63 réponses à ce sujet

[Kaiser Arian XVII]

can't write long answers right now (maybe later), but takes these...

 

Putin? Not a communist. Maybe a Imperialistic Nationalist, and I found these traits OK.

 

Like China is now a Communism to fall! lol

I hope they concentrate on some of those cities (gets his **** together) and finish some before they hit stagnation. Also they can work on the quality of their products and make the people around the world want them instead of force them to buy those products.

 

Saudi Arabia does have its men of influence in USA, just like Israel that's why its policies are ignored.

 

And I think carriers are overrated. With some Destroyers, Battleships and Submarines you can make them drown, if not all the aircraft on it. Plus if carriers get too near the land of a country they can be targeted with Fighters, Artillery and missiles too.

Also maintaining them needs a huge amount of budget.

[Kaiser Arian XVII]

What do you think about Germany?

Best economy and center of tech in Europe right now. But will their population keep it up?

[bmwcrazy]

Voted for USA, China, and Germany.

[A Crusty Knight Of Colour]

What do you think about Germany?

Best economy and center of tech in Europe right now. But will their population keep it up?

 

I think their population will stagnate. The birthrate is already starting to slow down, but Germany is by far the strongest economy in the Eurozone, and their economy will be difficult to topple. Something about Germans and productivity, it's woven into the culture. The UK is already looking for ways to be less engaged in the EU and British Independence from the Eurozone seems to be a popular sentiment. Would not surprise me to see them pull out of the EU completely in the next 10-15 years. That will be a heavy hit for the EU, but it will swing the power balance greatly in Germany's favour as France's economy is not in fantastic shape. Who knows what will happen by 2050, but short of war or immense social/political upheaval, I can't see Germany losing it's place as the primary financial and technological power in the EU.

 

Saudi Arabia does have its men of influence in USA, just like Israel that's why its policies are ignored.

 

The United States has always adopted a "the enemy of my enemy is my friend" approach, propping up and supporting a variety of powers ranging from puppet governments to oppressive regimes to incompetent fools to terrorist groups, as long as they fight against the enemy of the day. It's a little sad but realpolitik has been foreign policy doctrine for decades if not longer. It's probably why the United States has been top dog for so long and it's the way the world works, but there is a cost in human lives and human rights for the unlucky ones who get caught up in it.

 

On the issue of Israel though, it makes me think about the Muslim world. And there are two countries I can think of with vastly untapped economic/technological potential - Turkey and Indonesia. I personally think that Erdogan is running Turkey into the ground. His Islamist driven attack on the culture of secularism instilled in the Turkish people by Ataturk, along with his numerous foreign policy hiccups and almost blatant grab at power is all bad enough, but Turkey is in the tail end of a credit bubble. One that will burst sooner rather than later unless Turkey can navigate it's way through it. We see China starting to come to terms with this. But instead of looking at ways to ease the fall or consider austerity measures, Erdogan yells at the Central Bank and talks about Gulen conspiracies. Again though, Turkey is apart of NATO and the United States won't want to upset a powerful Muslim ally. So they just ignore it.

 

As for Indonesia, I don't really know enough about their economic state to provide woefully inaccurate commentary like the rest, but Indonesia has a population of 250 million. If there's such thing as untapped potential, it has to be that.

[BroBear Berbil]

USA

China

Germany

Russia

Korea

 

Germany seems to be the dominant force in the EU, and the one propping up other economies.

Russia aggressively promotes its interests and is reasserting its hegemony.

China may be a bubble that will burst but they're massive and unscrupulous.

USA is USA. We've got too many financial institutions and top companies to slip from the top 5 anytime soon.

Korea, I really admire Koreans so I'm biased on this, but they seem like the healthiest economy in Asia. Hopefully it'll simply be Korea and not South Korea within 40 years.

[Jock Cranley]

UK: No. In decline. 

USA: Yes. Arguably in decline, but still has a very powerful military and probably will for some time. Natural resoruces still abundant.

Brasil: No. They will continue to be the biggest fish in a little pond. Nothing more.

Canada:  No. As per the US, but weaker in every capacity. 

Australia: No. Largely irrelevant on the world scene.

Japan: Maybe. In decline due to population, and has very little natural resources.  Powerful economy right now, but it is on its way down.

China: Obviously. They are drowning in money and still have huge growth despite this crappy economy.

Malaysia: Why is this even on the list?

France:   No. The only things the French are good at is drinking wine and spreading STDs.

Italy: No. Their political environment is WAY too unstable. Average chief executive lasts less than a year. Their most effective leader in the past century was probably Mussolini. Sad, right?

Russia: Possibly. They have the natural resources, but the heavy mob presence, climate and internal disorganization is a problem.

Germany: No. Solid economy, but not really expanding. Like Brazil, they are the biggest fish in a little pond.

Sweden: No. Why are they on the list? They haven't done anything of importance for over 200 years!

India: Maybe. Has the potential to unseat China as a major manufacturing hub, but has done a very poor job realizing such potential.

South Korea: No. Essentially a US puppet state. As soon as the US stops supporting them, they got nothing.

Iran: No. Sanctions don't appear to be going anywhere. 

Spain: No. Virtually a state-run economy at this point, and those never seem to do particularly well.

 

Another Country in Europe:No. UK and Germany are the most important nations there. The rest are either dead weight or too small.

Another Country in Asia: No. See above.

Mexico: No. Similar to Russia, underdeveloped and organised crime too powerful. Mexico is half a step away from being a full narcokleptocracy.

 

WWIII: Eh, maybe. If it does happen, it will be a stomping of someone. Only a few nations in the world have relevant militaries, and most of them are currently on workable terms with one another.  Yes, there are misgivings and grudges, but nothing in the foreseeable future would make them particularly influential. It would require some sort of major catalyst for that to happen. Inevitably, something will happen at some point to thin the herd, but I don't foresee what it could be at this point.

[Sir DeLoria]

With world trade being so important, I can't see a major war going on anytime soon. All countries are way too dependant on one another and imi- and emigration are huge.

[TheClonesLegacy]

Sealand.

You all ignore the clear and present danger this Micronation provides!

[Chewin]

Well in regards to economy, many countries are transforming their industrial processes from labor intensive to capital intensive manufacturing processes, with China and India seemingly being in the lead for such motions. Taking into account their respective world views, followed by their economic, political, and social environments; these two nations are showing to wield an increasing amount of influence in the future (even more so if they start to focus even more on global governance). Considering the increase of demand for technological solutions and gadgets, there is a likelihood of other countries emulating their liberalized economy approach to trade, which will be in favor for the two nations. Additionally, with the continuous development of new, more efficient and eco-friendly power generation solutions, countries will stop relying on oil energy. This in turn will lead to nuclear energy being a major economic driver and countries with minerals will also enjoy the future economy.

 

USA I can see still being a major leading power but  dwindling. If future economic indicators are to be believed, there is a strong possibility of the US being dethroned from the first position economically by China, due to its availability of labor, materials and industrialization in the country which is growing exponentially. This in turn will lead to the cheap money policy of the United States Federal Reserve being rendered obsolete by the strong economic forces that are also seeing in rise (mostly Asian countries).

 

Russia I can see also being a economic force in the world, but due to them being stuck in the transition from a communist economy to a free market economy, it will be rivaled strongly by Asian countries that have an equivalent of its resources.

 

But anyhow, there are many aspects and factors to take into consideration to speculate on. This is just simple from the little I've been following on the matter.

[Kaiser Arian XVII]

Malaysia: Why is this even on the list?

Sweden: No. Why are they on the list? They haven't done anything of importance for over 200 years!

 

The first used to produce good TVs...

The second I don't know. Maybe because there was many vocal Swedes on BSN!

[SwobyJ]

With world trade being so important, I can't see a major war going on anytime soon. All countries are way too dependant on one another and imi- and emigration are huge.

 

Was about to say this.

 

Is it less important to consider which will be a superpower, and more to consider how various powers network with each other.

 

When it comes to 'WWIII' speculation, it would have to be something utterly shocking. And I'm still not sure we'd even call most possible future conflicts 'World Wars' - thank increased global perspective for that.

 

Since this is a question of 2050 (still so much could happen!), and not say 2030-2040, I'm totally up for surprises.  It seems to me that most here are really just predicting 2030ish, not 2050.

[Eternal Phoenix]

No Greece?

[ME_Fan]

We'll it certainly won't be anywhere in the Middle East, which people seem to think will rule the world one day. Once the oil there dries up, they're screwed.

Anyway AMERICA CHINA INDIA

[ME_Fan]

WWW3 is very unlikely. Globalisation has led to a point where nearly all the economies in the world are hugely reliant on each other and free global trade has create more peace around the planet than anything the UN could do.

If WWW3 ever did happen, it would likely be the result of the failed multiculturalism experiment reaching its fulcrum, either that, or a religious war.

But knowing this forum and it's overly PC terms and conditions, I will say no more.

[General TSAR]

I predict a resource crisis followed by WW3 which will lead to the formation of a global government who begins a massive colonization effort in order to feed a resource starved Earth. 

[Kaiser Arian XVII]

No Greece?

 

Will you be Alexander II the great?

[Lunch Box1912]

I plan to live in Microsoft controlled territory.  

[bmwcrazy]

I plan to live in Microsoft controlled territory.

You want to live in a Microsoft store?

[Vroom Vroom]

I voted for the UK, Japan, China, Russia and another country in Europe (that doesn't exist yet). I almost voted for the US, but I am predicting a full-blown Economic Collapse and/or a War that significantly reduces its standing in the world. 

[KingTony]

I plan to have united the Earth and colonized Mars by 2025, so that would be Tony World.

[Lunch Box1912]

.

[Lunch Box1912]

You want to live in a Microsoft store?

 

I was making a poke at corporations ruling the world.

[Kaiser Arian XVII]

What if African Countries take over the world?

[Lunch Box1912]

What if Robots ruled the world?