641 réponses à ce sujet

[Fuzzy Concept]

50 Reserves packs - 9 Ultra Rares
At around 15 packs i got 1 double ultra rare pack.

Modifié par Fuzzy Concept, 09 novembre 2013 - 09:10 .

[Mask of Apathy]

3 more spectre packs - 0 UR

[graywolfpvw]

51 SP 5 UR

[Meistr_Chef]

Bryan Johnson wrote...

I have to say this is pretty interesting, I do love me some probability

Mind you I of course know the exact calculations etc, but it is interesting to see the outside looking in.

Also I will state now, I will absolutely not say what the numbers are or anything near divulging any information around the store functionality or drop rates.

Could you explain the reason for the secrecy?

From a player standpoint it's somewhat frustrating not knowing exactly how it works. Especially for us that have spent at least a few hundred hours on the multiplayer.

Modifié par Meistr_Chef, 09 novembre 2013 - 06:01 .

[ComradeShepard7]

Mask of Apathy wrote...

5 more spectre packs, nada.

Fuzzy Concept wrote...

50 Reserves packs - 9 Ultra Rares
At around 15 packs i got 1 double ultra rare pack.[smilie]http://social.bioware.com/images/forum/emoticons/smile.png[/smilie]

Mask of Apathy wrote...

3 more spectre packs - 0 UR

graywolfpvw wrote...

51 SP 5 UR

Thanks for the data.

[Pearl (rip bioware)]

35 Reserves packs, 8 Ultra Rares (5 weapons, 3 characters). No doubles.

Currently gathering a large amount of data for Spectre packs, will be another few days before I'm ready to post it. I'm currently seeing a large drop in URs compared to RPs (6.7% compared to 10.3%), but I don't have enough data points to be sure yet.

[ComradeShepard7]

FatherOfPearl wrote...

35 Reserves packs, 8 Ultra Rares (5 weapons, 3 characters). No doubles.

Currently gathering a large amount of data for Spectre packs, will be another few days before I'm ready to post it. I'm currently seeing a large drop in URs compared to RPs (6.7% compared to 10.3%), but I don't have enough data points to be sure yet.

Thanks for the data. Do you think you will have the SP numbers before Tuesday?

[victobael]

I just maxed my inventory,

[Pearl (rip bioware)]

ComradeShepard7 wrote...

FatherOfPearl wrote...

35 Reserves packs, 8 Ultra Rares (5 weapons, 3 characters). No doubles.

Currently gathering a large amount of data for Spectre packs, will be another few days before I'm ready to post it. I'm currently seeing a large drop in URs compared to RPs (6.7% compared to 10.3%), but I don't have enough data points to be sure yet.

Thanks for the data. Do you think you will have the SP numbers before Tuesday?

Yeah, shouldn't be a problem.

[TheTechnoTurian]

29 reserves packs, 11 URs, no double UR packs. All I need is one more ridiculously lucky streak like that and I'll run out of data to give you.

[SiIencE]

You would expect them to up the UR droprate a bit after all this time, last time i spend about 9mil on RP/PSP's and got 0 UR's ...

Wish there was a way to see how much anyone has spend on their packs.

Modifié par SiIencE, 11 novembre 2013 - 09:12 .

[PoloVisionJames]

I opened 15 SPs today. Got 1 UR.

[Tantum Dic Verbo]

25 Arsenal Packs--4 UR's, no doubles.

[Tantum Dic Verbo]

victobael wrote...

I just maxed my inventory,

Gratz.  

[ComradeShepard7]

ReaperRed wrote...

29 reserves packs, 11 URs, no double UR packs. All I need is one more ridiculously lucky streak like that and I'll run out of data to give you.

You may very well end up maxing your manifest before I do. I still have 14 card drops remaining and spectre packs have not had the greatest drop rate for me.

[ComradeShepard7]

PoloVisionJames wrote...

I opened 15 SPs today. Got 1 UR.

Tantum Dic Verbo wrote...

25 Arsenal Packs--4 UR's, no doubles.

Thanks for the data.

[The_Bastage]

9 RP, 1 AP, 1 SP. 3URs.

6 more UR cards to go.

[ComradeShepard7]

The_Bastage wrote...

9 RP, 1 AP, 1 SP. 3URs.

6 more UR cards to go.

So is this saying that you got one UR from the RP purchases, one UR from the AP purchased, and one UR from the SP purchased?

[Tantum Dic Verbo]

So, my own small sample is suggesting approximately 6 percent chance per Rare slot on the Arsenal Packs (with the two slots being randomized independently). What are you getting?

[Gr1ng0]

22 SP's - 0 UR's. ONE BAZILLION CRYO AMMO IV

[Tantum Dic Verbo]

Gr1ng0 wrote...

22 SP's - 0 UR's. ONE BAZILLION CRYO AMMO IV

Yeah, I'm showing a probability of 1.04 of getting at least one Cryo in an Arsenal Pack.

[ComradeShepard7]

Tantum Dic Verbo wrote...

So, my own small sample is suggesting approximately 6 percent chance per Rare slot on the Arsenal Packs (with the two slots being randomized independently). What are you getting?

The current point estimate from the linked document is 8.19% per slot for APs, and the 95% confidence interval is 7.45%-8.98%.

[ComradeShepard7]

Gr1ng0 wrote...

22 SP's - 0 UR's. ONE BAZILLION CRYO AMMO IV

I'm pretty much in the same boat. I've gotten a total of 6 URs in the last 125 SPs I've bought.

[Pearl (rip bioware)]

Okay, so here's what I managed to get on Spectre Packs. I wanted to buy a few more before I handed in my results, but it looks like my attention is needed else where for a few days.

260 SPs, 17 URs (3 characters, 14 weapons).

[ComradeShepard7]

FatherOfPearl wrote...

Okay, so here's what I managed to get on Spectre Packs. I wanted to buy a few more before I handed in my results, but it looks like my attention is needed else where for a few days.

260 SPs, 17 URs (3 characters, 14 weapons).

Thanks for the data. That will put us at more than 2500 recorded spectre packs so far when I do the update tomorrow plus RPs have surpassed 2500 samples and APs are past 5000 samples now.