False delimma as well. There are possible world war scenarios with free mages as well. In fact, the internationalization and de-factionalization of the mages is one of the big successes of the Circle system.
The costs to mundanes under the Circle system would be compared to the cost of mundanes when there is no Circle system at all. We have no statistical comparison, but we do know that the Thedasian experience of unrestrained mages allowed to integrate or rise above society has led to a majority of Thedas to prefer social exclusion of mages to social integration and potential ascent of a mageocracy.
You've also provided no support for this claim of comparative deaths, or how these costs would not also occur in equal or greater measure without the Circle system, or even acknowledging the other costs of free mages which are a real concern to non-mages.
There's no way for either side to quantify this meaningfully, (the same issue with your claim that mages can't win a battle, which is why I didn't respond to those claims), these are some things that can't be empirically debated due to a paucity of data.





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