Zu Long wrote...
I find people who defend Loghain's actions at Ostagar misinterpret a number of factors about the battle. The following factors are critical to coming to a correct conclusion about Loghain's actions-
1. Loghain couldn't see the battle from where he was. - People claim Loghain saw the odds and decided the battle couldn't be one. But the whole point of using the tower as a signal in the first place was that the ambush force couldn't see what was happening. We know the leadership of Ferelden was pessimistic about their chances at Ostagar behind closed doors, but Loghain had NO IDEA what the tactical situation of the battle was when he made the call to retreat.
2. Loghain is the only reason the Ferelden soldiers are so horribly outnumbered in the first place. It is Loghain who insisted Orlais not be allowed to become involved despite the fact the Ferelden troops were outmatched. While understandable based on his prior experiences with Orlais, if we consider tactics refusing aid doomed the Army at Ostagar.
3. In the face of a Blight, the only tactically relevant force is the Grey Wardens. Even IF the above two weren't true, the fact is leaving Ostagar rather than running to the aid of the Ferelden forces was tactically the wrong move. As had been demonstrated no less than FOUR times in Thedas' history, only a Grey Warden can end a blight. Loghain knew this, and the sheer number of darkspawn involved showed that this was, in fact, a Blight. That being the case, the Grey Wardens are the ONLY force that matters. The other soldiers are, at the end of the day, meatshields and nothing more. Springing the ambush and saving at least SOME of the Grey Wardens so that they could fight another day was the tactically correct choice. Without the Wardens, you're doomed no matter how many soldiers you have.
In summation, Loghain failed as a tactician, a servant to his king, and as a father to his son in law at Ostagar. He was completely blinded by his fear and hatred of Orlais. Such a monumental blunder and betrayal, by itself, would have mandated his execution. His further actions after seizing power only confirm how richly he deserved his fate.
Responses
1. Loghain spent a good deal prior to the main skirmish at Ostogar scouting the wilds to make tactical assessments about Darkspawn Progress and Numbers but from in game events we can see how often that worked; He was working with an incomplete picture of the enemies numbers, capabilities and make up at best. Thus a simple Pincer feint was likely the best he could do given that the battlefield as many have already stated was a box canyon with only a single entrance and exit.
2. Past expreince in the war with Orlais aside the battle would have been fought and lost regardless of his acceptance of their aid considering that they only were arriving at the borders of Fereldan weeks after the battle occured. After all as Alistair so sagely put "The Nearest Orlaisian City is weeks away."
3. Considering that evidence at this point contricted your earlier claim of it being a blight considering there was no indication of an Arch Demon at this point it could be understandable to not buy into a blight considering a good majority of people aren't plagued with dreams of the Arch Demon and cannot sense Darkspawn intent.
Furthermore there are far more Wardens in the world then those that came to Fereldan from Orlais and elsewhere. Yes Fereldan likely would have fallen had it not been for the actions of the Gray Wardens but that aside, It took the Military to breach the siege of Denerim and futhermore considering that as blight advanced and Nations wrote off the country, What was Loghain to do?
Blindly accept the aid of those who might take advantage of his Nation's Weakeness? Espeically their Neighbors to the West that did so before?
Loghain as i have said it many times wasn't working with the best information he could have at the moment, and in part that is due to Gray Warden Secercy and Mystism. From his perspective he outlined what he likely thought the only method of salvaging the battle when it was clear despite him not having a clear picture of enemy numbers and capabilities that they were in fact heavily outnumbered.
In closing.
I think Loghain did the best he could with the mess he was dumped into and better then most.