I've addressed that the Inquisition may fill in a power vacuum because the Chantry is in disarray with the demise of Chantry leadership, and it's not "supposed" that the Chantry is in disarray when the developers explicitly say that the Chantry is in disarray, as I pointed out in my last post; you apparently need to re-read what I wrote previously since you seem to have already forgotten it.
Except that isn't what they said? Every developer statement you put up said the same thing "The Inquisition is not part of the Chantry". Ok. We agree. They say nothing about the Inquisition usurping Chantry power. Or the Chantry being weakened. Or anything that isn't "The Inquisition is not part of the Chantry."
You seem to be more privy to facts about the Hinterlands than the rest of us are, since it's only speculation among players right now that the Dalish aren't managing the Hinterlands and that the Dalish Boon may have been handwaved, in the same way most outcomes for Origins were. Until the developers clarify the matter, I don't anticipate it'll be anything more than speculation for the time being.
I'm privy to what the developers and the games tell us, yes.
After DA: O, Gaider tells us that the slides are rumor at best.
AIn DA2, Alistair tells us that the elven boon didn't work out.
57 days ago, on the Inquisition website, in an article titled "The Hinterlands": http://www.dragonage...the-hinterlands
"My lord Arl Teagan,
I retired to the Hinterlands for peace and quiet away from the politics, and because the wide open spaces were perfect to let my horses run. Instead, the war between the mages and the templars has turned your beautiful hills into a series of burning battlefields.
The farmers who live in the Hinterlands are good folk. Many of them left Redcliffe village because they couldn't bear to be there anymore, not after the Blight and the walking dead left so many bad memories. Now we've got apostates running around setting fire to anyone who looks at them sideways, and templars looting houses and cutting down those who protest as mage sympathizers.
My wife Elaina sent off our field hands to stay with her family in the east, but there are a lot of poor people here with nowhere to go. We get more refugees every day: this village attacked by mad mages or that farmstead burned to the ground by templars who can't tell a hoe from a staff. I suppose you're stretched thin, but anything you can do to lessen the burden of these poor folk would be much appreciated. I'll do as I can, and if your men need better mounts, say the word.
Best of luck to you, my lord. Remember not to let Duchess puff out her gut when you saddle her.
Yours in service,
Dennet
-A letter from Redcliffe's former horsemaster to Arl Teagan Redcliffe (undelivered)"
Not a lot of wiggle room for interpretation here.
Unless you contend that it fails in every single instance except when Anora is alone on the throne, because the woman that purged the Alienage, in a country where it is illegal to defend elves, is going to go out of the way to stop her people from kicking some former bandit elves out of the Hinterlands. Is that your stance? "Elf Killer Anora, Savior of the Dalish"? Because that's the only situation where we haven't been directly told things went bad. And wouldn't explain why there's still that letter to Teagan, right up there on the official site with nothing to counter it. Just sitting there. Saying that Redcliffe owns the Hinterlands.
Please stop acting as though you know exactly what King Alistair or Queen Anora would do. You don't. You're free to speculate, but please don't confuse your conjecture for actual fact. As for the point about the two territories, the Frostback Mountains generally separate the Dales from Ferelden. The border between the two nations are the Frostback Mountains; a territorial dispute over treacherous mountains is highly unlikely when none of trade through the two regions is a necessity for survival.
Trade that isn't a necessity for survival as Ferelden only recently started to trade with Orlais again, which had been barred for some time after the end of the Orlesian occupation. Alternative trade routes can likely be found, and some of that trade can be shifted to through Amaranthine, especially if it's Orlesian cargo that's been imported and exported.
It's all speculation at this point. That goes without saying. It's just that when I speculate, I don't choose to ignore the history of the setting I'm speculating on.
It is illegal in Ferelden to defend an elf against a human. We know that Ferelden humans have and do turn on elves, regardless of who the HoF might have been.
We also know that trade has started between Orlais and Ferelden. It may not be a trade route that sustains a nation, but I speculate it's pretty important to the traders that are using it. The human traders. Who, if they could use Amaranthine wouldn't be using a land route. Who will likely see the elves as a threat to their livelihood, especially if the Dales follows a 'no humans allowed' policy. Which we have no reason to believe they won't. And exactly what other land route are they supposed to find?
Yes, Fereldens hate Orlesians. I speculate, based on everything we've been told about human/elf relations, that they'll hate elves attempting to rise above their 'proper station' and preventing trade even more.
Your opinion notwithstanding, the ruler of Ferelden may feel want to sign a treaty with the elves of an independent Dales, especially given how the Crown is well aware that some in the empire have an interest in "reclaiming their former province"; having an ally could dissuade some of the warmongers from launching another attack against Ferelden, especially if it meant dealing with a two-front war, and leaving it vulnerable to Nevarra as well.
First, Orlais is no longer in a position to threaten Ferelden. The Civil War has made sure of that. Any dreams Gaspard had for annexing Ferelden to keep Nevarra at bay died when he failed to kill Celene before she reached her forces. The Tear took that nailed up coffin and buried it. It will be years, at least, before Orlais is in any position to entertain adventures in Dogtown.
Second, until and unless that happens, Orlais and Ferelden are trading partners. Ferelden needs all the trade coin it can get since it's still rebuilding from the Blight (and then the Tear happened).
Third, what does Ferelden get out of a treaty with the Dales? The Dales would be a buffer against Orlais regardless of if Ferelden signs a treaty or not. They're the only way from Orlais to Ferelden. Additionally, why would they risk the ire of their people and their trade partners by supporting elves over humans and heathens over Andrastrians? The elves offer nothing to Ferelden by treaty, except risk, that they wouldn't get by just waiting.