I've just replayed the DLC with Loghain in my party and read (once again) the 3 pages of Cailan's exchange of letters with his uncle, Eamon Guerrin and Empress Celene.
From what I understand from the exchange, things before Ostagar evolved as follows:
1. Celene promised to bring Orlesian Wardens escorted by CHEVALIERS. You know, the same chevaliers who Loghain denounced would refuse to leave Ferelden after they marched in?
2. Cailan was then chastised by Eamon for wanting to participate in the battle. Eamon clearly advised the king to NOT fight alongside the soldiers. And the reason for that was because Cailan hadn't yet produced an heir. If he died in the battlefield, there'd be no one to wear the crown.
Eamon then suggested Cailan cheated on Anora - to set her aside, as the Arl put it - because she was already nearing 30.
Now here comes what's truly appalling in this whole affair:
3. Celene writes to Cailan, obviously answering some correspondence he had sent to her previously and writes in a VERY INTIMATE TONE suggesting she and the king got together to discuss the subject of making peace between Ferelden and Orlais through "a permanent alliance" (as in marriage).
After playing Inquisition, we are well aware of The Game, the way Orlesians do politics. The Game thrives under Celene's rule. So we can safely assume that her intention to marry Cailan was not just for the sake of having an innocent, little marriage. They were not lovebirds. It was a move in The Game. Plainly speaking, it was a deliberate coup to assimilate Ferelden back to the Empire without having to fire a single shot.
After reading all those letters, Loghain reacts with no less than shock and horror at what Cailan was about to do. I initially hated Loghain, like any other regular player, but even before reading the books (Stolen Throne and The Calling) and acknowledging his redeeming qualities , the moment I finished reading the letters, I could only agree with his bewildered reaction and wonder what on earth did the king intend to do.
WTF Cailan. You were about to hand over Ferelden to the Orlesian Empire through marriage???
And he was going to cheat on the Queen. Loghain's treachery may have been horrid, leaving soldiers and Wardens behind to die, but THIS was far worse! What kind of king hands his nation on a silver platter TO HIS ENEMIES? A king whose father nearly died when he was just a boy and whose mother was horribly betrayed and assassinated by such enemies?
I used to think Cailan was just an enthusiastic young man wronged by Loghain. Another innocent victim of this treacherous elder general, who cared nothing for honour. Now I think Cailan was not just a fool, as Loghain frequently repeated, but completely inept to sit on the throne.
And one more thing concerning the future of the Fereldan throne:
Arl Eamon is not very satisfied if you choose to marry Alistair and Anora. In Recliffe, right before the Final Battle, he makes it clear the marriage would not have been his first choice. I can't help but keep wondering if he did know that Cailan intended to fall for Celene's trap and betray the Bannorn with his brilliant idea of marrying the Orlesian empress.
Because if he did, then his words have a whole different meaning. What he truly said may have meant that he agreed to have Cailan marry Celene, regardless of how it could threaten Ferelden's independence. Even worse is if we speculate further on: what if Eamon suggested the marriage to Cailan? Was he, then, the mastermind behind this great treachery?
Which leads to the conclusion that -surprise, surprise! - Loghain was right about there being an Orlesian coup being staged right under Cailan's nose, and was the only teyrn actually lucid enough to see it.
Had Cailan survived Ostagar, Loghain would see Maric's son undo his father's - as well as Rowan's and Loghain's - hard work. Just as he had foreseen.
Now excuse me while I go ****** at Cailan's grave. I still dislike Loghain for some of the things he did, but when I think about what Cailan was about to do to Anora and Ferelden...how is he better than his treacherous general? At least Loghain became regent because the threat of the chevaliers was REAL and because Cailan refused to listen to reason, putting his life at risk by ignoring his uncle's advice and joining his army at the battle of Ostagar.
And to think I once felt sorry for Cailan...Maker's breath...





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