sample, ideally at random, and get answers and opinions for that sample. The surveyors then extrapolate that data and apply it to the whole consumer base. If you ask 5 people if they like Pantene shampoo and four of them said 'yes', you could claim an 80% satisfaction rate from your survey. Pantene has millions of customers and while they typically survey more than 5 people, they don't ever survey all of their customers. Not even close.

Of course, none of this is proof. However, it is more of an indicator than nothing and allows us to make informed conclusions based upon this information.

#181
Clayless

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IanPolaris wrote...

Robosexual wrote...

Proof would be proof that the majority hates it.

Right now the biggest numbers we have on people that hate the ending are the Retake movement, which happen to be 1.8% of the people that bought ME3 or 4.2% of the people that bought ME3 in March alone.

That means 98.2% of people or 95.8% of people didn't vote.

Now you can come to a conclusion that if 4.2% of people think something the majority agrees with them, but that's really shaky ground to stand on and really isn't proof at all.


You have just tossed out any validity of all polling and the value of polling pretty much ever.  I don't accept that.  Polls may not be prefectly accurate, but they can (and often do) give very useful and valid feedback of what a large population thinks based on a very small sample size.

For example, one can (if one does it correctly) get a very accurate national poll for the US (apprx 300million people) with a sample size as small as 500 people.

-POlaris


Like all those awards that ME3 won for example.

Modifié par Robosexual, 03 mars 2013 - 11:50 .


#182
Dr_Extrem

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Robosexual wrote...

Jadebaby wrote...

Robosexual wrote...

But that doesn't back up your claim, that's not how it works, watch:

I can back it up. I'm going to say a factual statement right now. I've never seen anything that showed that Zeus isn't going to destroy every being on earth soon. Can you refute that?

Don't you see? That doesn't back up my claim that Zeus is going to kill every living being on earth if someone can't refute it. That's not how burden of proof works. If I make a claim I have to back it up. Someone not making a counter claim isn't proof of my claim.



What you said and what I said are not the same. What proof do you have that Zeus IS going to destroy every being on earth soon? I bet it's not a concrete as the polls.


What proof do you have that the majority hates the endings?


on tthe other hand .. what proof do you have, to disprove jade?

you only have the word of a community representative - and that is not much without its confirmation by hard facts.


both sides cant prove anything ... or they dont want (what is worse).

#183
dorktainian

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Robosexual wrote...

IanPolaris wrote...

Robosexual wrote...

IanPolaris wrote...

Robosexual wrote...

What proof do you have that the majority hates the endings?


Define "proof".  Unless you can interview every simple person that has played and finished ME3 (very unlikely), you aren't going to get absolute proof..and such is highly unreasonable.   However, we can look at data from sample sizes of people that have played and completed ME3 and come up with at least some conclusions.  The better the data collection, the better those conclusions will be.

-Polaris


Proof would be proof that the majority hates it.

Right now the biggest numbers we have on people that hate the ending are the Retake movement, which happen to be 1.8% of the people that bought ME3 or 4.2% of the people that bought ME3 in March alone.

That means 98.2% of people or 95.8% of people didn't vote.

Now you can come to a conclusion that if 4.2% of people think something the majority agrees with them, but that's really shaky ground to stand on and really isn't proof at all.


You have just tossed out any validity of all polling and the value of polling pretty much ever.  I don't accept that.  Polls may not be prefectly accurate, but they can (and often do) give very useful and valid feedback of what a large population thinks based on a very small sample size.

For example, one can (if one does it correctly) get a very accurate national poll for the US (apprx 300million people) with a sample size as small as 500 people.

-POlaris


Like all those awards that ME3 won for example.


yeah and the huge applause it got when the annoucements were made 'hears pin drop'.

do the research.

#184
Clayless

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Dr_Extrem wrote...

Robosexual wrote...

What proof do you have that the majority hates the endings?


on tthe other hand .. what proof do you have, to disprove jade?

you only have the word of a community representative - and that is not much without its confirmation by hard facts.

both sides cant prove anything ... or they dont want (what is worse).


What side?

Modifié par Robosexual, 03 mars 2013 - 11:52 .


#185
iDeevil

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IanPolaris wrote...

iDeevil wrote...

Indy_S wrote...

If there's doubt that the majority of consumers liked your product, that's a sign that something is wrong. Regardless of whether or not the majority hates the ending, it remains a significant portion of the consumer base. This should not be dismissed.


And this is why they are doing a ground swell of market research for future ventures.  ME3's ending was in the bag back in March.  It's time to look forward.  Bioware do seem to have learnt from this, even if we aren't seeing a change in this game.

What makes me sad that *if* the leaked ending was meant to be what we were going to get, what we did get is a direct result of some ass leaking the script early sending people to hurridly rewrite a new ending.


I saw the leaked script.  Other than  some cosmetic changes (Guardian rather than Catalyst for one), the endings in the leak were almost identical to what was released last March.

-Polaris


There was actually a lot more information to explain how we got for there to here.  It made more cohesive sense and closed a couple of those buggy plot holes.  Not all of them mind you, which would be impossible given that they had been stacking up since the first game.

#186
IanPolaris

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Robosexual wrote...

IanPolaris wrote...

Robosexual wrote...

Proof would be proof that the majority hates it.

Right now the biggest numbers we have on people that hate the ending are the Retake movement, which happen to be 1.8% of the people that bought ME3 or 4.2% of the people that bought ME3 in March alone.

That means 98.2% of people or 95.8% of people didn't vote.

Now you can come to a conclusion that if 4.2% of people think something the majority agrees with them, but that's really shaky ground to stand on and really isn't proof at all.


You have just tossed out any validity of all polling and the value of polling pretty much ever.  I don't accept that.  Polls may not be prefectly accurate, but they can (and often do) give very useful and valid feedback of what a large population thinks based on a very small sample size.

For example, one can (if one does it correctly) get a very accurate national poll for the US (apprx 300million people) with a sample size as small as 500 people.

-POlaris


Like all those awards that ME3 won for example.


This proves nothing other than there is a rift the size of the Grand Canyon between how so-called professional reviewers view EA/Bioware games and how the actual customers do.  Remember DA2?  We saw all sorts of high praise and critical acclaim when DA2 was first released too.....

-Polaris

#187
Jadebaby

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Robosexual wrote...

Jadebaby wrote...

you have to then account for the fact that only 38% of people even finished the game.


Which boosts the numbers up to a staggering 4.7% and 11.1%.

A situation where even if those that hated the end was quadruple that of those who voted, it still wouldn't be the majority.


4.7% and 11.1% of people who go on forums. As you said yourself, not everyone does.

#188
IanPolaris

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iDeevil wrote...

IanPolaris wrote...

iDeevil wrote...

Indy_S wrote...

If there's doubt that the majority of consumers liked your product, that's a sign that something is wrong. Regardless of whether or not the majority hates the ending, it remains a significant portion of the consumer base. This should not be dismissed.


And this is why they are doing a ground swell of market research for future ventures.  ME3's ending was in the bag back in March.  It's time to look forward.  Bioware do seem to have learnt from this, even if we aren't seeing a change in this game.

What makes me sad that *if* the leaked ending was meant to be what we were going to get, what we did get is a direct result of some ass leaking the script early sending people to hurridly rewrite a new ending.


I saw the leaked script.  Other than  some cosmetic changes (Guardian rather than Catalyst for one), the endings in the leak were almost identical to what was released last March.

-Polaris


There was actually a lot more information to explain how we got for there to here.  It made more cohesive sense and closed a couple of those buggy plot holes.  Not all of them mind you, which would be impossible given that they had been stacking up since the first game.


I disagree.  I saw those endings and we commented on them here before it was shut down.  Those endings (the leaked ones) were as badly received then (~Nov 2011) as the actual pre-EC endings were in March 2012, and while there was a little more info, the Guardian was a clear Deus Ex Machina and called that at the time, and still came out completely from left field and people did NOT like it.  The outrage was less because it was a leak and most thought at the time Bioware would fix it.

They didn't.

-Polaris

#189
Clayless

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IanPolaris wrote...

Robosexual wrote...

IanPolaris wrote...

You have just tossed out any validity of all polling and the value of polling pretty much ever.  I don't accept that.  Polls may not be prefectly accurate, but they can (and often do) give very useful and valid feedback of what a large population thinks based on a very small sample size.

For example, one can (if one does it correctly) get a very accurate national poll for the US (apprx 300million people) with a sample size as small as 500 people.

-POlaris


Like all those awards that ME3 won for example.


This proves nothing other than there is a rift the size of the Grand Canyon between how so-called professional reviewers view EA/Bioware games and how the actual customers do.  Remember DA2?  We saw all sorts of high praise and critical acclaim when DA2 was first released too.....

-Polaris


I read a lot of reader voted awards there.

#190
IanPolaris

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Robosexual wrote...

IanPolaris wrote...

Robosexual wrote...

IanPolaris wrote...

You have just tossed out any validity of all polling and the value of polling pretty much ever.  I don't accept that.  Polls may not be prefectly accurate, but they can (and often do) give very useful and valid feedback of what a large population thinks based on a very small sample size.

For example, one can (if one does it correctly) get a very accurate national poll for the US (apprx 300million people) with a sample size as small as 500 people.

-POlaris


Like all those awards that ME3 won for example.


This proves nothing other than there is a rift the size of the Grand Canyon between how so-called professional reviewers view EA/Bioware games and how the actual customers do.  Remember DA2?  We saw all sorts of high praise and critical acclaim when DA2 was first released too.....

-Polaris


I read a lot of reader voted awards there.


Doesn't work that way.  Sorry, but there is a wide rift between what the gaming journalism sites like and what the people that play the game like.  Don't believe me?  Look at Metacritic.  There are all sorts of ways to goose "reader" voted awards to get what your editor likes.  I am not saying this was done, but I am suspicious.  DA2 was highly acclaimed too for about six months before most professional reviewers came to their senses.

-Polaris

#191
Clayless

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Jadebaby wrote...

Robosexual wrote...

Jadebaby wrote...

you have to then account for the fact that only 38% of people even finished the game.


Which boosts the numbers up to a staggering 4.7% and 11.1%.

A situation where even if those that hated the end was quadruple that of those who voted, it still wouldn't be the majority.


4.7% and 11.1% of people who go on forums. As you said yourself, not everyone does.


The Retake movement is Facebook, and linked on Wikipedia numerous times, so saying it's just forum goers would probably be doing it a bit of a disservice, not that I ever thought I'd say that for the Retake movement.

#192
Dr_Extrem

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Robosexual wrote...

IanPolaris wrote...

Robosexual wrote...

IanPolaris wrote...

You have just tossed out any validity of all polling and the value of polling pretty much ever.  I don't accept that.  Polls may not be prefectly accurate, but they can (and often do) give very useful and valid feedback of what a large population thinks based on a very small sample size.

For example, one can (if one does it correctly) get a very accurate national poll for the US (apprx 300million people) with a sample size as small as 500 people.

-POlaris


Like all those awards that ME3 won for example.


This proves nothing other than there is a rift the size of the Grand Canyon between how so-called professional reviewers view EA/Bioware games and how the actual customers do.  Remember DA2?  We saw all sorts of high praise and critical acclaim when DA2 was first released too.....

-Polaris


I read a lot of reader voted awards there.


no kidding .. everybody can make 10 ign accounts and vote with each of it.

on bsn, its a little bit more complicated ...


lets take the oscars as an example.

first: you can only vote, if you are a member of the academy.
second: only actors can vote for other actors, directors only for directors etc.
third: you have to watch the movie in a theatre to participate.

ign: make an account


btw. 2012 was a weak year for games in general.

Modifié par Dr_Extrem, 03 mars 2013 - 12:06 .


#193
iDeevil

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IanPolaris wrote...

iDeevil wrote...

There was actually a lot more information to explain how we got for there to here.  It made more cohesive sense and closed a couple of those buggy plot holes.  Not all of them mind you, which would be impossible given that they had been stacking up since the first game.


I disagree.  I saw those endings and we commented on them here before it was shut down.  Those endings (the leaked ones) were as badly received then (~Nov 2011) as the actual pre-EC endings were in March 2012, and while there was a little more info, the Guardian was a clear Deus Ex Machina and called that at the time, and still came out completely from left field and people did NOT like it.  The outrage was less because it was a leak and most thought at the time Bioware would fix it.

They didn't.

-Polaris


I didn't say they were perfect, just that they closed up a few of the buggy plot holes.

TBH, The ending *could* have been better in a number of ways.

BUT, I think no matter what we got we still would have had a number of loud, passionate voices who hated it.  I totally understand everyone that hated it because of plot holes (though arguments that the rest of the game were sans them are ridiculous) and such I get.

Complaints that Shepard died I get on a visceral level, and emotional one.  I do understand why they killed Shep off though, and I think it created what could have been a very beautifully touching bittersweet tragedy.  I guess the folks I get the less are the ones who demand 'little blue babies'.  But that's from my perspective.  No one has to agree with it.

#194
Clayless

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IanPolaris wrote...

Robosexual wrote...

I read a lot of reader voted awards there.


Doesn't work that way.  Sorry, but there is a wide rift between what the gaming journalism sites like and what the people that play the game like.  Don't believe me?  Look at Metacritic.  There are all sorts of ways to goose "reader" voted awards to get what your editor likes.  I am not saying this was done, but I am suspicious.  DA2 was highly acclaimed too for about six months before most professional reviewers came to their senses.

-Polaris


We're delving into tin foil hat wearing territory here. If you say samples are a good way to judge something but chose to ignore all the numerous samples that disagree with you then there's really nothing I can say to convince you otherwise.

Even look above at that reply I got about fake accounts. This entire argument is "The majority of people hate the ending even though none of us can prove it but we're using samples to help back it up but we're ignoring samples that don't because anything that suggests people enjoyed ME3 must be people making fake accounts".

It's ridiculous.

Modifié par Robosexual, 03 mars 2013 - 12:09 .


#195
iDeevil

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Dr_Extrem wrote...

first: you can only vote, if you are a member of the academy.
second: only actors can vore other actors, directors only for directors etc.
third: you have to watch the movie in a theatre to participate.

ign: make an account


btw. 2012 was a weak year for games in general.


You have it almost right.  The members of the academy do NOT have to see the movie in the theatre to vote.  They get sent screeners of the movies to watch in the comforts of their own home.

This is the same with the SAG awards, Emmy's (for emmy voters), Golden Globes etc etc etc.

#196
IanPolaris

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Robosexual wrote...

Jadebaby wrote...

Robosexual wrote...

Jadebaby wrote...

you have to then account for the fact that only 38% of people even finished the game.


Which boosts the numbers up to a staggering 4.7% and 11.1%.

A situation where even if those that hated the end was quadruple that of those who voted, it still wouldn't be the majority.


4.7% and 11.1% of people who go on forums. As you said yourself, not everyone does.


The Retake movement is Facebook, and linked on Wikipedia numerous times, so saying it's just forum goers would probably be doing it a bit of a disservice, not that I ever thought I'd say that for the Retake movement.


The point is that there is more than enough data to make a reasonable inference that most people still do not in fact like the endings (to varying degrees).    It is perfectly valid to project sample results from smaller populations onto bigger ones as long as the smaller sample is reasonable representative of the larger population.  This is how polling works.

Given that multiple polls were done, with  varying methedologies, and they all got about the same result leads me to conclude that their samples were in fact reasonable representatative and therefore the results should be taken as largely accurate.

-Polaris

#197
Dr_Extrem

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questioning sources has nothing to do with tin foil hats. this is in fact the way real journalism and scientific research work.

#198
IanPolaris

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Robosexual wrote...

IanPolaris wrote...

Robosexual wrote...

I read a lot of reader voted awards there.


Doesn't work that way.  Sorry, but there is a wide rift between what the gaming journalism sites like and what the people that play the game like.  Don't believe me?  Look at Metacritic.  There are all sorts of ways to goose "reader" voted awards to get what your editor likes.  I am not saying this was done, but I am suspicious.  DA2 was highly acclaimed too for about six months before most professional reviewers came to their senses.

-Polaris


We're delving into tin foil hat wearing territory here. If you say samples are a good way to judge something but chose to ignore all the numerous samples that disagree with you then there's really nothing I can say to convince you otherwise.

Even look above at that reply I got about fake accounts. This entire argument is "The majority of people hate the ending even though none of us can prove it but we're using samples to help back it up, just ignoring samples that don't because anything that suggests people enjoyed ME3 must be people making fake accounts".

It's ridiculous.


Not really.  You could have heard a pin drop from the disbelief from all the so-called critical awards that ME3 got.  Frankly DA2 was on track to have the same dichotogy before the so-called professionals rediscovered their sanity.  On a site like Ign or other professional sites, it's dead easy to goose a "reader" poll to match what the editors want.

What I said about a great rift between the so-called professional/critifcal reviews and the gaming population is a simple fact.

-Polaris

#199
iDeevil

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IanPolaris wrote...

The point is that there is more than enough data to make a reasonable inference that most people still do not in fact like the endings (to varying degrees).    It is perfectly valid to project sample results from smaller populations onto bigger ones as long as the smaller sample is reasonable representative of the larger population.  This is how polling works.

Given that multiple polls were done, with  varying methedologies, and they all got about the same result leads me to conclude that their samples were in fact reasonable representatative and therefore the results should be taken as largely accurate.

-Polaris


To be fair, most of the data is relatively dated.  There is little to no evidence that the vast majority of the vocal masses still hate the ending.  Or that they even really care about it at this point.  They're all off played AC3, or Crysis or Tomb Raider.

Maybe even studying at school or watching TV.  Unlikely are they out in the real world :P (this is a joke for all those who feel the need to take me seriously).

#200
Clayless

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IanPolaris wrote...

Robosexual wrote...

The Retake movement is Facebook, and linked on Wikipedia numerous times, so saying it's just forum goers would probably be doing it a bit of a disservice, not that I ever thought I'd say that for the Retake movement.


The point is that there is more than enough data to make a reasonable inference that most people still do not in fact like the endings (to varying degrees).    It is perfectly valid to project sample results from smaller populations onto bigger ones as long as the smaller sample is reasonable representative of the larger population.  This is how polling works.

Given that multiple polls were done, with  varying methedologies, and they all got about the same result leads me to conclude that their samples were in fact reasonable representatative and therefore the results should be taken as largely accurate.

-Polaris


Like all those awards ME3 won. Those are largely accurate too, as people enjoyed it so much they voted it the greatest in various fields of gaming out of every game of 2012?

Modifié par Robosexual, 03 mars 2013 - 12:12 .