Only in the sense that it might give us an idea of how much time has passed before the Inquisition can discuss pursuing the Templars or Mages.
I can get on board with that. It may conflict with Dagna's estimate however.
Fair enough.
Then we have an accord.
Based on rather recent hostilities.
The most recent hostility I can think of was actually Loghain keeping "Orlesian" Grey Warden's out of Ferelden during the Fifth Blight. The last aggressive move from Orlais was like 9:3 or something like that.
Being aware of their own weakness while also being aware of nobles like Gaspard calling for war.
If they had a military weakness, all the more reason to put on a strong front for Orlesian nobles.
Gaspard was indeed seen as a saber-rattler, but he was also known as a wannabe usurper. And Celene had been keeping him in check for almost two decades. One Grand Duke shooting his mouth off means nothing to Ferelden. He only becomes a concern if he manages to become Emperor, and even then Ferelden approaches the situation with a peace treaty. I think this shows that Ferelden is open to a cordial relationship with Orlais.
Then there's the Orlesian attempt to wrangle the Inquisition.
That happens after Champions of the Just, so it isn't applicable.
They can certainly visit Ferelden, but I wouldn't expect them to be received the way visiting nobility usually are. Being forced to make camp or stay at an inn instead of being given space at the local manor or castle etc.
Ugh! How gauche. Surely the great Ferelden can do better than that.
I think a lot of banns and arls would take it as a matter of pride to put on a strong show for the Orlesians. To show that they are better than the perception, if not those who perceive them. I think this was the thought process behind Anora commissioning the building of a university. It was to rival the one in Orlais. Ferelden and Orlais are peaceful with each other, but they are rivals. They would try to outdo each other.
Right, that's why I said that I believed that they believed they could succeed, not that I believed they would. Still would cause a remarkable amount of damage in any event.
I could see them thinking they could do it, but I think it would portray them as foolish in that case. They should know that it wouldn't work. And its too much of a risk. A wiser approach, and one right up the Qunari's alley, would be to take the lands closer to Par Vollen first in order to establish a strong foothold near the south. It would break the Accords as Dragon's Breath would, but at least they would have a battlefront with open supply lines connected to the homeland.
Would Dragon's Breath have caused damage? Sure. But the Qunari want to conquer, not destroy. Any dead banns would be replaced instantly. A dead monarch(s) would be replaced soon enough, not that they are needed to mount a military defense. And after the dust settled all the nations would understand that the Llomeryn Accords were broken and it would be time for a new exalted march against the Qunari. That's exactly what the Qunari would want to avoid.
No, I think they are weak, indifference was your claim.
Indifferent to Inquisition matters, yes. Not to Ferelden matters though. I just don't see why you think Ferelden is weak, I guess. Of course the blight weakened them, but in Awakening the Hero can build things back up, and create the Silver Order. The (other) monarch(s) of Ferelden can keep things stable elsewhere. Alistair or Anora can state that they can't spare troops because they are needed in the central Bannorn. If you save Amaranthine and build up Vigil's Keep you get an outcome with a strong military force.
I mean, I guess if you abandoned Redcliffe to the undead, Annulled the Circle, and lost most of your forces at Denerim, then maybe Ferelden would be weak after all that. But even so, we're talking 10 years later.
Redcliffe isn't some hovel. Being met with violent and unorganized resistance shouldn't be the signal to cut and run. The commoners would have been left to fend for themselves, without even being directed to move in or around fortified areas.
Are you referring to Alexius here? Because we don't know the circumstances of that. For all we know, Teagan had his soldiers patrolling outside Redcliffe because they had established a perimeter. Alexius' move came from inside that perimeter from within the mages themselves, which Teagan would not have expected. It's possible Alexius simply walked into Redcliffe Castle as if he were a guest and then simply locked Teagan out.
In spite of this, they can get whooped by one boat, within their capital city no less. I'd rather give them the benefit of the doubt and say they are weak.
The fire ship? That's an extraordinary circumstance. Like 9/11. The delivery of a large payload through one small unsecured method. The Venatori finding one security flaw in a city and suicide bombing it is not a fair indication of Ferelden's military might as a whole.
That would have been an awesome side quest though.