[quote]SteelEagleShane wrote...
[quote]Krid wrote...
[quote]Moogliepie wrote...
I
agree. In this context, it isn't far fetched. I also remember reading
that in Central Africa, pygmy tribes had more genetic diversity between
any two individuals than any other two random individuals from other
parts of the world.
[/quote]
The argument is not that humans
are certain to be the least diverse species, but that it's exceedingly
unlikely that they would be the MOST diverse.
Krogan, Turian, Asari, Volus, Elcore, Salarian, Quarian, Hannar, Drell, Batarians, and Vorcha.
We
can ignore the Rachni, Collectors, Geth, and as-yet-unseen species for
obvious reasons, but that's still 11 other species. Keep in mind that
Humans are, what is it, 99.95% identical? And have less variation than
over 99.99% of known species on earth.
No, it's not impossible, but I'm pretty sure the scale of how unlikely it is is beyond the mind's natural ability to reason.
A
demonstration, perhaps? What is the probability of at least 2 people
from a group of 23 random people having the same birthday?
You would probably leap for an obvious answer like 10% or so, correct? Well, the actual chance is 50%.
Simply
put, humans have low genetic variation due to unlikely events in our
history that drastically reduced the size of our gene pool one way or
another. We're very much a statistical outlier on our own planet, so
being a statistical outlier in the opposite direction compared to other
planets is a vanishingly small possibility.
[/quote]
It is also
unlikely that every 50,000 years, sentient machines show up and kill
all advanced life forms for ****s and giggles. But guess what? In the
Mass Effect universe, this is hard fact.[/quote]
You're invoking a logical fallacy in the form of excessive specification.
Five years ago, what were the odds that you would be posting that exact line in this exact forum? Very, very small.
What were the odds that you would have been doing *something*? Very close to 1:1.
"It happened" and "It was certain to happen" are two completely different statements.
Now lets break down your statement.
First, we must assume that FTL travel is possible.
Second, we can toss out the "sentient machines" part since it's functionally irrelevent what kind of creature they are.
So,
tell me, what were the odds of a sentient species evolving millions of
years before humans? Keeping in mind, of course, that there have been a
few mass-extinction events in Earth's history which could have not
happened.
What are the odds that they would discover FTL travel?
What are the odds that they would decide to periodically eradicate all life in the universe which was capable of posing a threat?
Honestly? Not that unlikely!
The
difference here is that while one possibility MUST occur, that does not
mean that all possibilities are *equally likely*. By the same token,
the chance of somebody winning the lottery eventually is essentially
1:1, but the chances of that person being *you* are very small.
[quote]Maybe
it is nigh impossible for humans to be more diverse than the rest of
the species in Mass Effect. But guess what? It is hard a fact in the
games as the Reapers are. [/quote]
It's an absurd claim that
runs directly counter to plausibility, so Bioware basically *needs* to
provide a causative reason why that would be the case.
[quote]Chrisimo79 wrote...
I try to see it this way: 99.9999% of
all life in the whole galaxy is more genetically diverse than the 12
known sentient species. This doesn't say anything about the relation of
the 12 sentient species regarding genetic diversity.[/quote]
That logic would only be valid if genetic similarity and sentience were related. However, no evidence has been discovered to support that claim.
In fact, other sentient terrestrial species, such as dolphins, have very high genetic diversity.
[quote]In Exile wrote...
Those are all phenotypes, though. I think what he was trying to say is that we've adapted to more climates, but that doesn't really make sense, since krogran are way more adapative than we are. [/quote]
The context of those statements was that of disproving a claim of high relative genetic diversity for humans based on skin colors.
[quote][quote]Simply put, humans have low genetic variation due to unlikely events
in our history that drastically reduced the size of our gene pool one
way or another. We're very much a statistical outlier on our own planet,
so being a statistical outlier in the opposite direction compared to
other planets is a vanishingly small possibility.[/quote]
Unless you posit that our inbred homozygosity is adaptive with respect to the traits it cultiatves, e.g. that the near-extinction event that almost culled us for whatever reason preserved the top 1% of brain volume, which then led us to the stage of development that we did reach, by biasing what traits selection would favour generation over generation.[/quote]
...which is the opposite of diversity.
[quote]Put another way, we could say that since all sapient spacefaring species are probably cases of convergent evolution (look at everyone's body plan!)[/quote]
Hanar, Elcor, Rachni, Keepers.
[quote]perhaps event extinction events of this sort are shared.[/quote]
That would be very unlikely unless they were being engineered. Giant space rocks and ice ages aren't exactly reliable occurances.
[quote]
When making a statistical claim beween populations, relevant similarity is important. We're quite unlike other species on our world, but without a firm grasp of what the relationship between that and sapience is, for all we know, mass-culling is as important to being a space-faring species as is bipedalism.
[/quote]
Bipedalism isn't important in the ME universe, simply common.
Modifié par Krid, 16 février 2010 - 12:31 .