@gothpunkboy89:
You are honestly comparing the workings of the universe to a calculator? I am not going into that.
My point is, the reapers cannot know the future any more than us, they can only make projections, simulations, etc. but in the end, no matter how good they are at it, they will not be able to predict the future with 100% accuracy (which is already evidenced in the game by Sovereign's failure and the endings themselves but is also something we once argued on a more general level).
Now, I get that the catalyst was created because the Leviathans saw a pattern. But this doesn't change the ultimate facts. The catalyst is either an AI, in which case it should be able to make decisions just as freely as organics and therefore it chose to continue the cycles. It chose to maintain this cycle of fear from a possible future. I have no fear of the future. Development, even if it will eventully lead to our doom is preferable to stagnation (especially in this cycle that ends in the most horrible death). Therefore, I reject the AI's premise and I despise the catalyst on the account that it willingly and deliberately kept up a cycle of genocide for a billion years.
Now, an alternative is that the catalyst is just a VI (your atomic weaponry scenario), that has no free will and acts according to variables, which were set at some point. In this case, I have to choose to commit one of three different atrocities just to appease what is essentially a broken calculator (and here the metaphor actually fits). In this case, your atomic weaponry analogy might fit but then the ending would be a cruel joke.
In any case, Shepard never even tries to find out. That question I quoted is the only time where Shep actually questions the catalysts premise. I would have liked to see more of it because it would have eventually allowed us to find out whether we deal with a broken VI or a malevolent AI and we could have tried to deal with the situation accordingly. As it is however, we can only adhere to this unknown entity and that to me is unsatisfying and frustrating.
@leidra:
My problem is not the plausibility of this specific scenario. My problem is that the reapers impose stagnation in order to prevent it. They are not addressing their projected problem with measures aimed specifically at the problem, they basically prevent development in it's entirety because they are afraid of it. This is because they see it as inevitable. In order to proclaim something as inevitable, you'd need proof (not evidence, which - as you correctly say - just measures probabilities). This of course is a paradox, The catalyst doesn't make a scientific statement of cause and effect, he states his belief as an inevitable truth. it is a logical flaw in the catalyst's reasoning and it would be there even without the rest of the story (geth-quarian peace, etc.). That's my problem right now. Mind you, if the catalyst were to talk about possibilities instead, then I'd expect Shepard to argue that even if the possibility for failure is high, the cycles are not an answer to something that may or may not happen. S/he might not succeed to persuade the catalyst but at least s/he should be able to argue.
By the way, I liked the idea behind the dark energy ending in part because in this case, the reapers could have made a scientific statement. If their reason would have been "we have been monitoring/measuring the decay of the galaxy due to dark energy for the past billion years and it's steadily progressing. During this time, we have been trying to find a solution by experimenting with organic civilizations for reason XYZ." I would have been fine with that. Because in that case, their treatment of of organics would have been a way to specifically address a clear and present problem/danger. (This is why I went with it in my fanfiction of the ending.) But here, they call clean slate on the belief that a problem will eventually occur.
Also, there are two more unrelated points in this argument:
First: If synthetics can wipe out all organics, then it may also be that organics can wipe out all organics (we faced this very threat of extinction in our own limited universe on earth during the cold war for example). So unless all conflict is put to rest forever, how do the three solutions even help?
- Destroy wouldn't help at all
- Control might help but will abolish freedom
- Synthesis can only help if we alter the minds of the entire galaxy to prevent aggression, which would be as abominable as harvesting them into a reaper
Second: Even if synthetics wipe out all organic life, well, I'd have to ask so what? How is this worse than the cycles? If synthesis can be seen as an evolutionary step that changes us completely, so couldn't the shift from organic to synthetic life be seen as something similar? What is the value of preserving organic life in a stagnant state, especially if the catalyst is an AI, not a VI?