Fereldan was a matter of chance and politics things came together and it became worth more to abandon the territory then to hold it.
And Tveinter crumbled after it endured a blight, remember that; Had that not occurred? Well i doubt the Imperium would have fallen considering it maintained the largest military well...in history.
Neither of these things really apply to the Orlaisian proper mind you.
Orlais has been defeated, lost wars, but it has always remained in its position of superiority remember that.
Why is that? How has it lost and not yet crumbled like the Imperium? Why is the wealthiest Nation in Thedas? Why does it maintain the greatest military? All these questions revolve around what exactly makes Orlais, Orlais and you know what is? The Ability to Unite, To put aside petty differences when it comes to matters of war and state. The game continues mind you, but why be King of a field of ashes? They realize that.
Its why the game never endangers Orlais it self, If it ever does...Well you see what occurs in history, Leliana got a small measure of that.
Ah, here's the thing. Up to this point, Orlais has been different from Tevinter for the reasons your stated.
But now, now things are getting interesting. They are in the middle of a civil war, there's an elven rebellion, the chantry has fallen to pieces and lost all martial strength. Whatever happens in Orlais now, it'll be done without Chantry support, or city-elf suppor labor if the elven rebellion is widespread in Orlais.
Orlais is now in the exact position Tevinter was when it fell from being a superpower.





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