<snip>Finally, he then has the men under his command -- men who hail from Denerim and Gwaren, if you look at the heraldry on the shields -- charge straight out into the open, exposing them to the Darkspawn on all sides which can lead to a double envelopment. They'd have nowhere to go and be attacked from all sides. You can even clearly see Cailan using his greatsword to tell his men to make the charge.
As was mentioned, we missed the signal to light the beacon (which Alistair ends up contradicting by saying the battle could be won. Though one must note we don't even have a window to look out of in the first place. Thanks Bioware!). Alistair's comments tell us we missed the signal, but then he doesn't even bother to see if the Darkspawn are fully committed (which was kinda the more important part of the arrangement).
Loghain sums it up well in many points of the game, but perhaps the best one is if he's recruited and you talk to him about Ostagar in a "You traitor" mentality.
(Paraphrase): There's no possible chance that because Cailan insisted on leading the charge against my own advice, he contributed to the failure that was Ostagar! Because Cailan died, he must be absolved of all guilt, and because I lived, all the guilt must fall to me!
Loghain does bear some blame for the battle failing, but so too does Cailan, the Wardens (us included), the Chantry, and even in a meta-sense Bioware itself for not really writing things properly to make it seem like it wasn't a gigantic clusterfuck plot device.
Did they put enough in to convince me it was a lost cause? Yes. Did they write the battle to maximize the potential of Ostagar? Not really.
Duncan tells us that we have less then an hour to light the signal. So no, Loghain has more then "just the signal" to go off of. He has a rough estimate of how long it should take to get to the top of the tower and survey the field. When an hour passes and no signal appears, what is he left to think? The Wardens are in full control of the tower, something Loghain did not particularly care for.
<snip>
Do you really think with a column that long could be held off by a smaller force? At best, it would only distract some of the immediate ones while many more just circled around and keep charging and then we'd be right back to the point of Loghain's men being sandwiched between two groups of Darkspawn.
Images were pulled from KoP's blog post on the subject of Ostagar on the old BSN years ago, though they originally belong to Monica21. Take a gander if you wish.
How does Loghain know that Cailan charged out of position when he made his decision? How does he know they are "cracking under pressure"? Cailan may have contibuted to the defeat at that point but how can it inform Loghain's decision making? Again,it's just a happenstance.
And if Loghain does definately have more than the signal to go off, again, why didn't he react earlier? A what point did he decide he was no longer going to charge? It makes no sense to me. If he thought that the signal was deliberatly being delayed, again, why didn't he react earlier? So he just stands there and waits, and when the signal is lit says to himself, well that was late, best go? If he knew he'd have to charge in about an hour (given that's the time it takes) then why doesn't he just do that? The signal isn't needed in the first place. The signal must be needed because Loghain can't know when this putative time frame is going to begin therefore he can't know when it might be up.
"Calian insisted on leading the charge against my advice" : So was there or wasn't there to be a charge? Cailan died and now occupies the moral high ground. I'm not sure that Loghain is necessarily commenting on actual miltary strategy there. Unless it's a comment on the King not getting himself killed in front of his men as it's detrimental on morale.
May be Alistair is wrong about missing the "signal" if he hasn't checked the darkspawn - that argument cuts both ways.
The diagrams show exactly what a good general doesn't do - commits his entire force at once. Anyway, the relative sizes of the armies can be drawn at different sizes to make any point you want. In the game I don't remember getting any idea of the relative size of Loghain's or the King's army, so we can speculate away! (Although Loghain's looks huge) We don't know if the column could have be held off by a smaller force (a smaller part of Loghain's army, not a force smaller than the head of the column) because he don't know numbers. We don't know relative strengths. But the darkspawn army looks intimidating in a few screen shots so it must win? <shrugs>
As there's no way to prove it either way arguing about armies we no little about and strategies that could be changed on the fly (If Loghain is such a military genius). The miltary side is not proven because we have too little information. And I'm sure Bioware didn't put enough effort into the brief battle scenes to allow us to make an accurate judgement.
It's not enough to explain why it was going to be a defeat, it has to explained how Loghain knew all this in such certainty he was morally justified in abandoning the field.
Modifié par DinkyD, 31 juillet 2014 - 08:09 .







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