I don't think being part of a larger plan keeps that one part from being a deus ex machina. I also wouldn't call Flemeth's plan a Xanatos Roulette, as she seems to have some ability to see the future. She knew that Jory would not survive his joining. In order for the DR to be something the Warden's would consider, she must also know about how the Old Gods, Archdemons, and the Wardens' sacrifice.
If they knew it was a possibility and planned for it, then it's not a deus ex machina by definition.
What happens at the end solves a different problem than what they had been planning for. I won't get into the details, but if you consider it a deus ex machina, it serves to illustrate a major point of the novel.





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