The Denver/Indianapolis game was the most shocking of the week by far. Beyond the poor performance by Peyton, what was most surprising was the protection that Indy's offensive line was able to provide against Denver's vaunted pass rush. If you told me that the Colts would be able to line up five wide receivers against Von Miller and DeMarcus Ware and have time to throw, I would not have believed you, but that's exactly what happened.
The story coming out now is that Peyton played the last month of the season with a torn right quad, which would do a fair amount to explain the dip in his performance over that period. The Colts' gameplan was, "Make Peyton beat us with his arm," and it worked. As a football fan, that makes me kinda sad. Whatever you might think of his postseason struggles (I tend to think that the "can't get it done in the big games" is frequently overstated), he's had a brilliant career and it would be a downer to have it end like this.
Meanwhile, the whole Denver organization is in turmoil, with John Fox having been fired after going 46-18 and winning four division titles in four seasons. Offensive coordinator Adam Gase will likely be hired away from the Broncos organization as a head coach, and the team will have to make a lot of tough decisions about which of its expensive free agent signings to keep and which to let go. This team was built to win this year, and when you don't win, you suffer the consequences.
Picks for next week (went 2-2 last week):
Seattle over Green Bay: I think HYR makes a good point about Seattle not having faced a good offense over the last few weeks; the Carolina game was closer than it looked for a long stretch, with Carolina getting a few drives deep in Seattle territory but not resulting in points. But this defense still has championship pedigree, the game will be in Seattle, and Russell Wilson has been lights out over the past few weeks (against Carolina, he went 8 of 8 for 199 yards and three touchdowns on third down). Against an average-at-best Green Bay defensive unit, that should be enough to win a close game.
New England over Indianapolis: Tom Brady was absolutely brilliant last week against a scary Baltimore team. I don't think Indianapolis can generate the pass rush necessary to get him off his game at all. Andrew Luck is a great QB, but this team has never shown anything against New England in their past three meetings. With the win, Tom Brady would surpass John Elway by appearing in a record sixth Super Bowl; I think you can make a really strong case for him as the best QB ever.