Doesn't change the fact that in the vanilla game up until the landsmeet there is more that speaks for Loghain trying to pull of an actual power grab than any other conclusion. It turns out to be wrong in Return to Ostagar or if you recruit him, but up until either of these two points Loghain for the most part comes off as if he planned the whole thing together with Howe.
Exactly!
Loghain absolutely planned the whole thing with Howe. The alternative reduces both Howe and Loghain to reckless fools who launch their own separate rebellions without any semblance of a workable plan.
In order for Howe's coup to have any chance of succeeding, he needs royal sanction. He has to be confirmed as Teyrn of Highever. That obviously wasn't going to happen with Cailan, who for all his flaws appeared to be a man of honor, and who counted on the Couslands as his most powerful allies. If Cailan survives Ostagar Howe's coup would have no doubt ended with an army flying a royal banner retaking Highever and sending Howe to dance from the end of a rope. Howe's actions only make sense if he has foreknowledge of Cailan's upcoming demise and can count on support for his betrayal in Denerim.
Loghain is in a similar situation with the Couslands. They are the most powerful noble house in the kingdom and are staunch royalists. Without Howe seizing Highever and murdering the Couslands, they could potentially pose a serious threat to Loghain. With the throne being vacant and no Theirin heir, it is even possible that a landsmeet could name Bryce Cousland as king. Anora was a queen only by marriage so her rule is by no means guaranteed. Any plot to murder the king would be half-cocked without also having a plan to deal with the Couslands.
And then there is the timing. It is a little too convenient that Howe's rebellion just happens to coincide with Ostagar and Loghain's coup. All the signs, in my opinion, point to Cailan's betrayal being pre-planned and Howe being privy to that plan. Loghain had to have been an accomplice in the murder of the Couslands.
Having said of all that...I know that Gaider later said on his blog after DA:O released that Howe was acting on his own. But I think that 'twitter canon' was not well thought out, diminishes both Loghain and Howe as characters, and does not make a lick of sense considering the events in the game.





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