@Han Shot First
Of course I disagree with your conclusion; however, just to consider your own version of how things have played out in the past and will play out in the future, even if you don't care about the Synthetics killed in those conflicts, there are a awful lot of dead Organics. Whole civilizations were destroyed before the Synthetics were eventually defeated.
The only civilization that was destroyed was the client race of the Leviathans. And given that the Leviathans were a species of imperialists that forced their galactic neighbors into vassalage, it is probable that the client races had their own military forces either limited or completely disbanded. Surely they would not have been allowed to field fleets that could threaten the supremacy of their Leviathan masters. So in that scenario you're dealing with a species that was either fully or partially disarmed being annihilated.
Given the cycle of violence that you predict, there will come a point where the Synthetics will just outright win, as the Reapers have already been doing for a billion years. I'm not sure what your prediction of Synthetic's behavior will be when they do, but my thinking is that they'll look back on history and probably decide to just crush their repeated oppressors permanently. You know, pick the Destroy option so they can relax and calculate pi in peace.
Why must any synthetic victory in a war result in the annihilation of all sapient organic life? Why is it being assumed that annihilation would be the goal, and that the synthetics would even have the capability to take on multiple organic species simultaneously and destroy them all? What makes a synthetic faction any different or more dangerous than organic factions that go to war? In the current cycle the Geth neither desired the annihilation of all organics (or even of the Quarians) nor did they have the capability.
To be clear I'm not predicting any cycle of conflict. I think the Catalyst is unreliable when he decides to play Magic 8 Ball and predict the inevitability of an apocalyptic war between synthetics and organics. There is no reason to view synthetics as being any more likely to go to war than organics, or more capable or destructive in waging war than organic opponents. The Catalyst only views this as some sort of problem that must be solved by extraordinary means, because he was programmed to think that way. He is a slave to his code.
As for the Catalyst itself, it only managed to annihilate its masters because the Leviathans foolishly decided to give it the keys to the kingdom. It was playing galactic Skynet. Any faction that survived the Reaper War would have to be quite foolish indeed to follow a similar path.
Obadiah, on 26 Jul 2014 - 03:14 AM, said:
The "special power" that the Catalyst has is that of attention. It has been paying attention to the problem for a billion years, whereas we're just sort of stumbling around in it, some of us making "flawed" and "fallible" claims because we don't like its predictions, and would rather ignore the clear and obvious evidence of the progression of the Synthetic Organic conflict before us:
- the Geth are an example of the Created rebelling against the Creators
- the Reaper War is an example of the destruction as the Synthetic Organic conflict escalates
- the Crucible Destroy option is one step removed from what the Catalyst predicted, Synthetics destroying all Organics.
The problem with the Catalyst isn't that it makes unpleasant predictions. It is that it makes predictions based on flawed programming and assumptions that aren't supported by the galaxy's own history.
Also, the Geth aren't an example of synthetic rebels. They desired peace and had war thrust upon them by their creators.
As for the Reaper extinction cycles, the Catalyst only triumphed over its masters because the Leviathans handed it control of their state. Subsequent organic factions were annihilated only because the Reapers had the element of surprise and a technological advantage, because the Reapers struck before their intended opponents could achieve technological parity. In the aftermath of the Reaper War it is highly unlikely that any organic faction would ever recreate a galactic skynet, considering their own history and near extinction. The Leviathans left behind a powerful blueprint of what not to do.
Obadiah, on 26 Jul 2014 - 03:14 AM, said:
On the notion of the Catalyst as "fallible" and "flawed". First, everything is flawed. The Catalyst explicitly declared its fallibility during the conversation with Shepard. That is not a reason to ignore its prediction.
Sure it is.
The Catalyst is recommending that Shepard kill himself, and in the process deny every sapient organic being in the galaxy the right self-determination. It asks Shepard to alter the very nature of organic life for all time, physically altering the bodies (and minds?) of every person in the galaxy regardless of whether or not they want it. The Catalyst asks Shepard to deny billions one of the most basic 'human' rights. And it asks Shepard to do this to solve a problem that may not even exist.
Synthesis, quite frankly, is morally repugnant.
Obadiah, on 26 Jul 2014 - 03:14 AM, said:
The Catalyst is a billion year old entity. It was intelligent enough to usurp its own creators and masters before it even had one Reaper. It has won every Reaper cycle for the past billion years. It could not do these things unless it could adapt and accurately predict its enemy. It has been considering this problem using its own logic, and probably the theories and perspectives from every civilization it has absorbed over the past billion years. Calling the Catalyst an expert would be a massive understatement. The notion that we in this cycle, with our limited interaction with Synthetics, could possibly know or understand the dynamics of this problem to a greater degree than it is utterly ridiculous. It is literally giving us the most accurate and least fallible information on the conflict.
In short your statement is not an argument for reason, it is an argument for ignorance in the face of a highly accurate but uncomfortable prediction.
The Leviathans were done in as much by their own hubris and incompetent blundering as they were any cunning on the part of the Catalyst. The Catalyst would not have been in a position to destroy them had the Leviathans not given it mastery over their empire, and had the Leviathans been more diligent in their coding. Besides being coded to solve a problem that may not exist, there apparently was no 'Do not ever kill your masters' shackle.

Here is a good reason to reject the Catalyst's predictions and its proposed solution: This is is an entity, that to solve the dubious problem of synthetics inevitably destroying organics, initially came up with the solution of destroying all organics before they could create synthetics. Brilliant!
The level of epic stupidity in that solution alone warrants the Leviathans' crap code getting the delete it has deserved for billions of years.
And yet we are to accept that an entity that came up with that ridiculous plan, now possesses epic powers of clairvoyance, and must be trusted when it suggests that Synthesis is the ideal solution?
Shepard would have to be a complete and utter fool.





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