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Updated Ultra Rare Drop Rate Data | All sample size goals reached | Will still do occasional updates | Links fixed 2015 April 8


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#301
ComradeShepard7

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zuckendesfleish wrote...

ComradeShepard7 wrote...

Everything has been updated now that the goal has been reached for APs.

Nice! I'll switch to RP then, I need 30 more URs so I won't get rid of the damn RNG store anytime soon =]


I've still got 9 left but I've been taking data for SPs so I'm guessing it will still be a while before I max. After that I'm going to see if my friend will let me use his second account so I can keep collecting data.

#302
sakamotoryoma31

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36 SPs- 7 URs

#303
Zso_Zso

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Updated on my packs since my last email:

55 SP => 4 URs
7 AP => nothing

some bad luck here way below the average rate...

#304
ComradeShepard7

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sakamotoryoma31 wrote...

36 SPs- 7 URs

Zso_Zso wrote...

Updated on my packs since my last email:

55 SP => 4 URs
7 AP => nothing

some bad luck here way below the average rate...


Thanks for the data.

#305
graywolfpvw

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32 SP 3 UR

#306
ComradeShepard7

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graywolfpvw wrote...

32 SP 3 UR


Thanks for the data.

#307
Tantum Dic Verbo

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50 Spectre Packs--6 UR weapons, 1 UR character upgrade...no doubles (heh).

#308
Evil

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Just spent 2 million on spectre packs.

First 10 were empty.
1 UR.
7 empty.
1 UR.
17 empty.

Total: 36 SP, 2 UR.

Purchased one AP with the leftovers, no UR's

As an side-note, I did get 8 respec cards, a much better haul than AP's give, and a decent haul of level III consumables too.

The wasted slots given over to character cards were an annoyance though since I don't promote any more, so I still think that AP's would have been a better buy for me, so I might switch back.

Recruit packs for people who prioritise promoting>consumables, and don't care about UR's.
SP's for people who prioritise consumables>promotions>UR's.
RP's for people who prioritise UR's>promotions>consumables.
PSP's for people who prioritise UR's>consumables>promotions.
AP's for people who prioritise UR's>consumables, and don't promote at all.

Would you agree with that comrade, or is that oversimplified?

Modifié par Evil Mastered, 01 décembre 2013 - 07:07 .


#309
Olivia Wilde

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Since Returning to MP I have purchased 14 SP and recieved 2 UR and 2 Respec Cards

#310
ComradeShepard7

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Tantum Dic Verbo wrote...
50 Spectre Packs--6 UR weapons, 1 UR character upgrade...no doubles (heh).

Evil Mastered wrote...
Just spent 2 million on spectre packs.

First 10 were empty.
1 UR.
7 empty.
1 UR.
17 empty.

Total: 36 SP, 2 UR.

Purchased one AP with the leftovers, no UR's

Millafan4526 wrote...
Since Returning to MP I have purchased 14 SP and recieved 2 UR and 2 Respec Cards


Thanks for the data.

Evil Mastered wrote...
As an side-note, I did get 8 respec cards, a much better haul than AP's give, and a decent haul of level III consumables too.

The wasted slots given over to character cards were an annoyance though since I don't promote any more, so I still think that AP's would have been a better buy for me, so I might switch back.

Recruit packs for people who prioritise promoting>consumables, and don't care about UR's.
SP's for people who prioritise consumables>promotions>UR's.
RP's for people who prioritise UR's>promotions>consumables.
PSP's for people who prioritise UR's>consumables>promotions.
AP's for people who prioritise UR's>consumables, and don't promote at all.

Would you agree with that comrade, or is that oversimplified?


All the data collection I've done has been for PSPs and SPs so those are the only packs I can comment on. As far as consumables and URs I would say what you have written is pretty accurate but, at least for SPs, as far as I can recall I have rarely seen any xp cards though I haven't been on the lookout for them. My PSP puchases were too long ago for me to recall how frequently I saw xp cards.

#311
Jelena Jankovic

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Since I maxed my manifest I average about one character card per 4 SP's

#312
PoloVisionJames

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Since my last post, I have bought 54 SPs and received 2 URs. That brings the total to 126 SPs and 6 URs.

#313
ComradeShepard7

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PoloVisionJames wrote...

Since my last post, I have bought 54 SPs and received 2 URs. That brings the total to 126 SPs and 6 URs.


Thanks for the data.

#314
ComradeShepard7

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The document has been updated.

#315
ChrisLupton

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I started tracking my UR weapon tally when I maxed out all my rares except characters. My UR characters were already maxed out.

Since then I have got 50 SPs, 2 PSPs and an AP. 1 measly UR weapon has dropped, so I've been getting a less than 2.5% drop rate. 8 pieces of level 4 equipment have dropped.

#316
JainuJffk

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30 SP -> 3 UR
36 RP -> 6 UR - no doubles

#317
ComradeShepard7

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JainuJffk wrote...

30 SP -> 3 UR
36 RP -> 6 UR - no doubles


ChrisLupton wrote...

I started tracking my UR weapon tally when I maxed out all my rares except characters. My UR characters were already maxed out.

Since then I have got 50 SPs, 2 PSPs and an AP. 1 measly UR weapon has dropped, so I've been getting a less than 2.5% drop rate. 8 pieces of level 4 equipment have dropped.


Thanks for the data. All of us get bad streaks from time to time and it looks like you've gotten one when you started keeping track.

#318
Tantum Dic Verbo

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50 Spectre Packs: 3 UR character upgrades, 1 UR weapon

#319
ComradeShepard7

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Tantum Dic Verbo wrote...

50 Spectre Packs: 3 UR character upgrades, 1 UR weapon


Thanks for the data.

#320
graywolfpvw

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48 SP 6 UR

#321
JainuJffk

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20 SP 1 UR
22 RP 4 UR

#322
ComradeShepard7

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graywolfpvw wrote...

48 SP 6 UR

JainuJffk wrote...

20 SP 1 UR
22 RP 4 UR


Thanks for hte data.

#323
graywolfpvw

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21 SP 3 UR

#324
GodLovesATrier

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Something I noticed in the document

while the ammo and consumables in the 99k packs will vary in level from I-III.


I'm sure all the equipment in 99k packs will be level III.

Also I found this link today



In it he spends 50million credits on PSPs and receives 83 UR weapon upgrades. Although you already have a lot of data on PSPs I thought you might be interested to see that this cost of approx 600k/UR is more or less in line with your results.

An interesting consequence of this is that you'd need approx 120 million credits to (on average) max your manifest without spending on anything else like JEPs. Assuming a 150k/hr payout that would be 800hrs. Wow. That payout might be low (depends difficulty) but taking into account creds that must be spent on equip I would say it's an ok estimate.

Another interesting factoid can be derived from your double UR analysis. You find 17 double URs from 3395 packs, if the average player has to buy approx 1300 (of the 99k) packs to max their manifest then they should expect to receive on average 6 double UR packs during that journey. Of course the real number will probably be lower because some SPs will be mixed in.

#325
Evil

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Reviving wrote...

Something I noticed in the document

while the ammo and consumables in the 99k packs will vary in level from I-III.

I'm sure all the equipment in 99k packs will be level III.

That would match with what I've seen so far.

Spent 2 million on AP packs.

First was empty.
Second had 1 UR.
The next 18 were empty.

20 packs, 1 UR, no doubles.  The store hates me.

Also, I only got 2 reset cards and a handful of weapon amps. Mountains of ammo and armour consumables at level IV though. I might alternate SP's and AP's.

Modifié par Evil Mastered, 10 décembre 2013 - 10:21 .