641 réponses à ce sujet

[Sailears]

I've got a huge amount of data on SPs (only buying SPs) - can I email them to you rather than post here? I know you don't need the data on this as well, but I've also recorded which packs had URs and which didn't because it might be interesting to see the distribution of URs - had a very long dry spell and also many clustered together over a dozen packs.

[ComradeShepard7]

Curunen wrote...

I've got a huge amount of data on SPs (only buying SPs) - can I email them to you rather than post here? I know you don't need the data on this as well, but I've also recorded which packs had URs and which didn't because it might be interesting to see the distribution of URs - had a very long dry spell and also many clustered together over a dozen packs.

Emailing them to me is perfectly fine. My email address is in the original post. While having records for each individual pack isn't neccesary for determining the drop rates, it is necessary for putting together the streak histograms so once I have your data I may do another update of those.

[Tantum Dic Verbo]

ComradeShepard7 wrote...

Tantum Dic Verbo wrote...

So, my own small sample is suggesting approximately 6 percent chance per Rare slot on the Arsenal Packs (with the two slots being randomized independently). What are you getting?

The current point estimate from the linked document is 8.19% per slot for APs, and the 95% confidence interval is 7.45%-8.98%.

So, you're seeing about one UR per six Arsenal Packs?

[Sailears]

ComradeShepard7 wrote...

Curunen wrote...

I've got a huge amount of data on SPs (only buying SPs) - can I email them to you rather than post here? I know you don't need the data on this as well, but I've also recorded which packs had URs and which didn't because it might be interesting to see the distribution of URs - had a very long dry spell and also many clustered together over a dozen packs.

Emailing them to me is perfectly fine. My email address is in the original post. While having records for each individual pack isn't neccesary for determining the drop rates, it is necessary for putting together the streak histograms so once I have your data I may do another update of those.

Email sent, hope it helps.

[ComradeShepard7]

Tantum Dic Verbo wrote...

ComradeShepard7 wrote...

Tantum Dic Verbo wrote...

So, my own small sample is suggesting approximately 6 percent chance per Rare slot on the Arsenal Packs (with the two slots being randomized independently). What are you getting?

The current point estimate from the linked document is 8.19% per slot for APs, and the 95% confidence interval is 7.45%-8.98%.

So, you're seeing about one UR per six Arsenal Packs?

I haven't personally collected any AP data but one in six is about what it works out to for the average of all the data that has been collected (actual average is 16.48% for the per pack drop rate for APs). If you want to look at the detailed data there is a link to a zip file in the original post and that zip file has a spreadsheet which contains all the data.

Modifié par ComradeShepard7, 11 novembre 2013 - 11:18 .

[Mask of Apathy]

bought 7 more SP, 0 URs

[graywolfpvw]

44 SP 2 UR

[aeryk117]

Thanks for keeping this going - hope this helps:

PC:
Spectre Packs: 36 packs – 3 UR weapons; 8 UR characters; no doubles; longest dry spell between UR weapons 13 empty packs
Reserve Packs: 25 packs – 6 UR weapons (no weapon doubles); 3 UR characters (1 double URC); longest dry spell between UR weapons 5 empty packs
PSP: 0
Arsenal Packs: 0

PS3:
Spectre Packs: 108 packs – 10 UR weapons; 2 UR characters; no doubles; longest dry spell between UR weapons 23 empty packs
Reserve Packs: 98 packs – 12 UR weapons; 9 UR characters; 2 UR character/weapon doubles (weapon in 5th slot); no other doubles; longest dry spell between UR weapons 23 empty packs
PSP: 0
Arsenal Packs: 1 pack – no UR weapons or characters

Xbox:
Can’t comment on UR characters (not sure when I maxed them out)
Still have 6 UR weapon upgrades left
Spectre Packs: 373 packs – 24 UR weapons; no doubles; longest dry spell between UR weapons 57 empty packs (also had another streak of 56 empty packs)
Reserve Packs: 119 packs – 17 UR weapons; no doubles; longest dry spell between UR weapons 16 empty packs
PSP: 645 packs – 99 UR weapons; 6 UR weapon doubles; longest dry spell between UR weapons 49 empty packs
Arsenal Packs: 1 pack – no UR weapons or characters
:innocent:

Modifié par aeryk117, 12 novembre 2013 - 07:13 .

[ComradeShepard7]

Mask of Apathy wrote...

bought 7 more SP, 0 URs

graywolfpvw wrote...

44 SP 2 UR

Thanks for the data.

[ComradeShepard7]

aeryk117 wrote...

Thanks for keeping this going - hope this helps:

PC:
Spectre Packs: 36 packs – 3 UR weapons; 8 UR characters; no doubles; longest dry spell between UR weapons 13 empty packs
Reserve Packs: 25 packs – 6 UR weapons (no weapon doubles); 3 UR characters (1 double URC); longest dry spell between UR weapons 5 empty packs
PSP: 0
Arsenal Packs: 0

PS3:
Spectre Packs: 108 packs – 10 UR weapons; 2 UR characters; no doubles; longest dry spell between UR weapons 23 empty packs
Reserve Packs: 98 packs – 12 UR weapons; 9 UR characters; 2 UR character/weapon doubles (weapon in 5th slot); no other doubles; longest dry spell between UR weapons 23 empty packs
PSP: 0
Arsenal Packs: 1 pack – no UR weapons or characters

Xbox:
Can’t comment on UR characters (not sure when I maxed them out)
Still have 6 UR weapon upgrades left
Spectre Packs: 373 packs – 24 UR weapons; no doubles; longest dry spell between UR weapons 57 empty packs (also had another streak of 56 empty packs)
Reserve Packs: 119 packs – 17 UR weapons; no doubles; longest dry spell between UR weapons 16 empty packs
PSP: 645 packs – 99 UR weapons; 6 UR weapon doubles; longest dry spell between UR weapons 49 empty packs
Arsenal Packs: 1 pack – no UR weapons or characters
:innocent:

This most certainly will help. I think this may push us over 4000 samples just from the last 5 days.

[zuckendesfleish]

I just got to 200 AP (25URs, all listed in the spreadsheet). If you'd like me to switch to a different pack let me know

[Mask of Apathy]

5 more SPs, 0 URs

[ComradeShepard7]

Between N7 day and now, I received 4666 samples which led to us obtaining some results. We can now say that SPs have a higher long term cost per UR weapon card than the other packs, although there isn't much of a gap between the CIs for SPs and RPs.

I would still like more data for SPs, APs, and RPs since getting the sample sizes up to 10000 will narrow the drop rate CIs to a width of about 1%.

[ComradeShepard7]

Mask of Apathy wrote...

5 more SPs, 0 URs

Thanks for the data.

zuckendesfleish wrote...

I just got to 200 AP (25URs, all listed in the spreadsheet). If you'd like me to switch to a different pack let me know

I still want more data for SPs, APs, and RPs so no need to switch pack types unless you want to.

[i hate you all]

I've got 16 more UR's to unlock then ill send you the rest of my data.  So far I've got a 15% drop rate for AP's and 9% drop rate for SP's.

Modifié par i hate you all, 13 novembre 2013 - 01:17 .

[V4nguard]

bought 42 PSPs----> 6 URs (i play on xbox)

Modifié par V4nguard, 13 novembre 2013 - 01:17 .

[ComradeShepard7]

i hate you all wrote...

I've got 16 more UR's to unlock then ill send you the rest of my data.  So far I've got a 15% drop rate for AP's and 9% drop rate for SP's.

Looks like your current AP drop rate is a bit lower than average and the SP drop rate is a bit higher than average. But anyways, looking forward o getting more data.

[ComradeShepard7]

V4nguard wrote...

bought 42 PSPs----> 6 URs (i play on xbox)

Thanks for the data.

[Mask of Apathy]

bought 11 SPs, got 3 URs

[Pearl (rip bioware)]

12 SPs, 3 URs. All weapons.

[Mask of Apathy]

FatherOfPearl wrote...

12 SPs, 3 URs. All weapons.

nice, we got almost the same drop rate there.

[Mask of Apathy]

2 more SPs, no URs

[ComradeShepard7]

Mask of Apathy wrote...

bought 11 SPs, got 3 URs

FatherOfPearl wrote...

12 SPs, 3 URs. All weapons.

Mask of Apathy wrote...

2 more SPs, no URs

Thanks for the data.

[JarilKelteel]

Haven't seen this thread yet...

I don't know if this helps:

Platform: PC
Packet: Arsenal Pack
Number of Packs: 633
URs: 118

Only 12 URs to go...

[ComradeShepard7]

JarilKelteel wrote...

Haven't seen this thread yet...

I don't know if this helps:

Platform: PC
Packet: Arsenal Pack
Number of Packs: 633
URs: 118

Only 12 URs to go...

That most certainly helps.