Tevinter would have designs on their former territories in the south in a general sense, but during the Exalted Marches they would have been the defending party. I'm pretty sure the outcome of the Exalted Marches are described as "falling just short of conquering Minrathous" so I'd say they would have won the war in that "Defensive Stalemate = victory" sort of way.
Yeah, after double checking WoT, it says Chantry armies "advanced well into Imperial land" but also that in the end the wars "did little but solidify the divide."
World of Thedas says both Orlais and Tevinter were able to fend of the darkspawn attacks pretty easily in the Fourth Blight. It was the smaller powers that suffered the worst.
I have a hard time imagining that the Blights that lasted barely over a decade as being anywhere near as devastating as the ones that lasted almost a century or two, though.
The main front of fourth blight was Antiva and Free Marches, the other fronts were not bulk of the horde. So Tevinter and Orlais dealt with the attacks easily but Antiva City literally fell and Free Marches became a crumbling ruin. So many darkspawn were killed in that blight that people thought the darkspawn went extinct, so yes it was a very devastating blight. It completely crippled two nations for decades.
Also I found something interesting when I read stuff again, Tevinter actually took in mages who escaped from the south after the first exalted march. It was pretty much the only time Tevinter did such a thing. It was an attempt to get back to its full strength faster so it took in the refugee mages with no strings attached.





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