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Murky waters at Ostagar (or what did Cailan know that we don't?)


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#226
errant_knight

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I'm glad that this discussion has become so broad and diverse, and that we've looked at how other characters play into the situation, but I'm thinking that it's time to make nodding acquaintance with the original topic again. To that end, I'll quote my original post here:
"When the game starts, we see an apparently overconfident king who's looking for easy glory. He's open to the idea of additional troops from Orleis, something that is vehemently opposes by Loghain, but doesn't want to wait for that to happen. It appears to be more of an idea that he favors than actual fact, and he doesn't seem to think it's necessary.

Later, we find out that not only does he think it's necessary, he has all the treaties in place to allow it to happen. We also find out that he has serious doubts about the outcome of the battle at Ostagar, and even has doubts about his own survival. He's made arrangements to preserve the treaties if he is killed. It would seem that Cailan was playing a much deeper game than it appeared.

This creates a big question. Why didn't Cailan want to wait? Why was he so determined that the battle be fought when it was? If Cailan told Elric that there would be no victory at Ostagar, it would seem to imply that he knew something that Duncan, who believed the plan would succeed, did not--something that cast doubt on victory, but also made it imperative that they not wait for the Orleisians. What would that have been, and why wouldn't it be something he could share with Duncan? Why would he not wish to wait when he'd arranged for a stronger force to be available, clearly believing that was important?

Did he suspect treachery from Loghain, perhaps fearing a move against the crown, a civil war that would divide the armies making it impossible to gather such a large force again? He seems surprised by Howe's treachery, so perhaps not. Was it something else that we have no hint of? One has to wonder."

Taking all the discussion into account, where are we now? Have your initial opinions changed? Is there anything that has been brought up that you find particularly noteworthy?

Modifié par errant_knight, 09 février 2010 - 07:17 .


#227
Vanderbilt_Grad

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Cognitive Dissonance is a powerful thing. The human brain has trouble holding two opposed ideas at one time ... and in the context of this discussion Loghain's reasoning is very suspect because of it. Certainly in his own mind Loghain would create righteous and plausible reasons for his actions even if they aren’t strictly true.



"We could not have won." and "More men would have been needlessly lost." are powerful excuses for quitting the field. When Loghain blame's Cailen's death on the King's own actions you see how Anora reacts to his answer to her question. She clearly realizes that her father is not giving the clear unequivocal "no." He is rationalizing. As such anything he states in RtO is suspect. He may believe NOW that the battle wasn't winnable ... and hence that he did the "right thing" then ... but that's doesn't mean that it's why he made the call to withdraw THEN.



This also renders ambiguous his real feelings about others, be they his own troops or the people of Ferelden. Which is, I suppose, just fine for a game stacked with so many shades of grey.




#228
AndreaDraco

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errant_knight wrote...
Taking all the discussion into account, where are we now? Have your initial opinions changed? Is there anything that has been brought up that you find particularly noteworthy?


I believe that Cailan was indeed interested in the glory a glorious and successful battle against the darkspawn could net him, but also that he wasn't entirely naive and - as such - made plans so that his efforts toward a meaningful peace with Orlais could be reached even if he were killed at Ostagar. Maybe he also suspected that Loghain could have acted against him, even if only in a political, non-gruesome way.

Did Cailan sent Alistair purposedly to the Tower to avoid endangering him? I always thought so. Did Cailan had an affair with Celene? I suspected so even before Return to Ostagar. Did he thought that Ostagar wasn't winnable at all? No, I don't believe so and I tend to see his actions regarding the letters - concealing them, giving the key to his trusted guard - as a mere precautional measure against Loghain's meddling.

Alas, what did Cailan really planned to do about Orlais and his marriage with Anora will always remain a mystery, but, after RtO, I have no doubt that even if Loghain didn't know about the secret correspondence, he suspected that the King's overture toward Orlais entailed more than a simple alliance against the Blight and that it may have been this very notion to set in motion his treachery (poisoning the Arl, etc.)

#229
Meneldhil

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errant_knight wrote...

When the game starts, we see an apparently overconfident king who's looking for easy glory. He's open to the idea of additional troops from Orleis, something that is vehemently opposes by Loghain, but doesn't want to wait for that to happen. It appears to be more of an idea that he favors than actual fact, and he doesn't seem to think it's necessary.

Later, we find out that not only does he think it's necessary, he has all the treaties in place to allow it to happen. We also find out that he has serious doubts about the outcome of the battle at Ostagar, and even has doubts about his own survival. He's made arrangements to preserve the treaties if he is killed. It would seem that Cailan was playing a much deeper game than it appeared.

This creates a big question. Why didn't Cailan want to wait? Why was he so determined that the battle be fought when it was?


Because the game is poorly written. Same reason as why Loghain goes from honorable fighter willing to die for Maric to relentless killer screwing up his nation and killing his best friend's son with no explanation.

#230
Maria13

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As some of the posters may be aware, rethinking through Cailan's
actions just before Ostagar made me put forward an I, Claudius (from
the novel by Robert Graves) theory.  This is basically that Cailan was
a monarch who one day realised that his actions were being so stymied
by the power of others over him that he had no choice but to set in
motion his first desparate attempts to break free as discreetly as
possible whilst maintaining the facade of a gullible fool/young glory
hound.  I think that theory is sound.

As to why he went ahead with Ostagar if he had reached
the conclusion it was unwinnable, I say he had no choice.  To withdraw
at the ninth hour would have lost him the respect of the people of
Ferelden and would have played even more into Logain's hand ("See, not
only is he inexperienced, he's a coward to boot!").  His credability
would never have recovered and it would not be inconceivable that
Logain wd officially attempt to set him aside as a result.  I don't
think he had any choice but to go ahead with it and hope for the best.

#231
Thor Rand Al

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There are so many responses I'd love to quote but like I said there's too many lol. As far as Loghain I'm sorry but he knew what he was doing from the get go. Watch the two cutscenes with him at Ostagar. The 1 were he's arguing with Cailan n he turns his back and says something about glory for everyone. He's got a grin on his face, not a big 1, more like a smirk or whatever you call it n when he's telling his army to retreat he's got another 1 there. I've replayed those scenes a lot of times just to be sure lol. That right there show's me he he was definitely planning something way before they were at Ostagar.
Edit: Loghain started his decietful planning when Cailan started talking about having Orlais armies helping with the blight.

As far as Duncan telling Cailan we will succeed, I saw that as Duncan trying to keep Cailan and his morale up. Especially Cailan, if he was to be seen faltering the men that followed him would see that n there would definitely be chaos.


errant_knight wrote...
This creates a big question. Why didn't Cailan want to wait? Why was he so determined that the battle be fought when it was?

Because at first it was probably about glory but by the time the battle was rolling around he sarted realizing maybe I should wait, this isn't going to go the way I hoped n maybe he started seeing what Loghain might of been up too. By then it was too late because he's the 1 that brought everyone out there, he's the 1 that started this. A King can not afford to look like he's waivering, he's got doubts, not in front of his army, men. How would his armies, people look at him if he was to back out, he'd be looked at as a coward n who's to say if he did survive if he'd be holding the throne when he got back to Denerim if he ran out on his own army that he had gathered.


As far as "something more" between Cailan n Orlais, I'm having a hard time grasping that. All I see is a King who's trying to unite two long time fueding countries into maybe having a semblance of peace once n for all. That n they would be a massively big help with the blight if it wasto go wrong.

I'm sorry when it comes to Anora pfft. She's exactly like her father, she WILL DO whatever to keep that throne no matter who she hurts. Loghain WILL DO whatever it takes to keep Orlais from taking 1 step onto Ferelden soil no matter who it hurts, he's proved that and so has she. The only two people that I even seen so far who remotely even cared about the "common people" are Alistair and the Cousland's. With Alistair if you make a bad decision with some of the "common people" he has a problem with that. With the Cousland's Iona makes that statement about how your father (grrr at remembering exact words lol) respects the "common people." Sorry I can't remember the exact words but she said something how it bode well for your father. I'm not sure about Eamon, he wants Alistair on the throne but is it really about Ferelden n the "common people" or is there something more behind it cause he really doesn't seem to sound like he's really thrilled about putting Alistair on the throne.
Edit: Iona's exact words. "Lady Landra is good to her elven servants.  That is not true in many households, but I hear it is in yours.  It speaks well of your father to show such compassion."

So there are a few of my opinions/thoughts, like I said opinion's n thoughts nothing more lol. I have more but I'd be here all day lmao.

Modifié par Thor Rand Al, 09 février 2010 - 09:00 .


#232
FierachEredasSoulchiou

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In the RtO Codexes, it shows that Arl Eamon's pushing for Cailan to have a closer relationship with Empress Celene. because Anora's getting closer to 30 and she hasn't bore him a child yet.



Speaking, a marriage between King Cailan and Empress Celene would unite two of the more powerful nations in all of Thedas.



It would probably also ****** off a great deal of Fereldens. Keep in mind that Ferelden just earned its independence not too much more then 30 years prior. A century of harsh oppression, as evidenced by Loghain, is too much for the people to simply forget. The common people, also adore and love Loghain and Anora. The public knows that although Maric was the former King who liberated them, Loghain was his right hand, and although Cailan's the current ruler, Anora is the one who actually governs.



Does Cailan have sensible intentions, trying for peace between Orlais and Ferelden? Yeah. Is he going about it the wrong way? Definately.



By the time battle is rolling he then started to realise things? Its too late then. Cailan initially wanted the battle to start out of foolhardy glory-seeking. He had many chances before hand to wait for reinforcements, be it from Orlais, or even Arl Eamon.

#233
Thor Rand Al

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FierachEredasSoulchiou wrote...
In the RtO Codexes, it shows that Arl Eamon's pushing for Cailan to have a closer relationship with Empress Celene. because Anora's getting closer to 30 and she hasn't bore him a child yet.




Um I'm sorry but where exactly does it say in the RTO codex the letter from Eamon to Cailan that he's pushing Cailan to be with the Empress.

Cailan's Documents - Page 2 of 3

Your Majesty,
My men will arrive as soon as possible to bolster your forces.  Maker willing, this blight will be ended before it has begun.

Cailan, I beseech you, as your uncle, not to join the Grey Wardens on the field.  You cannot afford to take this risk.  Ferelden cannot afford it.  Let me remind you again that you do not have an heir.  Your death--and it pains me to even think of it--would plunge Ferelden into chaos.

And yes, perhaps when this is over you will allow me to bring up the subject of your heir.  While a son from both the Theirin and Mac Tir lines would unite Ferelden like no other, we must accept that perhaps this can never be.  The queen approaches her thirtieth year and her ability to give you a child lessens with each passing month.  I submit to you again that it might be time to put Anora aside.  We parted harshly the last time I spoke of this, but it has been a full year since then and nothing has changed.

Please, nephew, consider my words, and Andraste's grace be with you.

--A letter from Arl Eamon to King Cailan



And none of the other codex's say anything about this

Modifié par Thor Rand Al, 09 février 2010 - 10:54 .


#234
errant_knight

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FierachEredasSoulchiou wrote...

In the RtO Codexes, it shows that Arl Eamon's pushing for Cailan to have a closer relationship with Empress Celene. because Anora's getting closer to 30 and she hasn't bore him a child yet.

Speaking, a marriage between King Cailan and Empress Celene would unite two of the more powerful nations in all of Thedas.

It would probably also ****** off a great deal of Fereldens. Keep in mind that Ferelden just earned its independence not too much more then 30 years prior. A century of harsh oppression, as evidenced by Loghain, is too much for the people to simply forget. The common people, also adore and love Loghain and Anora. The public knows that although Maric was the former King who liberated them, Loghain was his right hand, and although Cailan's the current ruler, Anora is the one who actually governs.

Does Cailan have sensible intentions, trying for peace between Orlais and Ferelden? Yeah. Is he going about it the wrong way? Definately.

By the time battle is rolling he then started to realise things? Its too late then. Cailan initially wanted the battle to start out of foolhardy glory-seeking. He had many chances before hand to wait for reinforcements, be it from Orlais, or even Arl Eamon.


Eamon says nothing about Celene, as I recall. The chest contains a number of pieces of corrosponance, but there's nothing to even hint that they're related. Likewise, you draw the conclusion that Cailan is going about forming a lasting peace in the wrong way. What is your evidence for that? I find it very unlikely that Cailan was planning on putting Anora aside, and even more unlikely that he was planning a match with Celene or any member of her family. Uniting the two countries would be the last thing a monarch of Fereldan would want to do, while the creation of treaties would be a really good thing.

We don't know that Cailan is only in it for glory, and during the course of this thread there have been many points made that would seem to indicate equally plausible possibilities. People have pointed out good reasons for him to feel waiting wasn't possible, as well.

#235
Morroian

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Meneldhil wrote...
Because the game is poorly written. Same reason as why Loghain goes from honorable fighter willing to die for Maric to relentless killer screwing up his nation and killing his best friend's son with no explanation.


On the contrary I've read The Stolen Throne and the seeds of who Loghain would become are clearly there in that book. He's not a good person in the book but obsessive, driven and manipulative.

#236
errant_knight

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Morroian wrote...

Meneldhil wrote...
Because the game is poorly written. Same reason as why Loghain goes from honorable fighter willing to die for Maric to relentless killer screwing up his nation and killing his best friend's son with no explanation.


On the contrary I've read The Stolen Throne and the seeds of who Loghain would become are clearly there in that book. He's not a good person in the book but obsessive, driven and manipulative.


I was just going to ignore that one, because it adds nothing to the discussion. ;)

#237
Alcanazar

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Bumping this thread as it is interesting and civil.

Ostagar is a perfect storm for Cailan & Loghain.

Anora cannot be trusted. We are repeatedly told she is a 'good ruler' and is 'running things', yet under her watch slavery is flourishing in the alienage and the breakdown of law has gotten to the point that rape is commonplace. Cailin OTOH does not know this, and is genuinely shocked when told at Ostagar. Thus we know she deliberately keeps information from him. Considering the people involved in the slave trade it is inconcievable that she is unaware of the situation.

Howe's slaughter of the Couslands is troubling for  both Loghain & Cailin, for different reasons. Cailin does not want his nobles killing each other, and Loghain was not expecting Howe to go quite that far. It fits Loghain's plans far better than it does Cailin's.

You learn that Loghain & Cailin are fighting over Anora while at Ostagar, but do not know why. The letters from Celene add an additional layer of intrigue. Realistically, though, the marriage of people from warring countries has been used to cement peace. Even if Cailin is not interested in Celene, they could be negotiating a future marriage or one between other family members. These negotiations are difficult & delicate, and require subtlety.

Which brings up the next point (this ends, honest!)

The Charismatic Wise Young King Who Plays The Fool has interesting counterparts in history & literature. Shakespeare's Prince Hal from Henry IV 1 & 2 is such a king, and so was Louis XIV.  Cailin certainly seems to fit the pattern.

#238
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Alcanazar wrote...

Bumping this thread as it is interesting and civil.

Ostagar is a perfect storm for Cailan & Loghain.

Anora cannot be trusted. We are repeatedly told she is a 'good ruler' and is 'running things', yet under her watch slavery is flourishing in the alienage and the breakdown of law has gotten to the point that rape is commonplace. Cailin OTOH does not know this, and is genuinely shocked when told at Ostagar. Thus we know she deliberately keeps information from him. Considering the people involved in the slave trade it is inconcievable that she is unaware of the situation.

Howe's slaughter of the Couslands is troubling for  both Loghain & Cailin, for different reasons. Cailin does not want his nobles killing each other, and Loghain was not expecting Howe to go quite that far. It fits Loghain's plans far better than it does Cailin's.

You learn that Loghain & Cailin are fighting over Anora while at Ostagar, but do not know why. The letters from Celene add an additional layer of intrigue. Realistically, though, the marriage of people from warring countries has been used to cement peace. Even if Cailin is not interested in Celene, they could be negotiating a future marriage or one between other family members. These negotiations are difficult & delicate, and require subtlety.

Which brings up the next point (this ends, honest!)

The Charismatic Wise Young King Who Plays The Fool has interesting counterparts in history & literature. Shakespeare's Prince Hal from Henry IV 1 & 2 is such a king, and so was Louis XIV.  Cailin certainly seems to fit the pattern.


Interesting point. However, Hal never plays the fool, only a bit of a rake - it is also sign-posted very early on in the play (Act 1 Scene 2?) in a soliloquy that his behaviour is part of a plan. There simply isn't enough in-game evidence for me to believe that Cailan is hiding a keen strategic intelligence under his frothy exterior. I don't think we know enough about Cailan, or see enough of him, to make that kind of inference, though it's fun to speculate.

Re: the alienage
Has there been a breakdown of law-and-order, or have things just been like that for years, under Maric and the Orlaiseans and further back? I don't read many codex entries, so I don't know the details. 

#239
errant_knight

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Colenda wrote...

Alcanazar wrote...

Bumping this thread as it is interesting and civil.

Ostagar is a perfect storm for Cailan & Loghain.

Anora cannot be trusted. We are repeatedly told she is a 'good ruler' and is 'running things', yet under her watch slavery is flourishing in the alienage and the breakdown of law has gotten to the point that rape is commonplace. Cailin OTOH does not know this, and is genuinely shocked when told at Ostagar. Thus we know she deliberately keeps information from him. Considering the people involved in the slave trade it is inconcievable that she is unaware of the situation.

Howe's slaughter of the Couslands is troubling for  both Loghain & Cailin, for different reasons. Cailin does not want his nobles killing each other, and Loghain was not expecting Howe to go quite that far. It fits Loghain's plans far better than it does Cailin's.

You learn that Loghain & Cailin are fighting over Anora while at Ostagar, but do not know why. The letters from Celene add an additional layer of intrigue. Realistically, though, the marriage of people from warring countries has been used to cement peace. Even if Cailin is not interested in Celene, they could be negotiating a future marriage or one between other family members. These negotiations are difficult & delicate, and require subtlety.

Which brings up the next point (this ends, honest!)

The Charismatic Wise Young King Who Plays The Fool has interesting counterparts in history & literature. Shakespeare's Prince Hal from Henry IV 1 & 2 is such a king, and so was Louis XIV.  Cailin certainly seems to fit the pattern.


Interesting point. However, Hal never plays the fool, only a bit of a rake - it is also sign-posted very early on in the play (Act 1 Scene 2?) in a soliloquy that his behaviour is part of a plan. There simply isn't enough in-game evidence for me to believe that Cailan is hiding a keen strategic intelligence under his frothy exterior. I don't think we know enough about Cailan, or see enough of him, to make that kind of inference, though it's fun to speculate.

Re: the alienage
Has there been a breakdown of law-and-order, or have things just been like that for years, under Maric and the Orlaiseans and further back? I don't read many codex entries, so I don't know the details. 


I think there's quite a bit of in-game evidence that there was much more to Cailan than met the eye, but I think that's all been discussed pretty thoroughly. Have you read the previous posts, Colenda? People made some very well thought out arguments. This is actually one of those threads where it's worth it to go back and read it from the beginning--at least for a few pages. ;)

To be fair to Anora, while I don't think the Alienage was ever a good place, I don't think the elves were sold as slaves until the civil war when Loghain needed funds to battle Eamon's troops.

#240
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errant_knight wrote...
I think there's quite a bit of in-game evidence that there was much more to Cailan than met the eye, but I think that's all been discussed pretty thoroughly. Have you read the previous posts, Colenda?.


I have. One month ago anyway. Please understand: I don't object to the idea that Cailan was more clever than he appeared, but as things stand, it seems more like stuff for fanfiction than anything else. A long time ago in a galaxy far far away, I hung around the edges of the Harry Potter fandom, and I can remember people there constructing huge elaborate theories that were fascinating to read, but which were so interested in the details of the setting that they lost their sense of perspective. Cailan had two scenes. His raison d'etre was to die, which he did, very thoroughly. The RtO letters can be interpreted as you please: unless Celeste gives us her perspective on them in DA2, we are unlikely to hear anything about them again, and Cailan certainly won't tell us what he thought. 

#241
errant_knight

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Ah, okay. Personally--all other arguments aside--the very fact that Cailan managed to negotiate the treaties with the Orleisians, and believed them to be necessary, convinces me that he was much more intelligent and competant than Anora and Loghain would have us believe.

#242
Janni-in-VA

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I know I'm bumping this thread again, but it's a wonderfully civil thread. I've seen interesting, well-thought-out arguments. So, here's my two-cents worth.

It's interesting to note, thanks to Gaider, that Loghain didn't make up his mind to abandon Cailan until the last moment. However Loghain rationalizes this later, the fact is that he left his King and son-in-law to die on the field at the hands of Darkspawn. I also think that there's plenty of evidence to suggest that Cailan was a much shrewder man than one might think on first meeting him. I don't hold with the theory, however, that he was having an affair with Empress Celene. Part of this belief is based on logistics. Where in the world can two monarchs--highly visible people--meet secretly to have an affair? There's no mention of a visit to Orlais or the Empress's having visited Ferelden. Can you see Loghain's reaction to either of those scenarios? Historically, monarchs, presidents and other important/famous people have burned or otherwise destroyed their personal correspondence, so what survives is usually only the public/political/formal documents. Not always, of course, just usually. So, Cailan might have intended to destroy the less formal letter at a later date, but instead kept it with the other two documents so that whoever opened the chest (presumably Alistair) would know where things stood with the Orlesians and Anora's position with many of the bannorn. (I think it fairly safe to assume that Eamon wouldn't be the only one concerned about the lack of an heir after five years of marriage. Heirs are usually the first thing monarchs see to after ascending the throne, so I think it very likely that either Anora or Cailan had fertility issues.) I tend to lean toward the idea that Cailan wasn't as confident in the battle as he appeared, but whether that was a real sense that it was a lost cause or merely acknowledging the need for a back-up plan is still a point I haven't decided on. I'm tending toward the latter idea, however.

So, basically, I still see Loghain as a regicide, Howe as a slimy little bastard (that sneak attack after Teryn Cousland's forces had left was just beyond the pale), Cailan's death as a tragedy, and I don't trust Anora anymore than I do her father. She is her father's daughter. I do think that Cailan was trying to protect his half-brother because he knew who Alistair was. I don't believe Maric was foolish enough to hide another possible contender for the throne from Cailan. I'm not saying Alistair would have tried to take it for himself, but he's certainly a figure around whom a conspiracy/rebellion could be built. I do think that Cailan was trying to fill some very big boots indeed. He truly wanted to prove himself a worthy son and successor to King Maric. In a time when political differences might very well be settled on the battlefield, Cailan's seeing Ostagar as a chance to prove himself makes sense.

Some of the other ideas presented here I'll have to think about a while longer. Did Duncan go to the Chantry specifically to recruit Alistair? Why did Eamon send Alistair to the Chantry rather than to Bann Teagan? Was it to make sure that Alistair (as a full Templar) would never be a serious contender for the throne, or was it the safest place he could think of to stash Alistair? Obviously, Alistair's illegitimate status would affect whether or not the Bannorn would accept him, which is why Eamon was sponsoring him, so to speak. Would Alistair have had a chance at the throne even if Cailan had officially made him his heir? And isn't it Alistair's bastardy that keeps Cailan from so doing?

Layers and layers--it's so much fun to speculate.  :D

Modifié par Janni-in-VA, 23 mars 2010 - 09:37 .


#243
Malanek

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errant_knight wrote...

melkathi wrote...

I got a screenshot of the sentence, so noone needs to remember stuff
link:
http://img208.images...10020403511.jpg


Keeping Loghain at bay... I hadn't really considered what that might mean, especially in relation to Duncan. I assumed it referred to complaint about the idea of Orlesians crossing the border, and the Grey Wardens leading the battle, but...hmmm.... What did Loghain want from Duncan?

I haven't read this entire thread. I wouldn't read too much into this. Loghain didn't like the grey wardens. "Keeping Loghain at bay" most likely referred to his attempts to convince Cailan that the grey wardens were not needed nor even wanted. Duncan would not have wanted Loghain to convince the king to that way of thinking.

#244
errant_knight

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Janni-in-VA wrote...

I know I'm bumping this thread again, but it's a wonderfully civil thread. I've seen interesting, well-thought-out arguments. So, here's my two-cents worth.

It's interesting to note, thanks to Gaider, that Loghain didn't make up his mind to abandon Cailan until the last moment. However Loghain rationalizes this later, the fact is that he left his King and son-in-law to die on the field at the hands of Darkspawn. I also think that there's plenty of evidence to suggest that Cailan was a much shrewder man than one might think on first meeting him. I don't hold with the theory, however, that he was having an affair with Empress Celene. Part of this belief is based on logistics. Where in the world can two monarchs--highly visible people--meet secretly to have an affair? There's no mention of a visit to Orlais or the Empress's having visited Ferelden. Can you see Loghain's reaction to either of those scenarios? Historically, monarchs, presidents and other important/famous people have burned or otherwise destroyed their personal correspondence, so what survives is usually only the public/political/formal documents. Not always, of course, just usually. So, Cailan might have intended to destroy the less formal letter at a later date, but instead kept it with the other two documents so that whoever opened the chest (presumably Alistair) would know where things stood with the Orlesians and Anora's position with many of the bannorn. (I think it fairly safe to assume that Eamon wouldn't be the only one concerned about the lack of an heir after five years of marriage. Heirs are usually the first thing monarchs see to after ascending the throne, so I think it very likely that either Anora or Cailan had fertility issues.) I tend to lean toward the idea that Cailan wasn't as confident in the battle as he appeared, but whether that was a real sense that it was a lost cause or merely acknowledging the need for a back-up plan is still a point I haven't decided on. I'm tending toward the latter idea, however.

So, basically, I still see Loghain as a regicide, Howe as a slimy little bastard (that sneak attack after Teryn Cousland's forces had left was just beyond the pale), Cailan's death as a tragedy, and I don't trust Anora anymore than I do her father. She is her father's daughter. I do think that Cailan was trying to protect his half-brother because he knew who Alistair was. I don't believe Maric was foolish enough to hide another possible contender for the throne from Cailan. I'm not saying Alistair would have tried to take it for himself, but he's certainly a figure around whom a conspiracy/rebellion could be built. I do think that Cailan was trying to fill some very big boots indeed. He truly wanted to prove himself a worthy son and successor to King Maric. In a time when political differences might very well be settled on the battlefield, Cailan's seeing Ostagar as a chance to prove himself makes sense.

Some of the other ideas presented here I'll have to think about a while longer. Did Duncan go to the Chantry specifically to recruit Alistair? Why did Eamon send Alistair to the Chantry rather than to Bann Teagan? Was it to make sure that Alistair (as a full Templar) would never be a serious contender for the throne, or was it the safest place he could think of to stash Alistair? Obviously, Alistair's illegitimate status would affect whether or not the Bannorn would accept him, which is why Eamon was sponsoring him, so to speak. Would Alistair have had a chance at the throne even if Cailan had officially made him his heir? And isn't it Alistair's bastardy that keeps Cailan from so doing?

Layers and layers--it's so much fun to speculate.  :D


This is pretty much exactly how I see it, with your first couple paragraphs being what I believe to be the case, and the points in the last being items on which it's fun to speculate, but are more problematic in that there's no real evidence to back up any of the suppositions. Really, only Eamon (and Mr. Gaider ;) knows for sure.

I tend to believe that Eamon was trying to make Alistair an untenable candidate for the throne by giving him to the chantry, and remove the threat to Cailan, that Duncan choosing Alistair wasn't part of a plan, but says more about the awesomeness of the Calenhad bloodline ;), and that while Cailan may not initially have planned to make Alistair his heir, it was looking like a pretty good plan what with the increased pressure to set Anora aside, something he didn't want to do. Even if Cailan hadn't actually made a decision about that, it would have been prudent to keep Alistair out of the battle. Without more evidence, we'll never know, though.

Malanek999 wrote...

errant_knight wrote...

melkathi wrote...

I got a screenshot of the sentence, so noone needs to remember stuff
link:
http://img208.images...10020403511.jpg


Keeping Loghain at bay... I hadn't really considered what that might mean, especially in relation to Duncan. I assumed it referred to complaint about the idea of Orlesians crossing the border, and the Grey Wardens leading the battle, but...hmmm.... What did Loghain want from Duncan?

I haven't read this entire thread. I wouldn't read too much into this. Loghain didn't like the grey wardens. "Keeping Loghain at bay" most likely referred to his attempts to convince Cailan that the grey wardens were not needed nor even wanted. Duncan would not have wanted Loghain to convince the king to that way of thinking.


Heh, that was a quote from early days in the discussion. I think you're probably right to an extent, but there must have been a little more to it than that, as there was clearly no danger of Cailan being persuaded  against the wardens, although Loghain didn't know just how much Cailan disagreed with him, having gone to the trouble to negotiate the treaties. Duncan may not have known, either.

Modifié par errant_knight, 23 mars 2010 - 10:18 .


#245
Maria13

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Cailan would be foolish to name Alistair his heir. Alistair is too close to Cailan in age, Cailan is still young and even if Anora is barren (but, perhaps it's Cailan's problem, this is never argued, why?) or he wishes to set her aside, he can still aspire to have another family or a brace of little bastards of his own. On the other hand not yet having an heir, Cailan would be equally foolish to risk Alistair at Ostagar.

#246
errant_knight

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Maria13 wrote...

Cailan would be foolish to name Alistair his heir. Alistair is too close to Cailan in age, Cailan is still young and even if Anora is barren (but, perhaps it's Cailan's problem, this is never argued, why?) or he wishes to set her aside, he can still aspire to have another family or a brace of little bastards of his own. On the other hand not yet having an heir, Cailan would be equally foolish to risk Alistair at Ostagar.


Formally, yes, if he still has any hope of getting an heir.

It doesn't really matter if it's Cailan's problem in terms of logistics. It ends up being a moot point in practical terms. The only valid heir is one from Cailan, so the only options are for him to keep trying with Anora, put her aside and try with someone else (which he has rejected), or find another heir (ie. Alistair).

Cailan may very well not have come to a decision, but it makes sense to increase the odds of Alistair surviving the battle for exactly the same reasons that Alistair doesn't execute Anora.

#247
Dawnielle

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Thank you DG for making this so deep. I hope he elaborates much more in time to come.

Great insight everyone.



Missing My Dog, Wynne, Sten & Alistair<3

"Sad Whine"...

#248
Thalorin1919

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Was Cailan aware of Alistair? I could never really figure this out in the game. I mean, I suppose he found out sooner or later so he could be aware of him. And it just seemed kind of odd sending Alistair of all people to the tower with you.



If Cailan really did have this planned out, he may not seem as stupid as he came off. Honestly, I think Cailan would've made a good King if he survived the Blight and it was ended.



Why? Think of the whole thing as Cailan's hardening quest. Plus when the elf talks to him, he says he will fix things, and that he will make things better. Maybe this whole thing had opened his eyes to what he really needs to be. I dont know, just my opinion.

#249
The Illusive Paragon

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Thalorin1919 wrote...

Was Cailan aware of Alistair? I could never really figure this out in the game. I mean, I suppose he found out sooner or later so he could be aware of him. And it just seemed kind of odd sending Alistair of all people to the tower with you.


Yes Cailan knew of Alistair if you ask certain questions to Anora at the landsmeet she will tell you.

#250
Thalorin1919

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Janni-in-VA wrote...

I know I'm bumping this thread again, but it's a wonderfully civil thread. I've seen interesting, well-thought-out arguments. So, here's my two-cents worth.

It's interesting to note, thanks to Gaider, that Loghain didn't make up his mind to abandon Cailan until the last moment. However Loghain rationalizes this later, the fact is that he left his King and son-in-law to die on the field at the hands of Darkspawn. I also think that there's plenty of evidence to suggest that Cailan was a much shrewder man than one might think on first meeting him. I don't hold with the theory, however, that he was having an affair with Empress Celene. Part of this belief is based on logistics. Where in the world can two monarchs--highly visible people--meet secretly to have an affair? There's no mention of a visit to Orlais or the Empress's having visited Ferelden. Can you see Loghain's reaction to either of those scenarios? Historically, monarchs, presidents and other important/famous people have burned or otherwise destroyed their personal correspondence, so what survives is usually only the public/political/formal documents. Not always, of course, just usually. So, Cailan might have intended to destroy the less formal letter at a later date, but instead kept it with the other two documents so that whoever opened the chest (presumably Alistair) would know where things stood with the Orlesians and Anora's position with many of the bannorn. (I think it fairly safe to assume that Eamon wouldn't be the only one concerned about the lack of an heir after five years of marriage. Heirs are usually the first thing monarchs see to after ascending the throne, so I think it very likely that either Anora or Cailan had fertility issues.) I tend to lean toward the idea that Cailan wasn't as confident in the battle as he appeared, but whether that was a real sense that it was a lost cause or merely acknowledging the need for a back-up plan is still a point I haven't decided on. I'm tending toward the latter idea, however.

So, basically, I still see Loghain as a regicide, Howe as a slimy little bastard (that sneak attack after Teryn Cousland's forces had left was just beyond the pale), Cailan's death as a tragedy, and I don't trust Anora anymore than I do her father. She is her father's daughter. I do think that Cailan was trying to protect his half-brother because he knew who Alistair was. I don't believe Maric was foolish enough to hide another possible contender for the throne from Cailan. I'm not saying Alistair would have tried to take it for himself, but he's certainly a figure around whom a conspiracy/rebellion could be built. I do think that Cailan was trying to fill some very big boots indeed. He truly wanted to prove himself a worthy son and successor to King Maric. In a time when political differences might very well be settled on the battlefield, Cailan's seeing Ostagar as a chance to prove himself makes sense.

Some of the other ideas presented here I'll have to think about a while longer. Did Duncan go to the Chantry specifically to recruit Alistair? Why did Eamon send Alistair to the Chantry rather than to Bann Teagan? Was it to make sure that Alistair (as a full Templar) would never be a serious contender for the throne, or was it the safest place he could think of to stash Alistair? Obviously, Alistair's illegitimate status would affect whether or not the Bannorn would accept him, which is why Eamon was sponsoring him, so to speak. Would Alistair have had a chance at the throne even if Cailan had officially made him his heir? And isn't it Alistair's bastardy that keeps Cailan from so doing?

Layers and layers--it's so much fun to speculate.  :D


I have to agree with most of your statement.

Cailan had very big shoes to fill. He was the son to a man who had freed Ferelden from an Empire, and will be remembered in the history books forever. That is what Maric is rememebered and praised for, Maric wasnt known for his duty in politics which he left up to Loghain.

And with that Cailan probably felt the same way. He wanted to prove to the people he is just as worthy, and is just as heroic as his father. And the only way he could figure to do that was to prove himself in battle. He never liked governing like his father and so he left that to Anora.

I believe Cailan was a smart person inside. He was just one of those people that hardly applied it like you see everywhere in todays world. I do think he was aware of Alistair, and that he kept Alistair out of the battle in case Cailan died. Cailan probably wanted a son of his father to take the throne, and not a man like Loghain whom he has been fighting with. There were also drifts bewteen him and his wife, so he probably didnt want to have Anora assume the throne when Cailan would want his half-brother to take it.

Ahh, it is so interesting. But it was all for the best. A hardened Alistair makes a better King compared to both Maric and Cailan. Why? Alistair is definitely known for his prowess in battle, as he led the armies of Ferelden into Denerim alongside the Warden and emerged victorious. But the important but boring factor is that he actually GOVERNS the nation. By studying governance and ruling the nation firmly, farily, and always in court, Alistair has established himself as a noble and heroic King.

Modifié par Thalorin1919, 24 mars 2010 - 04:25 .