Eternal Napalm wrote...
OdanUrr wrote...
Asking for trouble much?
http://gamerant.com/...t-gen-consoles/
This answered my question if I'm done with Assassin's Creed or not. These morons...do they even know how many people don't have internet? Are you folks out there with these ideas of this sort really just that friggin dumb? Are you?
Btw...Xbox Live was down most of this past Saturday.
Sony is going to absolutely clean house. And Nintendo will see a jump in sales.
Actually, they're really not that stupid, they're making a play for all of the marbles. (Please note, I'm not saying they're doing something good, just outlining what the plan is)
First, 56% of Console Gamers don't pay for games. Around half of the remainder buy some percentage of used games, which generates no revenue for Microsoft.
Source:
http://www.gamespot....s-study-6343451?
Second, Sony's not doing all that well, Their TV division bombed, and they had to sell their US headquarters.
Third, Sony loses money on every console sold (As does MS).
Fourth, Microsoft does not need the X-box to generate revenue. It's not their money maker by a long shot.
What Microsoft is actually doing is sheer brilliance. If/When Microsoft releases a DRM'd console, it will shift that 56% of Console Gamers who generate no revenue, and cause the company to lose money, completely to Sony. So let's take a hypothetical here to put this in perspective...There are ~140 million 360/PS3's right now according to sales figures.
Let's assume they lose $10 a console. We'll take a flat 50%, and that means Sony loses $700 million dollars. If we assume they lose $20, Sony loses 1.4 Billion. If they're losing $50 a console, Sony loses around 3.5 Billion.
It's likely that the number is between $20 and $50 a console, and it's *really* unlikely that Sony can afford to take a loss of a couple of billion dollars that would be generated by forcing them to shoulder the entire burden of the Console Gamers who buy consoles but don't buy games, especially when combined with the Used Gamers who take significant time to return the cost of the machine. Microsoft is forcing Sony to take the entire burden of the people who either don't generate revenue or take years to reach the breakeven point, at a point in time where Sony likely cannot afford to shoulder that burden.
Meanwhile, it doesn't hurt Microsoft at all. Microsoft doesn't need the X-box to generate significant profit. They can keep their box out there, with every box sold a positive revenue stream, and just wait.
At some point, probably a not too distant point, Sony will cave and pull out completely. The losses will be debilitating to the company as a whole, and they'll end up shelving the system.
Then Microsoft can patch the DRM out of the 720, or release a new console without DRM, and win by default.
It's a brilliant plan, if they are pursuing it, it's *very* likely they'll wipe out Sony in short order. That said, there's a dark horse in the race, the Steambox. Even if they manage to force Sony out of the market, they can't do the same to the Steambox. There's a very real chance that Valve will replace Sony, and leave Microsoft without a foothold.
If that happens, Microsoft will go with plan B. They'll release a version of Windows that has a TV/Gamepad friendly UI that'll autodetect the display it's connected to, and take Valve on leveraging their enourmous installed base of PC's. Every PC would immediately become a "720" effectively, all you'd have to do is plug it into a port on the TV.
Modifié par Gatt9, 20 avril 2013 - 07:04 .