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Updated Ultra Rare Drop Rate Data | All sample size goals reached | Will still do occasional updates | Links fixed 2015 April 8


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#326
miro13

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last 4 days i bought 66 PSP,. got 16 ultra rares. finally completed my manifest.....

#327
ComradeShepard7

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ChrisLupton wrote...

I started tracking my UR weapon tally when I maxed out all my rares except characters. My UR characters were already maxed out.

Since then I have got 50 SPs, 2 PSPs and an AP. 1 measly UR weapon has dropped, so I've been getting a less than 2.5% drop rate. 8 pieces of level 4 equipment have dropped.


I forgot to ask, which pack type dropped the UR?

graywolfpvw wrote...

21 SP 3 UR


Reviving wrote...

Something I noticed in the document


while the ammo and consumables in the 99k packs will vary in level from I-III.


I'm sure all the equipment in 99k packs will be level III.

Also I found this link today 



In it he spends 50million credits on PSPs and receives 83 UR weapon upgrades. Although you already have a lot of data on PSPs I thought you might be interested to see that this cost of approx 600k/UR is more or less in line with your results.

An interesting consequence of this is that you'd need approx 120 million credits to (on average) max your manifest without spending on anything else like JEPs. Assuming a 150k/hr payout that would be 800hrs. Wow. That payout might be low (depends difficulty) but taking into account creds that must be spent on equip I would say it's an ok estimate.

Another interesting factoid can be derived from your double UR analysis. You find 17 double URs from 3395 packs, if the average player has to buy approx 1300 (of the 99k) packs to max their manifest then they should expect to receive on average 6 double UR packs during that journey. Of course the real number will probably be lower because some SPs will be mixed in.


I recall getting lots of level I and II consumables when buying PSPs in the past but from watching that video it looks like only level III stuff is dropping. I'll have to look into this then I guess.

Evil Mastered wrote...

Spent 2 million on AP packs.

First was empty.
Second had 1 UR.
The next 18 were empty.

20 packs, 1 UR, no doubles.  The store hates me.

Also, I only got 2 reset cards and a handful of weapon amps. Mountains of ammo and armour consumables at level IV though. I might alternate SP's and AP's.


Thanks for the data though AP data isn't going to make much of a difference at this point. What we really need is RP and SP data.

#328
ComradeShepard7

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The document has been updated. Also, I would appreciate it if people could tell me if they are getting any level I or II ammo/equipment in 99k packs in order to verify what levels of ammo/equipment drop in those packs.

#329
Gr1ng0

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10 SP's 3 UR's

Christmas come early.

#330
1badmage

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Gr1ng0 wrote...

10 SP's 3 UR's

Christmas come early.


I had a similar run last night with PSPs.

Modifié par 1badmage, 10 décembre 2013 - 09:35 .


#331
JainuJffk

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20 SP - 3UR
30 RP - 2 UR

#332
FireRider100

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husky13 wrote...

last 4 days i bought 66 PSP,. got 16 ultra rares. finally completed my manifest.....


To balance that I brought 30 AP, got 0 ultra rares :( (don't count this Comrade, I'll be updating the google doc tonight to reflect this).

#333
FireRider100

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ComradeShepard7 wrote...

The document has been updated. Also, I would appreciate it if people could tell me if they are getting any level I or II ammo/equipment in 99k packs in order to verify what levels of ammo/equipment drop in those packs.


Out of all the AP and RP packs brought I have always had level III equipment, never level I or level II.

#334
ChrisLupton

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ComradeShepard7 wrote...

ChrisLupton wrote...
I started tracking my UR weapon tally when I maxed out all my rares except characters. My UR characters were already maxed out.

Since then I have got 50 SPs, 2 PSPs and an AP. 1 measly UR weapon has dropped, so I've been getting a less than 2.5% drop rate. 8 pieces of level 4 equipment have dropped.


I forgot to ask, which pack type dropped the UR?


The UR dropped in a SP.

I've been having more luck recently. About 2 URs in 15 or so SPs. Fingers crossed I don't enter another drought too soon. I'll provide accurate numbers when I get up to 50 SPs again.

#335
zuckendesfleish

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ComradeShepard7 wrote...

The document has been updated. Also, I would appreciate it if people could tell me if they are getting any level I or II ammo/equipment in 99k packs in order to verify what levels of ammo/equipment drop in those packs.

I never get level I or II equipment. Maybe, if all your gels/ops/rockets/ammo are maxed you could get one in the first slot, but I've never maxed them so I wouldn't know.

#336
FireRider100

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zuckendesfleish wrote...

I never get level I or II equipment. Maybe, if all your gels/ops/rockets/ammo are maxed you could get one in the first slot, but I've never maxed them so I wouldn't know.


Typically I do have my gels/ops/rockets/ammo maxed when I buy a pack and I always get a level 3 equipment in the first slot.

Modifié par FireRider100, 12 décembre 2013 - 01:59 .


#337
ComradeShepard7

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husky13 wrote...

last 4 days i bought 66 PSP,. got 16 ultra rares. finally completed my manifest.....


Congratulations. Must have missed this before I did the update.

Gr1ng0 wrote...

10 SP's 3 UR's

Christmas come early.

1badmage wrote...

I had a similar run last night with PSPs.


You two have certainly been lucky.

JainuJffk wrote...

20 SP - 3UR
30 RP - 2 UR


Thanks for the data.

FireRider100 wrote...
To balance that I brought 30 AP, got 0 ultra rares [smilie]http://social.bioware.com/images/forum/emoticons/sad.png[/smilie] (don't count this Comrade, I'll be updating the google doc tonight to reflect this). 


Still not as bad as the ~60 PSP dry streak someone had with the old effort or the ~130 SP dry streak someone else had.

ChrisLupton wrote...

The UR dropped in a SP.

I've been having more luck recently. About 2 URs in 15 or so SPs. Fingers crossed I don't enter another drought too soon. I'll provide accurate numbers when I get up to 50 SPs again.


Thanks.

Based on what people have said about ammo/equipment drops in 99k packs I'll revise the document when I get a chance. Also, I won't be able to do a Tuesday update next week but I will get it posted on either Wednesday or Thursday.

#338
graywolfpvw

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24 SP 4 UR

#339
JainuJffk

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21 SP - 2 UR
42 RP - 2 UR

bad luck at the store today :(

#340
graywolfpvw

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53 SP 4 UR

#341
ComradeShepard7

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graywolfpvw wrote...

24 SP 4 UR

JainuJffk wrote...

21 SP - 2 UR
42 RP - 2 UR

bad luck at the store today :(

graywolfpvw wrote...

53 SP 4 UR


Thanks for the data.

#342
ComradeShepard7

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The document has been updated and I think I've fixed all the errors about ammo/equipment drops. Due to some real life stuff I have going on right now updates may be erratic during the next month.

#343
Gr1ng0

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25 SP's
1 UR

#344
LePetitRobot

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Gr1ng0 wrote...

25 SP's
1 UR


You're going to hate me.

Yesterday: 10 Sps - 3 URs!

That might be my luck used up for now...

#345
Alex_Dur4and

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69 PSPs = 10 URs (1 Double pack)
X = nothing
O = Pack with 1 UR
(OO) = Double pack

XXXXXXXXO
O
XXXXXO
XXXXXXXXXXXX(OO)
XXXXXO
XO
XXXO
XXXXO
XXO
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

Modifié par Alex_Dur4and, 21 décembre 2013 - 09:42 .


#346
JainuJffk

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30 SP - 3 x UR
9 RP - 3 x UR

#347
Pearl (rip bioware)

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Been a while since I contributed anything, so I'll post some data in about half an hour.

Still looking for RPs and SPs?

#348
ComradeShepard7

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FatherOfPearl wrote...

Been a while since I contributed anything, so I'll post some data in about half an hour.

Still looking for RPs and SPs?


Yup.

Gr1ng0 wrote...

25 SP's 
1 UR

LePetitRobo wrote...

You're going to hate me.

Yesterday: 10 Sps - 3 URs!

That might be my luck used up for now...

Alex_Dur4and wrote...

69 PSPs = 10 URs (1 Double pack) 
X = nothing
O = Pack with 1 UR
(OO) = Double pack

XXXXXXXXO
O
XXXXXO
XXXXXXXXXXXX(OO)
XXXXXO
XO
XXXO
XXXXO
XXO
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

JainuJffk wrote...

30 SP - 3 x UR
9 RP - 3 x UR


Thanks for the data.

#349
Evil

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Just spent 1.5 million on Spectre packs.

First 6 were empty.
1 with an UR.
Next 2 were empty.
1 with an UR.
Next 3 were empty.
1 with an UR.
Next 6 were empty.
1 with an UR.
Final 2 were empty.

Total: 26 SP's 4 UR's.

Also, 7 reset cards, 5 common character cards (XP), plenty of level 3 consumables, and no level 1 or 2 consumables.

I'm almost 100% convinced that SP's, PSP's, AP's, and RP's only drop level 3 consumables, since I've yet to see a single one drop from a UR-capable pack since I started keeping count, the tiny amount of 1's and 2's I've got left are all from jumbo equipment packs.

From my (limited) experience, I'd say that SP's are a poor choice for people wanting to get promotions done, I'm not seeing enough XP cards to justify the cost of buying them for that purpose.

They're the best option for level 3 consumables and reset cards by a long shot though.

Modifié par Evil Mastered, 22 décembre 2013 - 03:59 .


#350
JainuJffk

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30 SP - 3 x UR
6 RP - 2 x UR