I like your post because it shows such a different perspective than mine on events but your conclusion does follow from your premise. You clearly give a lot of weight to Loghain's history. I weigh Loghains actions in Origins far more than what I'm told about his past because it's what's happening right in front of me. I'm told about what a great man and leader he is, but I never get to see it. What I see is a paranoid despot who betrays his King in what is at best a misguided attempt to save his country. The odd way in which they let you meet him struck me as strange and I knew he was going to betray us from the way they ended the strategy meeting scene. I knew he was going to be the villain.
Loghain shows no remorse at the time of the decision to kill him or not. In fact he tries to justify his actions throughout the Landsmeet. Because of this, I think they have him come to your team too late for it to be effective for me. I don't get to see him have any remorse. There's only a few lines of dialogue and only if you pursue them.
I RP my Warden's knowledge on history and how she'd view it. We don't see it, but we are supposed to have the knowledge of his deeds. You can even point out to Alistair that Loghain is seen as a hero to many still, so in the Warden's shoes, I myself would wonder what made such a great man I read about suddenly go all villain-like? And if my Warden is the type that can tell if a person is good or not when she meets them, she would get a grey vibe from him that would puzzle her, so by the Landsmeet she would try and sort it out peacefully and not blindly take vengeance like Alistair wanted to do. And when he meets my Warden at Eamon's estate, his face shows regret. Not regret that he didn't kill her, but regret that it's come to this. And when even his daughter in my PT turned on him, he pretty much snapped and became a broken man hiding behind lie after lie.
You can also tell in the cutscenes with Loghain that his face says it all. He messed up badly, and the harder he tries to fix it, the worse it becomes for him. Poisoning the Arl, trying to kill the remaining GW, letting the elves be sent to Tevinter as slaves... add that he now lets Howe do as he pleases. He's waste deep in the mud, and he'll never come clean, but a part of him wants to, despite his slightly maddened state by then. That's what I consider a perfect candidate for a GW.
He was meant to join earlier, but they changed it I heard. That's why things feel rather off when the Landsmeet happens.
In the end, it's all how you RP. Unless a dwarf or elf heard of his feats, then can choose to judge him in a less positive light and kill him for his current deeds and not the past good ones they know nothing about.
Also I have never read the books, so I have no idea what Loghain did that's good. I just go by the knowledge my Warden gains and my own view. I knew he would betray us, since I played DA2 first and Varric says so in the prologue, but when I saw the actual scene, I had questions.





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